Lab4crypto

Bitcoin's recent drop triggered $1.65 BILLION in liquidations. While everyone is focused on the crash, several key indicators are approaching levels historically associated with major BTC bottoms. 🎥 Full analysis 👇 youtu.be/cRDcZ9V2YsE

#Bitcoin : Spot Buying vs. Perps Selling! An interesting divergence is emerging: Spot CVD: +$308M in net aggressive buying. Perps CVD: -$3.6B in net aggressive selling. Two possible scenarios: 1. Spot demand persists: Buyers absorb the selling pressure, potentially setting up a short squeeze. 2. Spot demand fades: Perps selling takes control, potentially pushing BTC into the long liquidation cluster and accelerating the downside. 📷$BTC bottom floor is at $70K

We are sitting right at the Bull Market Support Band ($73.4K), with the Lab4crypto RANSAC bottom floor acting as the ultimate structural support just below at $70.3K. This tight $70.3K - $73.4K window historically presents a highly favorable, asymmetric risk/reward setup for spot accumulation and DCA.

I feel you🥲

Waiting for lower Bitcoin lows? The mathematical probabilities are heavily stacked against you. If we look back at the explosive recovery from the cycle bottom, Bitcoin gave us a clear blueprint. After the supply in profit initially dropped below 50%, it triggered a massive 74% rally over the following months, which eventually cooled off to a supply in profit of 59.2% by March 2023 before grinding much higher. Fast forward to today, and we are witnessing a nearly identical structural setup on the charts. As of November 8, 2026, Bitcoin's supply in profit has settled right back into that same critical pivot zone at 58.5%. Here is the real wake-up call for the bears. Look at the RANSAC Floor Fit model, which tracks the asset's absolute historical baseline. Right now, the mathematical bottom for bitcoin:native sits at exactly $70,249. Historically, Bitcoin spends 99% of its entire lifecycle above this red line. If you are sitting on your hands hoping for a catastrophic dip below $70K, you are literally betting your portfolio on a 1% anomaly. At current levels, any Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) between the $70K mathematical floor and the $73.3K Bull Market Support Band is an absolute gift. The trend is clear, and the data is staring us right in the face. Don't let a 1% probability shake you out of a 99% setup.

The post-election messaging from Democrats is clear: an aggressive crackdown on AI capital expenditures and development is on the horizon. As an investor, the ultimate question isn't just "what gets regulated"; it’s "where does that capital flow instead?" If big tech and speculative AI capital face regulatory headwinds, liquidity needs a new home. Looking at the Total Crypto Market Capitalization Power Law model, crypto is sitting right near its historical support baseline, severely undervalued compared to its long-term adoption curve. In hindsight, a crackdown on AI might be the exact catalyst liquidity needs to rotate into crypto.

bitcoin:native update: The Lab4crypto Price vs. Risk metric is currently sitting at an incredibly low 25.1%, with price around $76.6k. The risk-to-reward ratio is looking highly favorable for considering DCAing now.

If you get one more chance, do not screw it up. These opportunities happen in less than 1% of Bitcoin's history. The current $BTC bottom floor is $69.5K.

If Bitcoin drops below $69.4K, my bottom model would be invalidated, raising the possibility that the June low of $57K was not the cycle bottom after all.

Bitcoin dropped from $86K to $80K, pushing Supply in Profit from 75.5% to 64.6%. Fewer holders in profit could mean less selling pressure. With the FOMC and US midterms approaching, I expect range-bound trading with occasional liquidation cascades. My bitcoin:native bull-market thesis remains intact.