Executive director of @progressireland. Sign up at the link for one policy idea per week.

Dublin via London via Limerick
Joined March 2008
Ireland relies on the UK for its gas, and the UK's gas store is alarmingly low.
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Without its own gas storage, Ireland is vulnerable to shortages. Ireland is planning to build a liquefied natural gas (LNG) storage facility, called the Strategic Gas Emergency Reserve, but this could take years. The planning application for it is due by the end of this year. Until it’s built, Ireland runs the risk of running out of gas, or paying soaring prices to plug an emergency gap.
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Seán Keyes retweeted
There is one straightforward fix for Europe's debt problem — land value tax European countries tax land lightly (ie France abolished the Taxe d'Habitation in 2023 for primary residences) Taxing land rents won't lead to capital flight, and can preserve construction incentives
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Seán Keyes retweeted
A lot of intellectual puzzles disappear if you model all 'endowments' – reliable incomes or wealth or property that people receive – as being possessions or rights in the eyes of the public. There is a tendency to see only classic common law property rights as actual, genuine property. In a sense, this is true. But I think to reify this distinction too much, we are applying our own moral distinctions to the situation artificially, in a way that doesn't predict people's behaviour. I think it's easier to understand people's behaviour if we see quite a few more things as morally like 'property' in the eyes of those affected: government payments – disability benefits, pensions, housing benefits, in-kind benefits like social housing, and valuable states of affairs that people have a stake in and care a lot about and have historically managed to keep fairly stable, like the character of their neighbourhood. All that's really going on here is the endowment effect. In general, people prefer to hold onto something versus getting a new thing of an equal value. My contention is that extent of the experienced endowment effect is largely driven by different dimensions of social trust. For example, developing countries find it very difficult to expropriate property in service of public goods, and they do it very seldom. The most developed countries can take property easily. (Compare building a metro in Delhi versus building it in France: in France the promoters will demolish freely; in Delhi they will build it over roads and rights of way they already own.) Drawing this out, an implication of my contention is that the paradigm feature of state & social development is being able to change endowments. The more people a government can, with public consent, make worse off, in service of a social end, the more developed it is. This is why I say that the recent inability of the Labour government to justify either raising taxes (making taxpayers worse off) or cutting benefits (making recipients worse off) in service of the nation's wellbeing (producing public goods), is an indicator of Britain's falling development level. Same for the US. xitter.cf/bswud/status/204113912…
As Matt Yglesias rightly says, this is a worrying signal of declining state legitimacy: even the centre-left parties don’t believe they can make the case for the state raising taxes and spending them on public goods
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“Abundance failed.” *Senate releases grand bargain on permitting negotiated by its foremost climate hawk*
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Seán Keyes retweeted
I want you to put the word out there that we back up
☢️ HUGE NUCLEAR POWER REVERSAL ☢️ Taiwan approved a preliminary plan to restart an idled atomic power plant, marking a reversal of the ruling party’s anti-nuclear stance. It closed its last reactor last year The earliest the plant may resume is 2028 bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Seán Keyes retweeted
Jesus christ
Some data we recently assembled on entrepreneurship/compute in Europe: eudata.vercel.app. We hope that one of the useful roles that Stripe can play is in collecting and publishing empirical data pertaining to entrepreneurship and industry in Europe. There's growing appetite to get Europe on a better footing, and cross-sectional comparisons can often shine light on where opportunities lie. If you're interested in this kind of thing, we publish more at stripeeconomics.substack.com.
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Seán Keyes retweeted
One thing I believe firmly is that the YIMBY/NIMBY problems we have today are directly equivalent to the land fragmentation problems – and related political economy issues – that essentially all societies faced in their agrarian past. To begin with, homeownership is literally landownership in nearly all cases other than a few mass leaseholder locations like Singapore, Hong Kong, Britain before 1960, and Canberra, Australia. Second, it is 'splintered' or 'fragmented' into many different plots. In an important sense, the crazy cadastral maps of, say, Galicia in Northwestern Spain, look like the standard property lot maps in most countries today. Third, there are an enormous number of customary rules and rights governing how the land can be used. Farm life has always been partly communal, varying by crop, location, population density, and so on. To insure against bad years wiping them out, farmers owned (or had lease/copyholds on) strips across many fields. Strips were cultivated individually but rotations were coordinated collectively. Ox teams were shared. This is inevitable. So too today do we have land use rules that are designed to express the interest of the broader community, ranging from rules preventing me from extracting oil, tanning leather, or blasting music at all hours, to rules preventing me from knocking my property down to replace it with a giant block, shading all my neighbours, from housing dozens of extra people on my property, or even in some places just against making my house ugly enough to bother people. As @mattyglesias, @ProfSchleich, @nicholas_bagley, Bill Fischel, @CSElmendorf, @LawHeller, @RickHills2 & others have written, we need simpler, arguably more American property rights, the kinds of property rights that most European countries attained only after centuries of difficult reform. And I think we should look to those centuries of reform as a guide to what might be possible.
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Check out our new branding. Meet the most down-to-earth brand in the sky ☁️ – at Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Today, Manna is getting a new look. We spend a lot of time looking up. But everything we do is for life down here. So we’ve created a new identity that feels a little more down-to-earth. Meet the most down-to-earth brand in the sky ☁️ Experience it at f.mtr.cool/mkztgvguqz
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Seán Keyes retweeted
No one is operating anywhere near this level. I’m like a looney tunes guy with the eyes coming out of my head, just flabbergasted he’s even allowed to say that.
🚨 At the U20 Mayors Summit, Mamdani Says the Left Has Ceded “Quality of Life,” “Efficiency,” and “Fraud and Waste” to the Right This was one of the more interesting arguments Zohran Mamdani made today at the U20 Mayors Summit, and a reminder that he can be genuinely sharp when he drops the “central casting” routine. “In New York City, there are certain words that have taken on ideological associations.” “Quality of life has come to be seen as somehow a right-wing concern. Efficiency… has been taken on as a right-wing concern, rooting out fraud and waste, a right-wing concern.” Mamdani’s argument is that refusing to engage those issues actually helps the Right. “If you are staring at an example of social disorder or social inefficiency, and the left refuses to explain either why it has happened or how they will fix it, then the right gets to point at someone in the immediate area and say, ‘That’s who did it.’” The harder question is how much of the broader Left is actually prepared to follow the advice.
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This is good news and will reduce the risk and cost of building everything from wastewater treatment plants to new homes. Ireland does about 51 environmental impact assessments per million people; Germany does 4; the Netherlands and Denmark do 2. Government plans already screen for environmental impact, so having developers (incl the State itself) do more screenings is just wasteful duplication In 2010, the European Commission estimated that the cost of EIAs is about €146-215 million per year (with the costs to developers--incl governments-- estimated to be about half a billion to €846 million per year). rte.ie/news/politics/2026/09…
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Seán Keyes retweeted
Today, we publish a Transformative AI Strategy for Europe. Over the last few months, we’ve rallied researchers and engaged with governments to develop a plan for protecting the prosperity, sovereignty, and security of Europeans in a time of rapid AI progress. transformative-ai.eu @MonikaSchnitzer and I are honored to have convened an all-star team of thinkers and researchers contributing ambitious near-term objectives to make Europe relevant again, including: — Creating a Member State Alliance for Supply Chain Security (@anton_d_leicht et al) — Making European institutions ready to act in a transformative AI world (Conor McGlynn et al) — Securing Europe's share of global AI compute, in a ‘European Way’ that benefits local communities (@philip_fox_ et al) — Ensuring resilience to AI crises (@ben_s_bucknall et al) — Making Europe the global leader in assurance technology — And more objectives around security of supply and leverage (@milorignell et al), economic strength (@FraukeStehr et al), and safety/security (@NoemiDreksler et al) Our all-star senior expert council of Europe’s best and brightest (and non-European friends) reviewed drafts, provided strategic advice, and made suggestions for how to make the strategy more useful: @Ph_Aghion @Christophkw @bakkermichiel @ischinger @vestager @aleks_madry @FuestClemens Marta Kwiatkowska @LeoVaradkar @antonosika @DAcemogluMIT @Yoshua_Bengio It’s never been more clear: AI is real, and Europe needs to act. We’ve had all the warning shots and wake-up calls we need. Now the question is ‘what must be done?’ This strategy is our answer. transformative-ai.eu
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"Dublin, and East Ireland in general, are too densely populated" Sorry, what?
People seem to think I’m not being 100% serious when I say Ireland should build a new, jaw droppingly beautiful capital. Dublin, and East Ireland in general, are far too densely populated. Irish cities are also, for the most part, architecturally unimpressive and kind of ugly. We should build a new capital. It doesn’t need to house millions of people either, a city of like 100,000–200,000 people would be perfectly fine. I think it should be located either just north of Athlone, as that area is the most geographically central part of Ireland, or in the northwest near Lough Conn, at the base of Mount Nephin. The latter would represent a shift towards the historic Gaelic heartlands of the west. Architecturally, the city should have a distinctly Irish version of Rococo, Gothic and Baroque styles, with a few timber framed buildings to add even more character. Think of a rich, fairytale fantasy kingdom, but designed as a real city. It should be built around people rather than cars, with large parks, walkable cobbled streets and beautiful public spaces. Even apartments and homes in the city centre should be designed with multiple bedrooms so that families and children can comfortably live there. “But le costs” Literally who gives a fuck? We can’t have nice things because muh heckin’ costs is a retarded way to think. Beautiful cities can also generate millions through tourism. Where would you rather visit? Rome or Norilsk? Not to mention that we now have robotic stone cutting and statue carving robots capable of making ornate façades and decorative architecture way cheaper and faster to produce. The city could be called something like Coróin or Seoid, meaning “Crown” and “Jewel” in Irish. The Crown of the Emerald Isle. The Jewel of Ireland. That kind of thing. Why shouldn’t Ireland build something cool for once?
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Seán Keyes retweeted
In Dublin, the median house price is around five times the median household income. In Sydney, it’s 14x. Housing shortages and high prices are unfortunately common in cities across the world. Here are some things governments around the world are doing to solve their housing shortage.
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Seán Keyes retweeted
"We cannot avoid this issue simply because it is politically difficult"
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I am shocked, shocked to find out that a productivity-enhancing, investment-supporting technology is good for workers. (Knowing nothing else this should be your prior, because this is how productivity in competitive markets almost always works.)
The jobs apocalypse is postponed. An AI jobs boom is here According to @TheEconomist, AI is actually proving to be a net job creator in the US, easily generating over 1M new positions (from data center construction to AI engineering) to offset back-office layoffs. While routine admin and customer service roles face real disruption, the overall labor market is proving resilient. economist.com/finance-and-ec…
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Seán Keyes retweeted
Sweden to build a GE Hitachi SMR plant by mid 2030s. One of these plants would meet around 30% of our current electricity needs. This demonstrates that a 2040 completion date is achievable for Ireland, given an extra five years for legislation adoption and regulator setup.
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Seán Keyes retweeted
Delighted to be selected as one of the Rhine fellows. Much of what is best about our current world was shaped by Europe and its thinkers. But the future is rapidly approaching! And Europe is poorly positioned to influence it. I am still optimistic about what Europe has to offer the world – but a lot has to change. This is a great group of people working on this important problem.
An announcement: Under the leadership of Mario Draghi and @patrickc we have set up the Rhine Group: policymakers, economists, entrepreneurs and business people pushing European reforms and the Draghi agenda. rhinegroup.eu/
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