PhD Economist. Finance & Risk Management. Personal research only. Not financial advice.
Mars
Joined May 2026
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Hear me out, boys. I'm calling for Moonvember! 🚀
I'm buying the fear and adding more altcoins.
Price of some assets in my watch list right now:
ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 : $0.38
$NEAR : $4.12
$DOGE: $0.0753
$ICP: $2.51
$FET: $0.16
As always, I could be wrong and I'm not your financial advisor. NFA and DYOR!!!
Retails are scared shitless right now, but I'm not.
I keep adding to my altcoin bags. The altseason I predicted back in August is still on track, in my opinion.
But that's me and my money. I'm not your financial advisor. Your money, your decision. DYOR.
None of my posts are financial advice. ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 dogecoin:native $NEAR
I've been saying since day one of talking about bittensor:native that
"Alpha is designed to be a speculative slow-motion rug."
My view hasn't changed.
BITTENSOR ALERT: SN39 fell 13% in 5 minutes, from 0.01286 to 0.01120 TAO between 9:20 and 9:25 AM CT on November 2, on a net outflow of about 1,590 TAO (about $364K).
Earlier that morning the Lium (SN51) team, which holds the SN39 slot, said it is letting a new builder use it for free and does not endorse the project or its token. Minutes after the drop, that builder announced Kokoah: AI trading agents on Hyperliquid, scored daily on their public trading record.
I decided to sell bittensor:native when it broke below its weekly red Ichimoku cloud.
I'm interested in buying back around $163.21, where sell-side liquidity is sitting.
The bittensor:native moo-boys are starting to lose interest, but I'm waiting until most of them have completely lost interest.
NFA and DYOR!
I sold all my $TAO right before the dump. The chart suggested a pump to $340, but my instinct told me to sell.
I didn’t post about it because I knew the TAO moo-boys would come talk shit again, and there was still a good chance the price would pump.
I sold based on instinct, NOT the chart.
I currently hold ZERO $TAO.
Everything is going down on near:native except OI. That's a bearish signal to me.
I've been calling for $3.096 near:native for the past 3–4 weeks, but damn, it feels like a thousand years ago.
NFA and DYOR!
$GOLD is the only asset in green today, and my bitcoin:native bag is still 25% above water.
Now you understand why I never touch my $GOLD and bitcoin:native bags. I keep holding them for years.
NFA and DYOR!!!
My ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 bag is now just 3% above water. Should’ve sold more and kept cash when I smelled blood. 💀
Cry me a river. 😭😭😭
Dear my 10 ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 shitcoin army, I smell some blood coming, so I decided to sell 5% of my ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 bag at $0.59 for risk management. Nothing more, nothing less.
If the price pulls back, I'll buy back. If ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 goes to the moon, I'll be happy with my remaining 95%.
I just want to keep some cash on the sidelines. Protecting my capital comes first.
I could be wrong. NFA, DYOR.
I just added base:0x00f3c42833c3170159af4e92dbb451fb3f708917 at $2.514.
OI is dropping while RSI is rising. OBV and price are flattening out. Looks like retail is losing interest, but buying pressure could be building under the hood.
I could be wrong. I'm just sharing charts and my own opinions, not financial advice.
No one knows the future. No one.
NFA. DYOR.
Retails are scared shitless right now, but I'm not.
I keep adding to my altcoin bags. The altseason I predicted back in August is still on track, in my opinion.
But that's me and my money. I'm not your financial advisor. Your money, your decision. DYOR.
None of my posts are financial advice. ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 dogecoin:native $NEAR
I use my personal X impressions as a contrarian sentiment indicator for ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753.
When impressions spike, ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 is often near a local top. When impressions drop, a bottom might be getting closer.
Current impressions are pretty low, suggesting the ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 bottom could be quite close.
It's not a perfect indicator, but it helps me understand retail sentiment.
NFA. DYOR.
ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 could be setting up for a 10% move higher in the coming days.
My concern is the flattening OBV, potentially suggesting big boys are selling while retail buys the dip. OI is also rising slightly.
Cautiously bullish, but nothing is guaranteed and no one knows the future. NFA!
If this pattern plays out, we could see ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 reaching $2.20–$2.35 by around March 2027, potentially ahead of OpenAI's rumored 2027 IPO.
NFA and DYOR.
ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 is still fighting to hold the weekly red Ichimoku cloud.
If the cloud holds as support, the uptrend could continue in the coming weeks. If not, I may consider selling part of my ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 bag.
Let's see how it plays out. NFA. DYOR.
ethereum:0xaea46a60368a7bd060eec7df8cba43b7ef41ad85 hit the weekly red cloud and got rejected. This is the first time, and it seems history isn't repeating itself.
I still hold a very small bag of ethereum:0xaea46a60368a7bd060eec7df8cba43b7ef41ad85 about 2-3% of my portfolio, just as a lottery ticket. Nothing more.
I hope it pumps, but even if it keeps dumping all the way to $0.00001, my overall portfolio will be fine.
NFA and DYOR.
Wow, my Italian lady @Marrenin found the ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 demo bro I've been talking about. 🤣🤣
@Mattertrades just deleted their post about buying $WLD after it dropped 30% a few hours after he bought teapaw.org/mattertrades/status/21…
Finally, I see the first bullish sign for ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 in the last few days.
The situation has changed. People are scared of leverage now, which I've been discouraging since ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 was at $0.58.
Instead, they're buying spot now. Price could still dump, but those spot buyers are putting real money into the market.
To me, that's a much healthier sign for a potential recovery.
Lady Lee is going to become a ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 influencer. 🤣
AI is enabling even more sophisticated hacks into financial institutions
- one solution is employ ‘proof of human’ in the loop
- to prevent agents/ password infiltration
Not a guarantee to mitigate
$WLD @worldnetwork is the only proven proof of human platform
$ORBS @Iamhuman_ORBS
FYI: ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 has a 99% daily VaR of 15.7%. If you love this shitcoin, stick to spot or use very low leverage, preferably below 5x, with a stop loss.
A few days ago, I saw a demo bro go 25x long at $0.53. He got liquidated and deleted his post. 🤣
Then he opened another 10x long at $0.43 and got liquidated around $0.39. This time, he hasn't deleted his post yet.
Why do I think he's using a demo account? Because I refuse to believe anyone would be stupid enough to repeatedly use 20x–25x leverage without a stop loss using real money.
NFA. DYOR.
I built a well-diversified portfolio in Python, combining ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753, near:native, $ZEC, $SOL, $DOGE, $ETH, and $BTC.
Diversification can reduce risk while maintaining decent returns. But the portfolio's 99% daily VaR is still 10.67%. That means, based on historical data, a loss of 10.67% or more could happen on roughly 1% of trading days.
Now imagine using 10x leverage on your entire portfolio. One bad day and your portfolio could be RIP.
For individual assets like ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 or near:native, the 99% daily VaR is around 15.5%. With leverage above 6x, one bad day could wipe you out.
This is basic risk management, but many retail bros have no fooking idea about it. Instead, they follow demo bros flexing 25x leverage.
These are historical statistics, not predictions or fake profits from demo accounts.
No one knows the future. No fooking one!!!
NFA. DYOR.
