The prediction market show that helps you stay ahead.
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Joined February 2022
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James Talarico's odds are surging into the final hours before Election Day to defeat Ken Paxton (from 64% 🔼 to 76%)
Satoshi Action Fund founder @Dennis_Porter_ joined us to share why markets are still undercounting a Talarico win ⬇️
Unlike other prediction market shows, @Market_Signal_ endeavors to spotlight calls for viewers that are ahead of market outcomes
We plan to keep a running list of calls on the show:
So far, @Dennis_Porter_ has us off to a 2/2 start:
✅ Talarico in Texas
✅ Hamilton in Kansas
Market Signal retweeted
Mad props to @Dennis_Porter_ for going 2/2 on the election calls he made on @Market_Signal_ last week when they were both sub 67% odds 👀
✅ Talarico in Texas
✅ Hamilton in Kansas
Incredible signal 👏
.@Dennis_Porter_ joined us to spotlight the hottest elections to watch — including his upset call for Democrat Adam Hamilton in Kansas 🗳️
Since making that call, prediction markets for Hamilton have surged +12% 👀⬇️
Adam Hamilton's odds to win the Kansas Senate race vs. incumbent Roger Marshall are surging to 87%
Hamilton is up 57-41 with just 9 of the vote in so far
.@Dennis_Porter_ joined us to spotlight the hottest elections to watch — including his upset call for Democrat Adam Hamilton in Kansas 🗳️
Since making that call, prediction markets for Hamilton have surged +12% 👀⬇️
Market Signal retweeted
Talarico's odds on @Kalshi are surging to 91% as the first counts out of Texas have him with a 62-35 lead on Ken Paxton
Only 19% of the vote in — but a big early lead
James Talarico's odds are surging into the final hours before Election Day to defeat Ken Paxton (from 64% 🔼 to 76%)
Satoshi Action Fund founder @Dennis_Porter_ joined us to share why markets are still undercounting a Talarico win ⬇️
Market Signal retweeted
James Talarico's odds to defeat Ken Paxton in the key Texas Senate race just hit a new all-time high of 74% on @Kalshi
Satoshi Action Fund founder @Dennis_Porter_ tells @Market_Signal_ that if Paxton loses, Trump's memecoin is directly to blame:
Market Signal retweeted
People are making a huge mistake assuming Texas 2026 (Talarico) will be a repeat of 2018 (Beto).
The political landscape has changed dramatically, and the polling only tells part of the story.
Texas will be in for a historic election night.
Crypto trading volumes fell 55% at @RobinhoodApp in Q3 — but prediction market revenues spiked 6X to to $173 million
$HOOD GM of Futures and Prediction Markets @JBMackenzie_ joined us on how they have become the fastest-growing product ever for Robinhood ⬇️
Watch our full interview with @JBMackenzie_ from the @nextpredictio conference in NYC:
youtube.com/watch?si=1l1ILw4…
.@Dennis_Porter_ joined us to spotlight the hottest elections to watch — including his upset call for Democrat Adam Hamilton in Kansas 🗳️
Since making that call, prediction markets for Hamilton have surged +12% 👀⬇️
Watch our full episode and follow @Market_Signal_ for more of the best calls in prediction markets:
teapaw.org/i/broadcasts/1AKEmvEoz…
Market Signal retweeted
In our debut episode of @market_signal_ we’re digging into the top prediction market stories from the week:
@kalshi institutional trading volume up about 5,300% since March
@Dennis_Porter_ on top election markets to watch
@JBMackenzie_ on the growth @RobinhoodApp ⬇️
Inside The Hottest Election Prediction Markets: Market Signal LIVE teapaw.org/i/broadcasts/1qxvverWV…
Inside The Hottest Election Prediction Markets: Market Signal LIVE teapaw.org/i/broadcasts/1AKEmvEoz…
Market Signal retweeted
SCOOP: Polymarket is investigating activity in markets tied to Israel’s election and reviewing dozens of wallets. A Bloomberg News analysis identified more than 600 newly created wallets with no prior trading history betting on Benjamin Netanyahu or Likud.
RT @zGuz: Enjoyed chatting with @Polymarket’s new Head of Exchange Edward Lee on how prediction markets are mixing end evolving today @AOBC…
Market Signal retweeted
At the @Kalshi investor day in NYC, and their growth is objectively WILD:
- 5,300% growth in monthly institutional trading volumes
- Perp volumes growing exponentially
- Kalshi Prime with @BandmanJeff and new custody partner @BitGo @mikebelshe now unlocking onchain collateral
Market Signal retweeted
Institutional Media Day @Kalshi
Couple news announcements halfway through:
- working on fractional payouts (proximity markets)
- KPOW going live today
- Kalshi will join @CBS on election night 11/3
From @nkagan_official
- seismic shift in industry landscape (legacy exchanges on the out, Kalshi in)
From Andy Ross Head of Institutional
Thank you for including me and @FiftyOneAlpha
