$HG_F LME copper settling into a potential symmetrical triangle — second touch of the upper trendline (~$13,910) still needed, but today's decline warns it may not get there. $13,688 (smaller than wave target + 20-day MA) held on close, but odds lean toward testing $13,596 then key support at $13,475. Below $13,475 opens $13,228. On the upside, above $13,815 targets the upper trendline and $13,951 — settling above that confirms a breakout with $14,105 and higher in play.
Full Kase metals analysis covers LME base metals, COMEX precious metals, spot gold, and more: kaseco.com/trial-request-for…
#Copper #LMECopper #BaseMetals
$NG_F July nat gas stalled at $3.299 and formed a daily bearish engulfing line — near-term odds favor a test of $3.08 ahead of the holiday weekend. Settling below $3.08 confirms bearish and clears the way for $3.05 and $3.00. Still a tight call though — prices already testing the 38% retracement from $3.299 in post-settlement. Above $3.21 targets $3.25, then $3.30 and the $3.33 smaller than target of the primary wave up from $2.893. Above $3.33 confirms bullish and puts $3.40 in play.
Full Kase nat gas analysis covers key futures, calendar spreads, UNG ETF, and electricity contracts: kaseco.com/trial-request-for…
#NaturalGas #NatGas
$BRN_F Brent broke $81.45 and settled below the 1.618 wave target and equal to target of the wave down from $108.04. Next targets: $77.7, then $75.9 (confirmed double top target). Below $75.9 opens $74.1 and lower. Bounce due but no confirmed bullish signals yet. Key resistance $83.8. #BrentCrude #CrudeOil
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$NG_F July nat gas tested $3.08 (equal to target + 62% retracement) then bounced back above the 20-day MA. Near-term odds lean toward testing $3.23 again. Above $3.28 targets $3.34–$3.40. Below $3.14 risks a drop to $3.07, then $3.00–$2.96. Range-bound between $3.08–$3.40 while both hold. #NaturalGas #NatGas
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$WTI bearish below $86.4. Broke $86.35 and $86.13 swing lows but stalled at $85.95. Next target $85.4 — then $78.1 if that breaks. Key resistance $91.9 (50-day MA). Late bounce warns a resistance test may come first. #CrudeOil #WTI #EnergyMarkets
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Silver remains technically vulnerable below the 50-day moving average.
🔻 Below $74.93:
→ opens the way for $72.53
→ then $69.31
→ and possibly $67.93
🟢 Bulls need a close above $79.75:
→ to signal the decline is failing
→ opening the way for $81.80 and potentially $84.38
Bottom line: Silver’s broader technical structure still leans bearish while prices remain below the 50-day moving average, but the market is nearing levels where either downside acceleration or a meaningful corrective rebound could develop quickly.
Read the full daily update:
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#Silver #PreciousMetals #Commodities $SI
The natural gas correction may be complete...
Today’s pullback confirmed a bearish momentum divergence and formed an intraday head-and-shoulders pattern.
🔻 Below $2.98:
→ confirms the head and shoulders
→ targets $2.93
→ then $2.87 and possibly $2.83 (target of the head and shoulders)
🟢 Bulls regain control above $3.16:
→ Rising above $3.08 calls for another attempt at $3.16
→ Settling above $3.16 calls for $3.20 and $3.24
The broader trend is still technically bullish — but near-term downside risk is rising quickly.
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#NaturalGas #EnergyMarkets #Commodities $NG
Diesel is struggling to overcome resistance at $4.18.
That level has held for a week and could form a significant triple top.
🟢 Above $4.18:
→ $4.237
→ then new contract highs
→ $4.317 and possibly $4.424
🔻 Below $3.942:
→ opens the way for $3.866
A close below $3.866 would confirm the triple top and shift the outlook toward:
→ $3.748
→ possibly $3.564
Trend indicators remain neutral, so the next breakout or breakdown could be decisive.
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#Diesel #EnergyMarkets #Commodities $HO
Natural gas is testing a support zone.
Today’s pullback challenged near-term support at $2.84 after prices failed to sustain momentum near $2.93.
🟢 Above $2.89:
→ $2.92
→ then the highly confluent $2.97 target
🔻 Below $2.84:
→ $2.81
→ $2.78
→ then key support at $2.73
The broader structure still favors higher prices — but downside risk is growing after today’s weak bounce.
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#NaturalGas #EnergyMarkets #Commodities $NG
Brent crude keeps climbing — but $107.9 may be a decision point.
🟢 Above $107.9:
→ $110.7
→ $112.5
→ $115.7
🔻 Below $101.0: Odds increase for a deeper pullback toward $96.5
Trend structure still favors higher prices, but daily trend indicators are neutral, and consolidation risk is still present.
Read the full daily update: kaseco.com/uncategorized/bre…
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#BrentCrude #CrudeOil #Commodities $BZ
Gold’s bullish Harami was confirmed yesterday… but today’s follow-through was weak.
That makes this a very tight technical setup.
🟢 Above $4762:
→ $4816
→ then $4889
🔻 Below $4523:
→ $4430
→ likely $4368
For now, bulls still have the edge while $4523 holds, but this is a tight call ahead of the weekend.
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Natural Gas remains bearish 👇
Break of $2.746 invalidates prior bullish wave from $2.592.
Now it’s all about $2.69:
🔻 Close < $2.69 → $2.66 → $2.58
🔻 Opens door below $2.62 (major confluence)
🟢 Only way bulls regain control:
Close > $2.81 → $2.87 → $2.98
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📩 DM “NATGAS”
WTI Crude Oil: Market at a Decision Point
WTI is consolidating within Monday’s range—typically a signal that traders are waiting for the next catalyst. The broader uptrend remains intact. However, confirmed daily bearish divergences (KaseCD, MACD, RSI) suggest the market may need a deeper correction before making another push higher.
Key technical levels for tomorrow:
· $100.2 → Breakdown opens downside toward $95.3
· $103.5 → First signal of renewed strength
· $105.3 → Momentum acceleration level
· $108.3 → Breakout → targets $111.1 and higher
This is a tight range with asymmetric risk—exactly the type of environment where timing and levels matter most.
We track this daily with:
· Short-term tactical updates
· Weekly multi-market energy forecasts (WTI, Brent, products, spreads)
· Structured scenarios—not just opinions
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#WTI #CrudeOil #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading
WTI Crude Oil Price Forecast – February 3, 2026
March WTI crude oil initially fell to challenge the 38 percent retracement of the rise from $54.84 at $62.0 and the $61.5 larger than (1.618) target of the wave down from $66.48 again. Both levels held on a closing basis for the second straight day, and the rise from $61.12 is poised to reach its $64.3 smaller than (0.618) target. This is also the 62 percent retracement of the decline from $66.48. Settling above $64.3 will imply that the corrective pullback from $66.48 is complete and call for a push to challenge the $65.2 equal to (1.00) target of this wave and the 78 percent retracement. Rising to $65.2 will also fill Monday's breakaway gap down from $65.21. Settling above $65.2 will call for another test of $66.1, an important target that held on a closing basis last week. Settling above $66.1 will clear the way for $66.9 and higher, putting March WTI back on a path to eventually challenge the $69.8 confirmation point of a double bottom that formed between the $54.56 and $54.84 swing lows.
Monday's midpoint held on a closing basis, and the daily bearish KaseCD divergence and Stochastic overbought signals that were confirmed within the past few days warn that a deeper test of support might still occur. Taking out the $62.6 corrective swing low of the wave up from $61.12 will invalidate this wave and the connection it makes from $64.2 to $65.2 and higher. This will also call for another test of $62.0 and possibly key near-term support at $61.5. Settling below $61.5 will put the near-term odds in favor of March WTI falling to challenge $60.6 and lower.
This is a brief analysis for the next day or so. Our weekly Crude Oil Forecast is a much more detailed and thorough energy price forecasts that cover WTI, Brent, RBOB Gasoline, Diesel, and spreads. Daily updates are included. If you are interested in learning more, please sign up for a complimentary four-week trial at kaseco.com/trial-request-for…
#WTI #CrudeOil #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading
It was an absolute honor to speak with James Brodie, C.M.T. (@jamesrbrodie) about the markets and market psychology on Flux Markets first episode of Train to Trade.
It is absolutely worth watching, because James and his colleagues cover a lot of great information.
Thank you to James and everyone at Flux Markets for the opportunity. I look forward to joining them again soon.
The Truth About Trading: How Pros Read Markets Before Everyone Else youtu.be/lQvWUXAHo1I?si=S5HI… via @YouTube
LME copper’s formation of a double top around $13400, and today’s confirmation of daily bearish momentum divergence and overbought signals, indicate that a deeper correction will probably occur before the uptrend extends. The intraday wave formation down from $13407 also makes a connection to the double top’s $12517 confirmation point. However, this is a tight call for the next couple of days because the late move up from $12915 calls for a test of $13200 and possibly another attempt to settle above $13400.
Read our short-term outlook at kaseco.com/copper-price-fore…
#Copper #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading
Brent crude oil has turned decisively bullish, breaking above the $64.81 swing high and settling above key Fibonacci projection levels and the 100- and 200-day moving averages. Prices are now trading above all major moving averages, daily trend indicators are bullish, and a double bottom around $58.4 strengthens the bullish case. A sustained close above $66.1 will call for $66.9 and likely $68.0. Key near-term support is $64.1, with a deeper correction to $63.1 and possibly lower in the case that $64.1 fails to hold.
Read our short-term outlook at kaseco.com/oil-price-forecas…
#BrentCrude #Oil #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis
















