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PENN - ILLINOIS BEST BET Michael Zanoni O 9.5 Points (-122 FD / PLP / PP) - 0.35u - Penn 🧑‍🍳 w/ @KadeBets WE ARE 7-2 TO START THE TOURNAMENT SO FAR! GET THE VALUE -> WHOP.COM/THE-SLIP-CLUB Zanoni, the son of two Illini alumni, will play in his first tournament game tonight, coincidentally against Illinois and his former teammate (Mercer) Jake Davis. Penn will be without leading scorer Ethan Roberts, and potentially even 2nd leading scorer TJ Power, who did not practice Wednesday due to illness. Even if Power plays, its likely his condition will positively benefit Zanoni, along with Roberts' absence. Without Penn's leading scorer active, Zanoni has 8, 11, 23, 23, 12, 9 points on 7, 15, 17, 14, 12, 10 combined FGA/FTA. To add context to the two misses, he only played 25 minutes in the game with 8 points and TJ Power nuked with 44 points in the game with 9 points. Neither will happen today. Diving deeper into Zanoni's season, he has averaged 11.6 pts/game, but this number jumps to 15.9 in games where he plays at least 30 minutes, a mark he achieved in 5/6 games without Roberts (37+ in all 5 such games). Earlier this year, Zanoni scored 30pts vs Providence and 23 vs GMU, both games vs more talented opponents. Illinois has struggled all year to stop off-ball screens, which Zanoni is heavily involved in, and he loves to take the mid range shots (99th %ile FGA) that Illinois wants and allows opponents to take. In games without Roberts, Zanoni has taken almost 1/5 of Penn's FGA as a team, averaging 9.7 non-paint FGA per game (11.4 FGA/game incl. paint shots).

No NBA today? I got you! My FAVORITE play tonight!!! Dylan Andrews U 17.5 Points 🧑‍🍳 w/ @KadeBets All my plays -> whop.com/the-slip-club All @kadebets plays -> tinyurl.com/C2Cbets Line has shifted DRASTICALLY since we posted in our premiums, make sure you join to get all the value!!! Right now, 23.5 PRA > 15.5 P > 18.5 PR > 19.5 PA Great spot to back Dylan Andrews here. As is, he is under this line in 20/24 games during regulation. When looking at the four misses, three came with 4+ 3PTs made (avg 1.5 on szn) and the other came with a szn high 19 FGA (avg 9.5 on szn). All of these are clear outliers and easy explanations as to why he went over. Now, we get a BRUTAL matchup in UNLV for Dylan Andrews. While UNLV’s defense is mediocre at best, they excel exceptionally at one thing: limiting the 3-ball. They rank 1st in the Mountain West in both 3PA/game allowed (18.9) and 3PAr (34.2%). It’s almost as brutal of a matchup as it gets for a 3-point shooter, which is important to note as half of his shooting volume comes from behind the arc. Along with his high 3PAr, he only scores 23.4% of PITP. When looking at Mountain West players who score < 25% PITP vs UNLV, they put up the following numbers: Bennett 13pts/7reb Hall 16pts/2reb DixonWaters 13pts/7reb King 4pts/1reb Hobin 11pts/7reb Greenberg 3pts/3reb Chol 6pts/5reb Douglas 12pts/1reb Faas 6pts/3reb Goodarzi 8pts/3reb, 21pts/4reb Players are under this line in 10/11 chances with the only miss Goodarz who played 40 minutes and shot 8/8 from FT. As mentioned earlier, this is just a dreadful matchup for Andrews due to UNLV’s ability to eliminate the three. When facing MW teams ranked in the top 5 in opponent 3PA/game, Andrews put up the following numbers: 14 vs UNLV on 8 attempts 14 vs Wyoming on 7 attempts 11 vs SJST on 7 attempts 10 and 4 vs GC on 9 and 4 attempts 16 vs USU on 13 attempts You can go even further into detail and look at Andrews outside of conference play versus teams top 100 in opponents 3PA this season: 9 vs SMC on 6 attempts 10 vs Wichita on 6 attempts 7 vs UVU on 3 attempts In general, under 17.5 in 8/8 and under 14.5 in 7/8. He also recorded below szn average in FGA in 7/8. The one miss for 14.5 and FGA was vs Utah State, which was an egregious outlier due to Buchanan only playing 10 minutes and Fielder only playing 15 minutes, both of whom account for > 25 mpg during conference play. Finally, just to hammer in the point of a brutal matchup even more, Andrews shoots 45% of his shooting volume on ATB 3PT shots. This is perfect as UNLV allows only 23.3% of shots to come from ATB during conference play, which is 6.6% below national average. With 4 or less ATB 3PA, he is under this line in 12/13 games and more impressively failed to score more than 10 points in 11/13 games. With 5 or less ATB 3PA, he is under this line in 15/17 games. It’s hard to see 6+ ATB 3PA for him here, as he’s only done so in 5 games and gets the worst matchup for that area here. Let's cash tonight!

Fade this line today ⬇️ Braden Smith U 2.5 3PTs Made 👩‍🍳 w/ @KadeBets @shmoneycbb Love Braden this season, but this line is WAY too high. Played for 0.8u here! Must take line here for Braden who seemingly has an incredibly inflated 3pt line. He went 22/36 on this line last season, but context required for why we’re taking the under. For starters, he is absolutely surrounded by shooters this season. With CJ Cox and Fletcher Loyer in the starting lineup, he went under in 16/23, a much better hit rate than he had with Cox coming off the bench. Throw in the addition of Omer Meyer and the already proven Gicarri Harris and we’re going to see at worst a slight dip in 3pt volume. This has been shown in scrimmages so far with 30.77% of his shots coming from behind the arc, a 15.79% decrease from his 2024 rate of 46.56%. If we were to assume that his 3pt volume does decrease, we can put a cap on his 3PA at 7 3PA. With less than 7 3PA in 2024, he went under this line in 20/22 games. It’s also worth noting he had 7, 3, and 3 3PA in his three “squash” games last season. Matchup is fairly good here as well, as Evansville guards the ball-handler exceptionally well in comparison to others with multiple pass-first oriented guards going under this line. Thornton 0/4 Teel 1/3, 2/5 Stirtz 2/5, 1/5 Whitt 0/3, 1/2 Deen 4/10 McHenry 2/5 Wood 0/3, 6/9 Mason 0/2, 1/2