#avgeek who posts info and news on Cardiff airport, 🏉, #IndyWales, defence, foreign policy, travelling and history. Forever Welsh🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

Wales🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿
Joined August 2016
If you're interested in the articles that I've written I've collated them in this thread Starting with my thoughts on what I believe the Defence Force of #IndyWales could look like, it's structure, potential equipment etc under @Plaid_Cymru defence policy sway.cloud.microsoft/iAxvbyg…
21
8
1
55
21,025
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
This is the sort of idiotic nonsense we deal with on this hell site. I’ve been to Lebanon eight times, been to Syria, been to South Sudan, Gaza. I’ve just finished an interview 5 mins ago with people on ground. “Countrymouse” too afraid to give your actual name. Pathetic.
Extraordinary bit of writing here by @NiallJournal_ie. You'd hardly know who is the violent occupier of 20% of Lebanon, who has levelled 100s of villages and enacted countless massacres and who are resisting. Media working hand in glove with government against our neutrality.
1
5
4
43
1,626
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
“We are not changing our position on military neutrality.” Minister for Foreign Affairs and Defence Helen McEntee speaking on RTÉ Radio 1 about the proposed changes to the Triple Lock.
262
5
19
27
17,965
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
The Minister for Defence and Foreign Affairs Helen McEntee is in Lebanon this weekend to meet with Lebanese government officials and visit troops in the devastated south of the country. jrnl.ie/7205059t
43
8
7
17
13,714
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
A deeply ill-informed @crikey_news piece by Albert Palazzo, an Army historian who has repeatedly written about maritime defence in ways that, in my view, demonstrate a poor understanding of how maritime strategy actually works. The basic problem is that he treats trade protection as though 🇦🇺 would need to escort thousands of merchant ships across entire ocean routes. We wouldn’t. 🇦🇺 needs layered maritime defence: protecting ports & approaches, controlling critical sea lines of communication, & using subs, surface ships, aircraft, intelligence and surveillance, naval control of shipping, mine warfare & allies to keep critical seabourne supply (a subset of maritime trade). The RAN did exactly this in WWII. Protecting trade involved convoy escort, minesweeping, anti-submarine warfare, naval control of shipping &port defence. It did not mean escorting every ship everywhere. A better explanation of how 🇦🇺 would actually protect maritime trade: lowyinstitute.org/the-interp…
A core part of Australia’s defence policy is to protect merchant ships at sea. It’s a mission it can’t possibly fulfil — and meanwhile it gets leveraged to justify AUKUS and appease the US, writes Albert Palazzo. crikey.com.au/2026/10/26/aus…
4
8
1
89
3,596
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
‘Irish troops should be deployed to Lebanon as part of a new EU mission and be involved in both peacekeeping and peace enforcement duties, according to the Minister for Foreign Affairs and Defence Helen McEntee.’ rte.ie/news/2026/1025/159679…
1
1
4
474
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
There were four M41 tanks used in the film and they were all operated by the Belgian army with real training ammo (as opposed to fireworks in the barrels or mock-up tanks). A Belgian Army colonel admired Kubrick’s earlier works and lent him the tanks.
32
271
11
4,542
214,736
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
NEW: Almost half of Scots think there should be another independence referendum in the next five years, according to a new poll which also gave a lead for Yes 👇
247
68
12
221
13,264
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
43
90
29
2,072
665,065
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
ON ABOLISHING THE TRIPLE LOCK Policy decisions made by the government of the day do not bind future governments. That is a fundamental principle of Representative Democracy. So too is that the people vote on the issue put before them by a Referendum Act. The Triple Lock was part of the government of the day's campaign, but it was not mentioned in the Referendum Act. Therefore that government policy then has no constitutional force and does not bind today's government. Section 6 of the Seville Declaration was an expression of government policy that can and will be amended by the government of the day to remove the mention of UN Resolutions. The Declaration is not legislation; however do bear in mind that the Article 29.4.9° of the Constitution remains in force. Ireland cannot join an EU Common Defence (commonly and erroneously referred to as a European Army) without a Referendum to Amend that subsection of the Constitution. Likewise, Ireland cannot join NATO without a Referendum to Amend the Constitution. Crotty v An Taoiseach [1987] IESC 4 determined that while the Government has broad powers in foreign affairs, it cannot, without the approval of the people in a constitutional referendum, bind the State in a way that surrenders or restricts a sovereign power protected by the Constitution. Joining NATO or any similar military alliance would be such an action, therefore no government of the day can frogmarch us into such an alliance. All of which taken together, makes arrant nonsense of the populist opportunists', Russophiles' and Trumpophiles' alarmist propaganda about the abolition of the Triple Lock. @ThomasByrneTD @HMcEntee @Donnchadhol @sineadgibney @DuncanSmithTD @MichaelC_IND_TD @Toibin1 @RBoydBarrett
2
2
1
12
571
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
✈️ Travelling through Cardiff Airport? Save 10% on selected World Duty Free items when you reserve online and collect in-store. 🛍️ Reserve up to 30 days before travel ✅ Collect and pay in-store Take a look: eu1.hubs.ly/H0zdSJ-0
1
3
440
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
Jet2 offering new off road experiences 👀
Incredible scenes over at BHX on the Airport Action live stream 🫪🫪🫪
1
5
121
6,550
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
"My uncle invented radar, can you believe it?" No Donald, I can't, because he didn't. However, your uncle was a clever man. You just got the surname - and a chronically inflated ego, along with verbal diarrhoea.
162
858
40
5,759
127,076
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
WATCH: This is the moment Jet2 Boeing 737-800 (G-JZHE), operating flight EXS4FX from Venice, veered off the runway at Birmingham Airport. Looking closely, it appears the aircraft was heading off the runway for some time before correcting, but it was too late. Footage captured via Airport Action livestream. Link on first comment.
162
228
79
3,145
1,088,710
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
Write professionally about defence/national security in Ireland & this what we deal with. There’s a small cohort of people who know what they are talking about but X is a platform full of condescending false experts, à la mode activists, pathological idiots & disinfo bad actors.
This is the level of much of the commentary around recent (modest) increases in Irish defence spending. So it's maybe worth looking at what the Defence Forces is supposed to do and what it actually can do. Short thread
1
9
3
72
2,095
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
Incredible scenes over at BHX on the Airport Action live stream 🫪🫪🫪
6
5
1
275
39,124
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
Sydney was first promised a second airport in 1946. I’m in NSW, where today Western Sydney International, a 24/7 airport, opened to commercial flights. Some 80 years in the making 🗞️ My Gulf Times column on what it means for the Kangaroo Route ✈️🇦🇺🦘 gulf-times.com/article/73633…
5
4
3
72
6,588
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
In a strange way, the wild weather actually added to the whole occasion at St Helen’s last night. If the new ground and the Ospreys supporters can survive that, they can survive anything. The atmosphere was very special. Onwards and upwards now.
5
14
2
200
8,438
Really interesting post here about 🇮🇪 purchase of new armoured vehicles and the purpose of the Irish Army in general and its Brigade structure. Food for thought for a future #IndyWales Army as well.
Conor's article, and the other one saying "550 vehicle fleet to be bought" seems to have started a surprising amount of utterly unjustified handwringing, as if there is some massive course correction pending for the Irish military. Before answering the question "Is this a good idea", one must first answer the question "what is the Army for?" The third question is "How to frame the size of the proposed purchase?" First, disclaimers. What I know: How to fight brigades and battalions. What I don't know: What guidance the Irish DF are operating under, what assumptions they have made, and what the various machinations are going on behind the scenes. So I'm inferring with what I know to inform me. Much though it may shock certain people to realise it, but the Irish Army has always been organised to fight a "conventional" battle. The function of the Defence Forces, oddly, is "To defend the State against armed aggression," (It says so on its website) and this is not new. To do that, it needs to be able to fight. It trains to do so. Ireland's Army came out of WW2/The Emergency with hundreds of armoured vehicles, those who want the details can find the excellent Karl Martin book on the subject. Over time, size and numbers decreased. In 1945, Ireland had eight "PDF" brigades, in two divisions (1st (Thunderbolt), and 2nd (Spearhead) (As I now look up the dates of creation of the US 3rd Armored and 11th Armored divisions) of three brigades each and two independent brigades. The brigade structure back then is fairly familiar to folks of today, and has generally remained similar for most armies around the world: Because it tended to work. Three battalions of infantry, an artillery regiment, a cavalry squadron, supporting companies of engineers, signals, medics etc. There were also some independent units with token numbers of tanks, air defence, whatever. Over the years, the numbers have dropped. They started with eight regular brigades. Back in my FCA days, there were three. Come 2012, down to two. But though the number of brigades has changed, the basic structure and function (form following function, after all), has remained the same for longer than my father's lifetime, let alone mine. Ireland has a long and proud tradition of UN operations, but UN operations aren't always quiet peacekeeping. They kicked off with the Congo, which was the wake-up call that claimed neutrality does not guarantee immunity, and that both training and equipping to fight is of paramount importance, even on UN operations. Jadotville might have gone much differently had the losses the year prior not resulted in a crash arms buy with modern kit. In any case, peacekeeping as people are familiar with from recent years like UNIFIL does not require a brigade structure, with artillery batteries in support, a cavalry squadron answering PIRs, etc. A fighting force can, and as far as I know in every country does, provide peacekeeping forces out of their warfighting configuration. Warfighting forces cannot be created from peacekeeping organisations. The purchase of hundreds of armoured vehicles does not change the DF's capabilities or character, it only changes how good it is at them. If Ireland right now has two warfighting infantry brigades, and then buys 550 armoured vehicles, what does it then have? Two warfighting infantry brigades, at least one of which is now mechanised. It doesn't change what the brigade does: It's a maneuver asset, generally designed to attack a battalion or smaller sized enemy of similar makeup, and defend against a brigade or two sized attacker. A mech brigade is more mobile and more flexible, and that mobility comes with better protection courtesy of armour, but it does the same operational job. A brigade-without-light-armor isn't expected to fight the Third Russian Shock Tank Division, and a brigade-with-light-armor also isn't going to fight the Third Russian Shock Tank Division. Other armies tend to have armored brigades for that sort of job, even really small armies like Lithuania. Fortunately, I don't think anyone really envisions a situation where that requirement would ever come up for an Irish unit in the first place. For comparison, a US Army SBCT has about 325 Stryker vehicles, very similar to a MOWAG. Plus 600 or so JLTVs, light armor a bit like the Irish LTAVs. However, a Stryker brigade also is part of a division and has access to division support assets. It also doesn't need to add additional vehicles as training sets or attrition reserve. Ireland doesn't have a division any more, so the brigades have to be configured to be independent brigades, inherently they are a bit larger since they have to be self-sufficient. The Irish purchase would also presumably include some training set vehicles, and some spares for inevitable losses. Further, to be equivalent to a US SBCT in capability, it needs more than just wheeled vehicles. Each US squad has a Javelin missile. They're currently a battalion asset in Ireland. They come with 155mm artillery (Ok, came, they have now been moved to DivArty, but are expected to operate in support) for fires. Let alone all the other assets which a US SBCT commander can request or has, those are just two really obvious ones. When it comes to people going "Oh, they are preparing to go fight in Europe", there are two answers. 1) Yes, of course they are. Fighting to defend Balriggan would look pretty similar to fighting to defend Jadotville (Just fewer snakes). Fighting to kick a light battalion out of Knock Airport is going to be pretty similar to fighting to kick a light battalion out of Kaunas airport. In any case, it's the Army's job to prepare to fight wherever the government decides to fight, at home or abroad. It has for the entire existence of the State, this isn't new. 2) That government decision has absolutely nothing to do with what the equipment they have is. A brigade is a brigade, a battalion is a battalion. There was nothing stopping the Costello government from dispatching one of Ireland's infantry brigades to fight in Korea. It had a UN mandate from the Security Council (To keep the Triple Lock folks happy. Even Sweden sent a field hospital to treat UN troops). It had brigades trained and organised to do it. Korea has suitable terrain for light infantry brigades to operate. Whatever reasons Ireland had in the 1950s to have brigades and to use them or not use them, they remain pretty much identical today. Europe is a bit more interlinked now, is the main difference. What happens in Finland, Estonia or Poland now has greater effect on Ireland. For those who are saying "drones make armor irrelevant and are a waste of money", they are....ill-informed. The Navy called it the jeune ecole. There's a really long answer to this entirely different topic (and see my video "no, the tank is not dead", but the short one is "Presume the folks around the world in military procurement know what they are doing and look what they are doing." Drones are a fact of modern military life, and modern forces should be both able to use and counter them. Unfortunately, that merely adds complexity to the overall problem, yet another issue for folks to worry about, to add to every other military technology which keeps piling on and adding complexity ever since we moved on from stabbing our enemies. We still can do that, bayonets on rifles are a thing, but there's more on top of it. Unfortunately, answers to increasingly complicated problem sets are rarely simple or cheap. For those who are saying "Ireland needs airplanes and ships", they are not wrong. Related to the above, the correct answer is neither simple nor cheap. In terms of military capability, it's not an either/or decision. One needs an Army capable of doing its job well as well as an air corps/force capable of doing its job well, as well as a Naval Service/Navy capable of doing its job well. Half-assing anything can lead to rather fatal consequences. Though I would note that the Government has not committed to LOA 3, which is the one which has fighters, capable warships, etc, so buying for the Army but not the other branches is consistent with stated government policy. Which brings us to that third question I mentioned: How to frame the size of the proposal. There is a prevalent view that "because the move is from 80 to 550 vehicles, there is a change in nature of the force". There are two assumptions in that: First, that 80 was the correct size for the DF to do everything it was expected to do for the three brigades it had back in 2000. It's a relatively token force, 45 of them are APCs: Not even enough to lift a full battalion. Did someone in the DF do an operational analysis and say "80 is the correct number of armoured vehicles we need to do all our jobs", or did the DF go "We need this many vehicles" only to be met by Finance going "you must be having a laugh, mate, we'll fund you for this many". I have no data, but I have my suspicions. The second assumption is that even is 80 was the correct vehicle number three decades ago, it is still the correct vehicle number today. As the drone advocates have noted, the battlefield has somewhat changed. It might have been well enough getting around in MAN trucks, Ford Transit vans and commandeered CIE buses back in the day, but when paramilitaries have access to drones, or when artillery ranges further on conventional battlefields (also observed by drones, most likely), or whatever, the tactical need has also changed. I can think of few instances where anyone has ever said "I wish we had fewer armoured vehicles" when trying to maneuver on a battlefield. Or in Lebanon. Or in Bosnia. Or Liberia (Note how the Swedes brought CV90s?) So, to summarise. If absolutely nothing changes in Ireland's security planning or foreign policy goals, a large armored vehicle purchase to equip a warfighting brigade is entirely consistent with those long-standing policies. It allows the DF to better achieve what it is already tasked to do and may be tasked to do in the future. If it is believed that Ireland should not have a conventional warfighting capability, then that will be a change, someone needs to tell the Defence Forces to stop planning to fight, and to instead become a peace-keeping force. And then hope that the Triple Lock goes away because otherwise there will be no peace-keeping opportunities for them to do it.
7
234
Jeremy🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✈ retweeted
Excellent analysis here from an ACTUAL expert in the area. In a world of Tom Clonans and Michael Murphys, Be a Chieftan!
Conor's article, and the other one saying "550 vehicle fleet to be bought" seems to have started a surprising amount of utterly unjustified handwringing, as if there is some massive course correction pending for the Irish military. Before answering the question "Is this a good idea", one must first answer the question "what is the Army for?" The third question is "How to frame the size of the proposed purchase?" First, disclaimers. What I know: How to fight brigades and battalions. What I don't know: What guidance the Irish DF are operating under, what assumptions they have made, and what the various machinations are going on behind the scenes. So I'm inferring with what I know to inform me. Much though it may shock certain people to realise it, but the Irish Army has always been organised to fight a "conventional" battle. The function of the Defence Forces, oddly, is "To defend the State against armed aggression," (It says so on its website) and this is not new. To do that, it needs to be able to fight. It trains to do so. Ireland's Army came out of WW2/The Emergency with hundreds of armoured vehicles, those who want the details can find the excellent Karl Martin book on the subject. Over time, size and numbers decreased. In 1945, Ireland had eight "PDF" brigades, in two divisions (1st (Thunderbolt), and 2nd (Spearhead) (As I now look up the dates of creation of the US 3rd Armored and 11th Armored divisions) of three brigades each and two independent brigades. The brigade structure back then is fairly familiar to folks of today, and has generally remained similar for most armies around the world: Because it tended to work. Three battalions of infantry, an artillery regiment, a cavalry squadron, supporting companies of engineers, signals, medics etc. There were also some independent units with token numbers of tanks, air defence, whatever. Over the years, the numbers have dropped. They started with eight regular brigades. Back in my FCA days, there were three. Come 2012, down to two. But though the number of brigades has changed, the basic structure and function (form following function, after all), has remained the same for longer than my father's lifetime, let alone mine. Ireland has a long and proud tradition of UN operations, but UN operations aren't always quiet peacekeeping. They kicked off with the Congo, which was the wake-up call that claimed neutrality does not guarantee immunity, and that both training and equipping to fight is of paramount importance, even on UN operations. Jadotville might have gone much differently had the losses the year prior not resulted in a crash arms buy with modern kit. In any case, peacekeeping as people are familiar with from recent years like UNIFIL does not require a brigade structure, with artillery batteries in support, a cavalry squadron answering PIRs, etc. A fighting force can, and as far as I know in every country does, provide peacekeeping forces out of their warfighting configuration. Warfighting forces cannot be created from peacekeeping organisations. The purchase of hundreds of armoured vehicles does not change the DF's capabilities or character, it only changes how good it is at them. If Ireland right now has two warfighting infantry brigades, and then buys 550 armoured vehicles, what does it then have? Two warfighting infantry brigades, at least one of which is now mechanised. It doesn't change what the brigade does: It's a maneuver asset, generally designed to attack a battalion or smaller sized enemy of similar makeup, and defend against a brigade or two sized attacker. A mech brigade is more mobile and more flexible, and that mobility comes with better protection courtesy of armour, but it does the same operational job. A brigade-without-light-armor isn't expected to fight the Third Russian Shock Tank Division, and a brigade-with-light-armor also isn't going to fight the Third Russian Shock Tank Division. Other armies tend to have armored brigades for that sort of job, even really small armies like Lithuania. Fortunately, I don't think anyone really envisions a situation where that requirement would ever come up for an Irish unit in the first place. For comparison, a US Army SBCT has about 325 Stryker vehicles, very similar to a MOWAG. Plus 600 or so JLTVs, light armor a bit like the Irish LTAVs. However, a Stryker brigade also is part of a division and has access to division support assets. It also doesn't need to add additional vehicles as training sets or attrition reserve. Ireland doesn't have a division any more, so the brigades have to be configured to be independent brigades, inherently they are a bit larger since they have to be self-sufficient. The Irish purchase would also presumably include some training set vehicles, and some spares for inevitable losses. Further, to be equivalent to a US SBCT in capability, it needs more than just wheeled vehicles. Each US squad has a Javelin missile. They're currently a battalion asset in Ireland. They come with 155mm artillery (Ok, came, they have now been moved to DivArty, but are expected to operate in support) for fires. Let alone all the other assets which a US SBCT commander can request or has, those are just two really obvious ones. When it comes to people going "Oh, they are preparing to go fight in Europe", there are two answers. 1) Yes, of course they are. Fighting to defend Balriggan would look pretty similar to fighting to defend Jadotville (Just fewer snakes). Fighting to kick a light battalion out of Knock Airport is going to be pretty similar to fighting to kick a light battalion out of Kaunas airport. In any case, it's the Army's job to prepare to fight wherever the government decides to fight, at home or abroad. It has for the entire existence of the State, this isn't new. 2) That government decision has absolutely nothing to do with what the equipment they have is. A brigade is a brigade, a battalion is a battalion. There was nothing stopping the Costello government from dispatching one of Ireland's infantry brigades to fight in Korea. It had a UN mandate from the Security Council (To keep the Triple Lock folks happy. Even Sweden sent a field hospital to treat UN troops). It had brigades trained and organised to do it. Korea has suitable terrain for light infantry brigades to operate. Whatever reasons Ireland had in the 1950s to have brigades and to use them or not use them, they remain pretty much identical today. Europe is a bit more interlinked now, is the main difference. What happens in Finland, Estonia or Poland now has greater effect on Ireland. For those who are saying "drones make armor irrelevant and are a waste of money", they are....ill-informed. The Navy called it the jeune ecole. There's a really long answer to this entirely different topic (and see my video "no, the tank is not dead", but the short one is "Presume the folks around the world in military procurement know what they are doing and look what they are doing." Drones are a fact of modern military life, and modern forces should be both able to use and counter them. Unfortunately, that merely adds complexity to the overall problem, yet another issue for folks to worry about, to add to every other military technology which keeps piling on and adding complexity ever since we moved on from stabbing our enemies. We still can do that, bayonets on rifles are a thing, but there's more on top of it. Unfortunately, answers to increasingly complicated problem sets are rarely simple or cheap. For those who are saying "Ireland needs airplanes and ships", they are not wrong. Related to the above, the correct answer is neither simple nor cheap. In terms of military capability, it's not an either/or decision. One needs an Army capable of doing its job well as well as an air corps/force capable of doing its job well, as well as a Naval Service/Navy capable of doing its job well. Half-assing anything can lead to rather fatal consequences. Though I would note that the Government has not committed to LOA 3, which is the one which has fighters, capable warships, etc, so buying for the Army but not the other branches is consistent with stated government policy. Which brings us to that third question I mentioned: How to frame the size of the proposal. There is a prevalent view that "because the move is from 80 to 550 vehicles, there is a change in nature of the force". There are two assumptions in that: First, that 80 was the correct size for the DF to do everything it was expected to do for the three brigades it had back in 2000. It's a relatively token force, 45 of them are APCs: Not even enough to lift a full battalion. Did someone in the DF do an operational analysis and say "80 is the correct number of armoured vehicles we need to do all our jobs", or did the DF go "We need this many vehicles" only to be met by Finance going "you must be having a laugh, mate, we'll fund you for this many". I have no data, but I have my suspicions. The second assumption is that even is 80 was the correct vehicle number three decades ago, it is still the correct vehicle number today. As the drone advocates have noted, the battlefield has somewhat changed. It might have been well enough getting around in MAN trucks, Ford Transit vans and commandeered CIE buses back in the day, but when paramilitaries have access to drones, or when artillery ranges further on conventional battlefields (also observed by drones, most likely), or whatever, the tactical need has also changed. I can think of few instances where anyone has ever said "I wish we had fewer armoured vehicles" when trying to maneuver on a battlefield. Or in Lebanon. Or in Bosnia. Or Liberia (Note how the Swedes brought CV90s?) So, to summarise. If absolutely nothing changes in Ireland's security planning or foreign policy goals, a large armored vehicle purchase to equip a warfighting brigade is entirely consistent with those long-standing policies. It allows the DF to better achieve what it is already tasked to do and may be tasked to do in the future. If it is believed that Ireland should not have a conventional warfighting capability, then that will be a change, someone needs to tell the Defence Forces to stop planning to fight, and to instead become a peace-keeping force. And then hope that the Triple Lock goes away because otherwise there will be no peace-keeping opportunities for them to do it.
1
10
1
47
1,826