"The winning side is Chaos and Unreason, but the gods, who are defeated, think that defeat no refutation" Thus, the defeat of conservatism, over the long C20th
Joined April 2020
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The aspect to consider next to my previous post about Trump's & US Republicans' dire political prospects is this, recently publicised by Robert Pape:
A third of Americans support political violence against the other side, twice as many as 2 yrs ago.
youtu.be/4uWWdgccWp0?t=2418
16% of Americans support political violence for Trump, 25% against Trump, overall 30% of the pop support political violence, because a proportion of independents support it against both sides. (!)
A great summary of the reality of Trump's & the US Republican Party's prospects this morning from Robert Barnes:
Impeachment, poss even successful, & the kind of collapse for the Repubs the "Conservatives" are getting here, for similar reasons.
youtu.be/KzDMGcNHpVc?t=1876
"Trump was the last chance for the two-party system to try to answer America's problems & address America's concerns. The mere fact someone like Trump ever got elected was a deep indication of that the system was fracturing an American political power structure....
1/2
However this repeat of the crimes & blunders of 1914 turns out, remember the Guilty Men like Carns, either as those who tried to lie us into a catastrophic, unnecessary war, or as the ones with the blood of many thousands or in the worst cases millions on their hands.
What does escalation with Russia look like.
For two years now I have been saying:
1. The chances of a geographically constrained conflict with Russia are higher than at any point in my 24 year military career.
2. Russia is losing more than it can afford in Ukraine (30k troops a month). Missiles and drones are hitting major cities, the elites are feeling the effects of the war and economically it’s taking a toll. Putin has few options left.
3. With nowhere left to go Russian doctrine would suggest either he escalates in Ukraine or he escalates horizontally. The former would require mobilising large sections of the population further upsetting the Russian elites. The latter needs to be significant enough to bring the international community to the table to de- escalate in Ukraine whilst being calculated enough that it doesn’t trigger a NATO Article Five response.
4. Horizontal escalation would look like drones targeting an allied nation under the pretext of protecting a Russian speaking population (all the Eastern European countries have geographical pockets of Russian speaking people), seizing an uninhabited island in the Baltics or a strategically important piece of land in the High North. It could be a drone strike on Critical National Infrastructure or on Allied Troops stationed near the border. It could be a significant increase in Hybrid attacks, Cyber and espionage for example.
5. Remember that the Russians have to justify to their population why escalation is necessary so a false flag operation or a major incident is often staged/manufactured then declared to justify a significant response.
6. As I have said until I am blue in the face, if our forces don’t resemble the Ukrainians, if they don’t have the same capabilities and capacity to fight large scale drone warfare like they do, then our forces are not a deterrent. They are an opportunity.
7. Ukraine has been a net importer of security for years. They are now a net exporter. We need the Ukrainians to help us defend our Eastern Flank. They are the best in the world at this type of defence.
Much of this will be tracked and observed, understanding the indicators will be key.
Keep close eyes on elite drone formations. Where they go trouble is likely to follow.
The best way to deter this from happening is to be prepared and actively demonstrate that to the Russians.
But seriously have a think as to how you deter a leader that has willingly sustained 1.5 million casualties. That’s more than America took in WWII. It’s difficult…
Ladies & gentlemen, your "conservative" British patriotic elite.
It's ok to replace British people with foreigners as long as those foreigners can do some useful work.
Throughout Europe, school results for children of migrants are worse than natives
Only in UK are they actually better
In fact, UK 2nd-gen migrants do better than ANY Euro cohort: native or immigrant
If demography is destiny, UK's doing ok.
My column:-
times-comment.com/britishkid…
Mark Marksson retweeted
This is what happens when our decline is obvious and openly discussed in other countries, ranging from Russia to Argentina. We are becoming a potential target.
Our governing elites hide away in a world of displacement activity; caught in their treadmill of DEI, climate change, obsessions with 'whiteness' which they overcome by mass, male immigration from the developing world, etc, etc.
They blame Thatcher, global conditions; anyone but themselves for our woes.
Meanwhile we are overtaxed, over-regulation whilst our armed forces are starved of funds and run-down. We are seen as weak.
This is not inevitable. It is an outcome of bad policy decisions over 30 years which are suddenly becoming both worse and much much, more visible.
telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2…
The risk in the current elite push for war with Russia is not that we might be conscripted to die in the east. The idea we have the capability to conscript, train, equip & support in the field in the Ukraine any significant numbers is fatuous.
What we should be worried about is
"Tyler
@cillianblack
17m
Replying to
@MarkMarksson
You didn’t at all understand my point."
teapaw.org/cillianblack/status/20…
Of course I understood his point perfectly well, but he's apparently a "post & block" coward. Another way he's like the "racism!" hysterics.
unavailable
On the face of it, he's the direct equivalent of the old "Conservative" Party gatekeepers saying "if the party goes down the racist immigration rabbit hole we'll never get elected" to silence anti-immigrationists (who've since been conclusively proven correct).
The Arday revelations are a reminder that when considering the scale & scope of the leftist sinecures parasitic on the US sphere nations, it's not just the obvious DEI industry & activist "charity" complex, but also much of academia, esp the arts & all varieties of sociology.
More important now the left are trying to repeat what they did with Floyd & turn the bad actor into a heroic victim.
Two men who had a similar experience at the hands of our ruling leftist elite for offending against Official Truth dogma.
youtube.com/watch?v=C27UXFdz…
@DrDStarkeyCBE a little more political here, @nathancofnas more philosophical, but both with vital points to make.
Amusing that the establishment is so hysterically hostile to a man who objectively now operates for them, as containment to prevent the rise of any genuinely populist conservative force.
They cannot, & will never, forgive him personally for the glorious Brexit vote triumph.
