Writing the rules to answer the questions about the future
Chicago, IL
Joined March 2010
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Brian T. Edwards retweeted
IU fans, reminder: yell like crazy when Ohio State has the ball. Shhh when Indiana is on offense. 😱 at OSU; 🤫 at IU.
Brian T. Edwards retweeted
"I believe that AI could cure most major diseases in the next 5–10 years"
immediately close window and disregard insanity
Brian T. Edwards retweeted
I think it’s totally acceptable to have an open conversation about major or even existential risks from any new technology, especially one as powerful as AI.
But to hear certain doom bleated at us with total conviction by 23 year olds _working to advance_ the technology at breakneck speed? Utterly contemptible.
Brian T. Edwards retweeted
NATIONAL FOOTBALL MEDIA. Stop denigrating Kurtis Rourke's 2024 season when trying to figure out Indiana's QB situation this year.
2024 Kurtis Rourke passed for 3042 yds, 29 TDs, 5 INTs, and had a 69.4% completion percentage in 11 1/2 games - with a blown ACL and a broken thumb
Brian T. Edwards retweeted
Keep in mind this was Wood’s dissertation. It just happened to shape the debates on the nature of the American Founding for the next generation. Unbelievable achievement.
Brian T. Edwards retweeted
😂 Musk is so deep in the K-Hole he fantasizing about GPUs that defy physics! The probability he has a real plan to compete with Nvidia is idk maybe billion-to-1. Yet just yesterday he tweeted this about statistical improbability being hard evidence of fraud.
Does he not realize by his own logic his success is "hard evidence" that he is actually committing fraud?! teapaw.org/elonmusk/status/206374…
Brian T. Edwards retweeted
I am currently recruiting philosophers and linguists and raising money for the ISDA of prediction markets. We are building a common domain model to standardize market language and propositional resolution logic to automate resolution.
Brian T. Edwards retweeted
correct. it shouldn't have been tradeable anymore after may 25, in fact. the resolution date should always be a monday because that's when the announcement is made.
Brian T. Edwards retweeted
As a public company with shareholders and a regulator Strategy releases an 8-K every week. SEC requires announcements must come within 4 business days of sale. They might have sold again in May and wouldn't have to disclose it for 4 days, but they HAVE TO DISCLOSE IT in 4 days!
Brian T. Edwards retweeted
The market should have closed EOD May 31st and resolved YES on June 1st when 8K filing made. The YES bets on the 1st shouldn't have happened and the NO bets should have lost. This was easy to establish before the market was ever created and should be fixed going forward.
Brian T. Edwards retweeted
Absolutely wrong. The market rules should have incorporated the four days companies have to file an 8K. This is a discrete publicly reported figure, there should be no need for dispute resolution or consensus of credible reporting or whatever because there is a date by which you will have certainty.
Brian T. Edwards retweeted
Beaufort Castle, which the Israelis have bombed from the air and now occupied enjoys UNESCO enhanced protection.
This makes it directly illegal for it to be targeted and used for military purposes.
It is now occupied.
There is no equivocation that this is completely illegal
Israeli forces occupied Beaufort Castle in southern Lebanon today — the first time the IDF has been there since Israel’s full withdrawal in May 2000, 26 years ago.
Beaufort Castle (Qala’at al-Shaqif) sits on a strategic ridge near the Litani River and has deep historical significance for both sides.
Brian T. Edwards retweeted
There is no universe where this is not an evil act - cold blooded murder of innocents
Brian T. Edwards retweeted
GDP growth is driven more by consumption than production. 10% unemployment means negative growth no matter how smart the machines are.