Communication Expert. Former Regional Information Officer, EU Humanitarian Aid (ECHO). Views expressed are personal, retweet does not mean endorsement
Joined March 2011
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Mathias Eick retweeted
.@jonstewart consults his cartoonishly evil word generator to get to the bottom of Ramaswamy's attack ad featuring Amy Acton's mother
Mathias Eick retweeted
New poll:
76% of Ukrainians living in Ukraine believe that armed resistance to Russian aggression must continue, even if some of them have to spend some time without electricity, running water, or sewage services.
Only 15% believe Ukraine should accept all of Russia’s demands to preserve these basic comforts, even if it means losing the war.
Since August–September, despite all of Russia’s attacks, public attitudes have remained virtually unchanged.
80% believe Ukraine should continue striking Russia’s oil industry, despite US demands to unilaterally stop doing so and threats to suspend or restrict aid. Only 11% believe Ukraine should refrain from such strikes, even if Russia continues destroying civilian infrastructure.
63% are prepared to endure the war for as long as necessary, while 21% are willing to endure it for up to another six months. These attitudes have also remained virtually unchanged throughout the second half of 2026.
62% trust Zelenskyy as president, while 35% do not.
kiis.com.ua/?lang=eng&cat=re…
Oh dear...
Die russische Propagandamaschine läuft im Oktober 2026 wie geschmiert, und die AfD liefert verlässlich das passende Personal! Inmitten des staatlich gesteuerten Desinformationssenders „Vesti“ darf Christian Lüth seine ganz persönliche Version von Geopolitik zum Besten geben. Das Interview wurde im russischen Staatsfernsehen auf dem Nachrichtensender „Rossija 24“ ausgestrahlt.
Mit bemerkenswerter Dreistigkeit schwadroniert er dort davon, dass Europa „Freiheit und Sicherheit“ exklusiv im Dialog mit Moskau finde.
Lüth betitelt die AfD im Kreml-TV dreist als „Partei des Friedens“, während er im selben Atemzug fordert, jegliche Ukraine-Hilfe komplett einzustellen und das Land damit schutzlos dem Aggressor zu überlassen.
Übrigens passt diese Rede in den Propagandamedien optisch perfekt zu dem Buch über den russischen Militärgeheimdienst GRU, das im Hintergrund seiner Videokulisse zu sehen ist, eine fast schon ironische Symbolik für einen politischen Kompass.
In den russischen Medien spielt seine Vergangenheit ohnehin keine Rolle – im Gegenteil, eine solche Figur passt perfekt ins Programm: Da sitzt ausgerechnet der Mann im Studio, der als AfD-Sprecher gefeuert wurde, weil er heimlich dabei gefilmt wurde, wie er über das Erschießen und Vergasen von Migranten sprach. Derselbe Mann, der sich privat schon selbst als „Faschist“ bezeichnet hat, arbeitet wieder längst für AfD im Bundestag und wird somit vom deutschen Steuerzahler bezahlt.
Neu ist diese Unterwürfigkeit nicht, denn bereits im Jahr 2014, unmittelbar nach der völkerrechtswidrigen Annexion der Krym, pflegte die Parteispitze um Alexander Gauland, Georg Pazderski und Christian Lüth den direkten Draht zum Kreml. Bei einem zweistündigen Austausch in der russischen Botschaft in Berlin beriet man sich mit Diplomaten wie Oleg Krasnitzki und Botschafter Wladimir Grinin darüber, wie man die Sanktionen gegen den Aggressor aushebeln könne. Wie Spiegel Online damals aufdeckte, ging es dabei um handfeste strategische Konsultationen, die der AfD-Spitze von russischer Seite aktiv angeboten wurden.
Mathias Eick retweeted
⚡️ Poland threatens to fine social media giants over unchecked Russian disinformation, calling them a "silent ally" in Moscow’s digital war.
Platforms acted on under 25% of 65,000 reports, leading Warsaw to demand Polish-language moderation and immediate bot bans.
Oh dear...
A ‘diplomat’ who launched the ‘Conservative Friends of Russia’ group has now been identified as a Russian intelligence officer involved in an attempted European disinformation campaign bylinetimes.com/2026/10/26/t…
Mathias Eick retweeted
O mundo precisa saber que:
— o sistema eleitoral brasileiro elegeu uma maioria esmagadora de parlamentares bolsonaristas
— o TSE, órgão responsável pela organização e fiscalização das eleições, tem como presidente e vice-presidente juízes indicados por Jair Bolsonaro
— o juiz bolsonarista que preside o TSE atestou a lisura das eleições
— Tarcísio de Freitas, principal aliado da família Bolsonaro, reconheceu a vitória de Lula
— o PL, partido de Flávio Bolsonaro, também reconheceu a vitória de Lula
— Flávio Bolsonaro fugiu para não ser preso. Ele participou de todos os grandes escândalos de corrupção do país nos últimos anos
— Flávio Bolsonaro é fortemente ligado ao crime organizado do Rio de Janeiro e vários de seus aliados políticos no estado já foram presos
Flávio Bolsonaro é um criminoso e nossas eleições são justas.
Apoiem a democracia brasileira.
Mathias Eick retweeted
The global response to Musk and Trump's pressure on Ukraine, accompanied by a temporary shutdown of Starshield, was swift.
Here's where things stand now:
🇨🇦 CANADA
The Canadian government has signed a CAD 2.3 billion contract with national satellite operator Telesat to expand its Lightspeed low-Earth-orbit satellite constellation.
Lightspeed was originally developed as a commercial competitor to Starlink and OneWeb. However, the government is now funding the integration of a dedicated, secure military communications system operating in the Ka-band and has already placed an order for additional satellites with Canadian aerospace company MDA Space.
🇫🇮 FINLAND
Finnish company ICEYE, a developer of synthetic aperture radar (SAR) satellites, and Nokia have announced a strategic partnership to develop sovereign LEO broadband communications systems for interested European governments.
The project aims to provide European countries with a ready-made platform allowing each government to fully own and control its own satellite communications infrastructure, including encryption, without dependence on foreign providers.
This concept is known as "Sovereign SatCom."
🇪🇺 EUROPEAN UNION
The European Commission has moved toward awarding manufacturing contracts and increasing funding for its sovereign satellite communications network, IRIS².
Airbus Defence and Space has already signed contracts in Toulouse to manufacture the first 66 LEO satellites. Thales Alenia Space has been tasked with developing specialized secure payloads for government applications.
The program has been expanded to 348 satellites, with an additional €4 billion in funding.
🇰🇷 SOUTH KOREA
South Korea has successfully conducted its first orbital launch of the year using its domestically developed Nuri (KSLV-II) rocket from the Naro Space Center.
The rocket simultaneously deployed 14 payloads, including additional satellites for the national NEONSAT constellation and several military CubeSats.
🇯🇵 JAPAN
Japan has allocated approximately $1 billion in subsidies to develop a nationally controlled direct-to-device satellite network.
The system is designed to allow ordinary smartphones to communicate directly with satellites during major earthquakes or military conflicts.
The project involves cooperation between Rakuten and AST SpaceMobile.
🇺🇦 UKRAINE
The UASAT project, an initiative by STETMAN and a consortium of partners, has successfully completed registration with the International Telecommunication Union (ITU).
Preparations are now underway for the UASAT-NANO test satellite, which will mark the first step toward creating Ukraine's own sovereign satellite constellation.
🇨🇿 CZECH REPUBLIC
At the same time, agreements with the Czech Republic are being finalized for the joint development of a constellation of optical reconnaissance satellites called Suziria ("Constellation").
Ukraine is also expected to gain access to backup capacity within Europe's GOVSATCOM system.
🇩🇪 GERMANY
German company Isar Aerospace successfully launched its Spectrum rocket into orbit carrying satellites on September 5.
THE BIG PICTURE
The brilliant strategists Elon and Donnie wanted to show us who controls the red button for satellite internet.
Well, they succeeded.
And in a strange way, perhaps we should thank them.
Because they have reminded the entire world of one simple truth:
Whoever controls your communications can control your future.
And now countries around the world are working to make sure that no single billionaire — or American president — can ever hold that power over them again.
Mathias Eick retweeted
🔴🔴🛰️ En bridant Starlink pour l’Ukraine, Trump et Musk voulaient montrer qui tient le bouton rouge de l’internet par satellite. Ils ont réussi mais pas comme ils l’espéraient.
Partout dans le monde, des chefs d'États soudainement pris conscience de leur dépendance aux technologies de Starlink et de leur vulnérabilité. Certains accélèrent pour ne plus jamais dépendre d’un milliardaire et protéger leur souveraineté.
Tour d’horizon.
👇👇👇
🇨🇦 CANADA
Ottawa a signé un contrat de 2,3 milliards de dollars canadiens avec l’opérateur national @Telesat pour étendre sa constellation Lightspeed, à l’origine un concurrent commercial de Starlink, désormais doté d’un volet militaire sécurisé.
🇫🇮 FINLANDE
Le finlandais @iceye_global et @nokia se sont alliés pour bâtir des communications satellitaires souveraines destinées aux gouvernements européens : une plateforme clé en main où chaque État possède et contrôle son propre réseau, chiffrement compris, sans dépendre d’un fournisseur étranger.
🇪🇺 UNION EUROPÉENNE
La Commission accélère IRIS², son réseau souverain. @Airbus fabrique les 66 premiers satellites en orbite basse et @thalesgroup Alenia Space, les charges utiles sécurisées pour les usages gouvernementaux. Le programme passe à 348 satellites, avec 4 milliards d’euros supplémentaires.
🇰🇷 CORÉE DU SUD
Le 6 octobre, la Corée a réussi son premier lancement orbital de l’année avec sa fusée nationale Nuri, depuis le centre de Naro. Quinze satellites embarqués, dont cinq de la constellation Neonsat, une capacité spatiale entièrement maîtrisée sur le sol national.
🇯🇵 JAPON
Tokyo débloque environ 930 millions de dollars pour un réseau satellitaire national de connexion directe aux smartphones, pensé pour les zones isolées et les régions sinistrées. Le projet associe @Rakuten et @AST_SpaceMobile.
🇺🇦 UKRAINE
Kyiv avance sur sa propre constellation. Le projet UASAT, porté par la société STETMAN, a engagé son processus réglementaire auprès de l’Union internationale des télécommunications. Un satellite-test, UASAT-NANO, doit ouvrir la voie à un réseau souverain ukrainien.
🇩🇪 ALLEMAGNE
Le 5 septembre, la fusée Spectrum de l’allemand Isar Aerospace a atteint l’orbite lors d'un lancement opéré depuis Andøya, en Norvège. L’Europe se dote enfin d’un accès autonome à l’espace, condition de toute indépendance satellitaire.
💡 Ce que cela dit
Évidemment, aucun de ces projets n’est né en une semaine. Plusieurs étaient engagés avant l’épisode Starlink mais tous disent la même chose, et l’épisode les a accélérés : plus jamais un seul homme, ni un seul pays, ne tiendra le bouton.
Car Musk et Trump ont rappelé au monde une vérité simple : celui qui contrôle vos communications contrôle votre avenir, en tant de paix comme en tant de guerre. En bridant Starlink au-dessus d’un pays en guerre, ils ont fait la démonstration la plus contreproductive qui soit et ont oeuvré de manière spectaculaire contre leurs propres intérêts.
Et c’est peut-être le paradoxe de cette présidence : à force de brandir la dépendance comme une arme, elle pousse ses alliés à s’émanciper.
Mathias Eick retweeted
The White House Council of Economic Advisers claims illegal immigrants cost taxpayers $166,716 each. Cato's @David_J_Bier says those estimates aren't credible. They have actually reduced federal, state, and local deficits by $1.7 trillion over 30 years.
ow.ly/kNi151015Zf
Mathias Eick retweeted
Per tanti che stanno leggendo questo post :
Basterebbe fermarsi due minuti a verificare prima di rilanciare acriticamente il primo post allarmista trovato su internet. Quello che viene spacciato come uno scandalo istituzionale in realtà dimostra solo una cosa: non si ha la minima idea di come funzioni una procedura elettorale, né in Brasile né in qualsiasi altro Paese democratico.
Tanto per cominciare, la carica attribuita a Kassio Nunes nel tweet è del tutto inventata: non è mai stato il Presidente del Tribunale Superiore Elettorale. Il presidente era Alexandre de Moraes, mentre Nunes Marques è semplicemente un magistrato nominato alla Corte Suprema proprio da Bolsonaro.
Attribuirgli un annuncio ufficiale a nome dell’intero organo per far credere che le istituzioni stiano per cancellare l’esito del voto è pura manipolazione.
Poi c’è la questione dei seggi: l'idea che i voti espressi dopo l'orario di chiusura debbano essere stracciati è una sciocchezza giuridica. In Brasile, esattamente come da noi in Italia, chi all'orario limite si trova già all'interno del seggio o in coda ha il pieno diritto di votare.
Gli scrutatori distribuiscono un tagliando numerato a chi è in fila e si continua fino all’ultima persona registrata. Non si tratta di "estendere le votazioni" o di inventarsi regole illegali, ma di garantire un diritto costituzionale fondamentale.
La logica del «se togliamo quei voti vince Bolsonaro» è grottesca: pretende di cancellare le schede delle periferie e delle grandi metropoli, dove le code sono inevitabilmente più lunghe a causa dell’alta densità abitativa.
Non è una contestazione legale seria, è la solita scorciatoia da tifoseria politica che preferisce inventarsi i brogli a tavolino piuttosto che accettare che la maggioranza degli elettori abbia votato diversamente.
ULTIMO MINUTO!
El Presidente del Tribunal Superior Electoral de Brasil, Kassio Nunes, acaba de hacer una advertencia demoledora contra Lula..."No existe ninguna regla que permitiera extender las votaciones dos horas", como lo hizo a juro y en forma personal el exabogado de Lula y ahora miembro del Tribunal Supremo, puesto por Lula, Cristiano Zanin...Esa extensión, solo en áreas donde dominaba el partido de Lula, revertió la tendencia que era a favor de Bolsonaro...Da a entender Nunes que la elección presidencial del domingo en Brasil puede ser anulada, toda, o los votos emitidos después de la hora oficial de cierre...En este último caso, Bolsonaro sería el vencedor y nuevo Presidente de Brasil.
Mathias Eick retweeted
BREAKING: Sweden buys a different brand of vaccine, and the anti-vaccine movement declares victory over molecular biology.
Yes, Sweden selected a protein-based COVID vaccine for its 2027–2028 national procurement.
What your post conveniently omits is that Sweden’s own public-health agency continues to describe mRNA vaccines as effective against severe COVID.
And here’s the delicious part: Novavax contains the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein.
You know, the protein you’ve spent years telling everyone is poison.
The difference is that Novavax delivers the manufactured protein, while mRNA vaccines instruct cells to produce it temporarily.
A purchasing decision is not evidence of a medical catastrophe.
Sweden changed its vaccine supplier. You changed the meaning of the announcement.
Perhaps next time, read the Swedish public-health guidance before announcing what Sweden believes.
Zweden laat mRNA‑vaccins los 🇸🇪
Zweden stapt vanaf het vaccinatieseizoen 2027/2028 volledig over op een eiwitgebaseerd coronavaccin. Het land laat daarmee als eerste de mRNA‑vaccins van Pfizer en Moderna achter zich.
Het gekozen vaccin, Nuvaxovid, bevat een kant‑en‑klaar spike‑eiwit dat direct een immuunreactie opwekt - anders dan bij mRNA‑vaccins, waarbij het lichaam het eiwit zelf moet aanmaken. Over de mRNA-techniek bestaat internationaal al langer discussie.
Zweden koos tijdens de coronajaren vaker een eigen koers, zonder lockdowns en schoolsluitingen. Met de overstap naar een eiwitvaccin lijkt het opnieuw een voortrekkersrol te nemen.
Het Artsen Collectief pleit samen met Europese partners al langer voor stopzetting van mRNA‑vaccinaties.
Wil je het artikel lezen? Kijk voor de link in de comments.
Mathias Eick retweeted
Oggi tantissimi giornalisti politicizzati, specialmente di una certa fazione, si sono letteralmente inventati il «golpe dell’anno» spacciando per truffa ciò che è semplicemente la normale applicazione delle leggi costituzionali.
Per chi mi segue e per evitare di dover rispondere una per una alle idiozie rilanciate in massa nei commenti, ecco il riepilogo definitivo di norme, articoli di legge, procedure e dati reali.
1. I seggi aperti oltre le 17:00 Nessun seggio è stato riaperto arbitrariamente alle 19:00: l'art. 153 della Legge Federale 4.737/1965 (Codice Elettorale) e la Resolução TSE 23.669/2021 vietano di interrompere le operazioni se alle 17:00 ci sono ancora elettori in coda. Vengono distribuiti tagliandi numerati (senhas) finché non vota l'ultimo presente (esattamente come l'art. 64 d.P.R. 361/1957 in Italia). L'istanza formale per tutelare gli elettori in fila e gestire le emergenze è stata depositata anche dai delegati di Bolsonaro!
2. I magistrati e la gestione del voto In Brasile, per mandato costituzionale (artt. 118-121), non c'è un ministero politico a gestire le urne: la competenza logistica ed elettorale spetta in via esclusiva alla Justiça Eleitoral e al TSE. Qualsiasi atto organizzativo su orari, trasporti o maltempo è emanato da magistrati elettorali. Non è un'intrusione giudiziaria: è l'autorità amministrativa preposta dallo Stato.
3. La bufala dell'«ex avvocato di Lula al TSE» Nel 2022 Cristiano Zanin era un avvocato privato e non faceva parte di alcun tribunale (la nomina al Supremo Tribunale Federale è avvenuta solo nell'estate 2023)! A presiedere il TSE nel 2022 c'era Alexandre de Moraes, magistrato nominato alla Corte Suprema dal presidente conservatore di centrodestra Michel Temer. Dire che un giudice «ha dato una mano» è una calunnia smentita dalla cronologia istituzionale.
4. Lo spoglio alle 17:00 e i presunti «6 milioni» Alle 17:00 i seggi chiudono e lo spoglio ufficiale era a ZERO per cento! Le urnas eletrônicas brasiliane operano offline e stampano il verbale cartaceo fisico (boletim de urna) solo dopo la chiusura delle operazioni. Non esisteva alcun dato parziale da «ribaltare» prima della chiusura. I voti trattenuti in coda con tagliando erano poche decine di migliaia in tutto il Paese, non milioni.
5. La rimonta di Lula: geografia elettorale, non algoritmi Il Sud, il Centro-Ovest e le grandi aree urbane del Sud-Est (favorevoli a Bolsonaro) hanno chiuso e caricato i verbali per primi. Dalle 18:30 in poi sono confluiti i dati ufficiali dei 9 Stati della Regione Nord-Est, feudo storico laburista dove Lula ha stravinto con oltre il 67% staccando l'avversario di oltre 12 milioni di voti regolari. Si chiama flusso territoriale dello spoglio (lo stesso identico fenomeno del red/blue shift negli Stati Uniti).
6. «Destra al 59% in Parlamento ma perde il Presidente» Confusione dilettantesca tra seggi (escaños) e voti popolari. Il 59% si riferisce alla quota di parlamentari eletti su base federale. Il Senato assegna 3 seggi fissi a ogni Stato (il piccolo Roraima con 600 mila residenti elegge gli stessi 3 senatori di San Paolo con 44 milioni). Il Presidente, invece, si elegge sul computo secco a suffragio universale diretto su scala nazionale (art. 77 Cost.). Nelle repubbliche presidenziali il voto disgiunto tra collegio locale e vertice federale è la prassi.
Prima di fabbricare teorie cospirative e gridare al golpe, basterebbe aprire i codici di legge e leggere i verbali ufficiali. Buona serata
Mathias Eick retweeted
I pulled the public orbital elements on all three satellites in the viral "SpaceX froze a NATO spy satellite so Russia could intercept it" brief and ran the numbers myself. The data shows two ordinary things happened. The explosive story welded onto them isn't supported, and in specific, checkable places it's flatly false.
WHAT ACTUALLY HAPPENED (public Space-Track elements, SGP4):
1) A Russian inspector satellite, COSMOS 2612, made a close co-orbital approach to the commercial radar satellite ICEYE-X36. It closed to tens of meters at ~0 m/s on 16-18 Oct, then withdrew. Same orbital plane (incl 97.85°), and it actively maneuvered to get there. This is a real, notable Russian proximity operation. It required ZERO SpaceX involvement, because Russia tracks and maneuvers with its own sensors.
2) A Starlink (STARLINK-35856) had a routine conjunction with ICEYE-X36, ~0.45 km on 16 Oct 23:54 UTC. Real, but ordinary. Starlink sits in a totally different plane (incl 70° vs 98°), so this was a ~15 km/s crossing that lasts seconds. Every object in LEO gets these constantly.
That's the whole factual content. Everything else is refuted by the data or isn't an orbital measurement at all.
WHAT THE DATA REFUTES:
❌ "Intercept / immobilized / kill." All three satellites are on orbit and intact right now (elements epoch 25-26 Oct). ICEYE-X36 is alive and tracked. Cosmos 2612 withdrew to ~490 km and is still drifting away. A close approach that ends in withdrawal is an inspection, not a kinetic intercept.
❌ "X36 dodged a Russian approach in June, so it had to be frozen this time." Neither half happened. Cosmos 2612 never came within 50 km of X36 until 16 Oct. In June they were thousands of km apart. And X36 shows no June maneuver: smooth drag decay, with weekly averages falling from 546.1 to 545.0 km and a largest single step of -433 m (noise). A real 0.5 km avoidance burn would be a clean -500 m step. There is none.
❌ "SpaceX pinned/froze X36 in place." X36 never maneuvers, period. Over 165 days it deviates from its natural decay curve by no more than 278 m and holds inclination to 0.022°. There was nothing to "pin." It's a passively decaying microsat. For contrast, Cosmos 2612 shows a 47.8 km altitude burn in a single day. That is what a real maneuver looks like in the data.
❌ "SpaceX inflated the danger 5x, claiming the real distance was 1.9-2.0 km." Independent public elements give ~0.45 km for the Starlink pass, consistent with the ~0.4 km figure cited, not 1.9-2.0 km. That "5x safer" claim needs SpaceX's private ephemerides that no one outside SpaceX can see, and the public data points the opposite way.
CREDIT WHERE DUE: the brief's raw archive numbers are real. The TLE update gaps and the conjunction time match my own pull. But multi-hour public TLE gaps are routine for every LEO object, and SpaceX having good space tracking is public knowledge used for collision avoidance. Neither is evidence of collusion.
WHAT ORBITAL DATA CAN'T SETTLE: "coordination" with Russia, collision-alert intent, Starlink throttling, the 23% figure, Iran, finances. Those are assertions, not measurements. The brief's "99.9% probability" is that inference restated as a number, and several of its load-bearing inputs (the June evasion, the 5x inflation, "X36 could maneuver") are false, so it's garbage in.
Orbital data can't prove a negative on intent. I can't prove no one coordinated. What I can show is that the data provides no evidence for it and contradicts the specific mechanisms claimed.
Bottom line: a real Russian satellite inspection, which was already public and known, plus a routine Starlink flyby. Two unrelated events, one narrative bolted on top.
All checks from public Space-Track two-line elements via SGP4. Happy to share the numbers.
SpaceX Blocked A U.S. And NATO Satellite to Assist a Russian Intercept After Crippling Ukraine's Air Defenses
The Math Proves the Reality that Musk doesn't want you to see.
On Oct 13-14, SpaceX restricted Starshield/Starlink during a 39-missile Russian attack, cutting Ukrainian drone intercepts by 23% and stranding U.S. personnel in Kyiv. Forty-eight hours later (Oct 15), SpaceX blocked U.S.-licensed NRO, Space Force, and NATO radar satellite ICEYE-X36 in orbit so Russia's COSMOS 2612 weapon could intercept it (99.89%-99.98% posterior)
Our Model Demonstrates that the Russian intercept of the US/NATO ICEYE X-36 satellite (contemporaneous with the throttling of Starlink) would not have been possible, and almost certainly not been attempted, without SpaceX resources. At a material opportunity cost, Russia sprinted its COSMOS satellite to intercept ICEYE X36. Based on a previous attempt in June during which X36 maneuvered to evade COSMOS, Russia knew that this would be successful only if X36 could not maneuver. On October 15, SpaceX fixed X36 in place by issuing a collision alert for a sub-kilometer approach with its Starlink 35856 when SpaceX's own data shows that the actual distance was 4.8-5.0x as great. SpaceX issued no warning to COSMOS despite the fact that its sprint was far more threatening than the stable X36 orbit. SpaceX did not maneuver its Starlink 35856 satellite to clear the supposed collision risk. How, absent coordination with SpaceX, could Russia have known that SpaceX would take actions that (a) misrepresented the danger posed by X36, and (b) resulted in the fixing of X36 thereby enabling COSMOS's successful intercept? Thus, SpaceX was directly involved in simultaneously compromising Ukraine’s defensive and offensive capabilities. The conjunction of these two events makes innocent explanations untenable.
The Pentagon Capture & Iran Round Two Trap: Pentagon CTO Emil Michael who cashed out $7M–$35M from Musk’s inner-circle SpaceX vehicles (M8/Gigafund 0.1 and M6/Valor M33 II) and KQ Partners / xAI (selling xAIfor $5M–$25M three days before taking over CDAO/OSCand 21 days before SpaceX bought xAI, while keeping M8, M6, M9, M10 & Nomadic open) and Pete Hegseth purged rival Anthropic in two hours, surrendered combat command over US drones used to attack Iran to Starlink’s "Terms of Service," and on October 2 named Musk Co-Director of Project Meridian to design the Pentagon's "Future of Warfighting" just as America enters Iran Round Twowith depleted Patriot/THAAD magazines and Russia feeding U.S. warship/aircraft locations to Tehran.
SpaceX’s actions in Ukraine raise serious questions about its alignment with US security interests and its reliability as a cornerstone of US defense. These questions are particularly troubling given the effectively irreplaceable position SpaceX has been granted by the Hegseth/Emil Michael Pentagon.
$SPCX $TSLA
Our full quantitative analysis below w/ @streetwiseprof
Mathias Eick retweeted
❗️Oleshky: Ceasefire Begins as Ukraine Fulfills Its Commitments
A ceasefire came into effect today at 3:00 a.m. Kyiv time (4:00 a.m. Moscow time) in designated areas related to the humanitarian mission.
☝️This is part of a humanitarian mission being carried out with the mediation and coordination of U.S. First Lady Melania Trump (@FLOTUS), in cooperation with Yana Lantratova, Russia’s Commissioner for Human Rights.
As head of the Ukrainian negotiating team, I confirm that the Ukrainian side is honoring its commitments. The agreements were reached during negotiations with Yana Lantratova, head of the Russian negotiating team.
‼️I will continue to keep the public informed of developments, with the safety of civilians in Oleshky and compliance with the agreed arrangements remaining our top priorities.
Mathias Eick retweeted
Another note for SpaceX attorneys and PR: There was no need to issue an alert at all. Your own internal data showed a safe 2km pass. But you issued a 400m collision alert anyway. Why? Because the alert itself is the weapon. Issuing it triggered FCC Cond 16, legally freezing ICEYE so it couldn't dodge. STARLINK-35856 didn't use its auto-evasion. It just parked there and kept the false alarm blaring while Russia sprinted in. It wasn't an accident.
SpaceX Blocked A U.S. And NATO Satellite to Assist a Russian Intercept After Crippling Ukraine's Air Defenses
The Math Proves the Reality that Musk doesn't want you to see.
On Oct 13-14, SpaceX restricted Starshield/Starlink during a 39-missile Russian attack, cutting Ukrainian drone intercepts by 23% and stranding U.S. personnel in Kyiv. Forty-eight hours later (Oct 15), SpaceX blocked U.S.-licensed NRO, Space Force, and NATO radar satellite ICEYE-X36 in orbit so Russia's COSMOS 2612 weapon could intercept it (99.89%-99.98% posterior)
Our Model Demonstrates that the Russian intercept of the US/NATO ICEYE X-36 satellite (contemporaneous with the throttling of Starlink) would not have been possible, and almost certainly not been attempted, without SpaceX resources. At a material opportunity cost, Russia sprinted its COSMOS satellite to intercept ICEYE X36. Based on a previous attempt in June during which X36 maneuvered to evade COSMOS, Russia knew that this would be successful only if X36 could not maneuver. On October 15, SpaceX fixed X36 in place by issuing a collision alert for a sub-kilometer approach with its Starlink 35856 when SpaceX's own data shows that the actual distance was 4.8-5.0x as great. SpaceX issued no warning to COSMOS despite the fact that its sprint was far more threatening than the stable X36 orbit. SpaceX did not maneuver its Starlink 35856 satellite to clear the supposed collision risk. How, absent coordination with SpaceX, could Russia have known that SpaceX would take actions that (a) misrepresented the danger posed by X36, and (b) resulted in the fixing of X36 thereby enabling COSMOS's successful intercept? Thus, SpaceX was directly involved in simultaneously compromising Ukraine’s defensive and offensive capabilities. The conjunction of these two events makes innocent explanations untenable.
The Pentagon Capture & Iran Round Two Trap: Pentagon CTO Emil Michael who cashed out $7M–$35M from Musk’s inner-circle SpaceX vehicles (M8/Gigafund 0.1 and M6/Valor M33 II) and KQ Partners / xAI (selling xAIfor $5M–$25M three days before taking over CDAO/OSCand 21 days before SpaceX bought xAI, while keeping M8, M6, M9, M10 & Nomadic open) and Pete Hegseth purged rival Anthropic in two hours, surrendered combat command over US drones used to attack Iran to Starlink’s "Terms of Service," and on October 2 named Musk Co-Director of Project Meridian to design the Pentagon's "Future of Warfighting" just as America enters Iran Round Twowith depleted Patriot/THAAD magazines and Russia feeding U.S. warship/aircraft locations to Tehran.
SpaceX’s actions in Ukraine raise serious questions about its alignment with US security interests and its reliability as a cornerstone of US defense. These questions are particularly troubling given the effectively irreplaceable position SpaceX has been granted by the Hegseth/Emil Michael Pentagon.
$SPCX $TSLA
Our full quantitative analysis below w/ @streetwiseprof
Mathias Eick retweeted
BREAKING: TRUMP BETRAYAL! Zelensky reveals he offered the U.S. THREE OPTIONS to halt Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries — but Trump accepted NONE.
President Volodymyr Zelensky just provided stark evidence of Donald Trump’s betrayal of America’s commitment to defend Ukraine from the Russian invasion of its sovereign territory.
Trump has been pressuring Zelensky to unilaterally stop taking out Russia’s oil refining infrastructure, but the Ukrainian leader said in an interview with the Kyiv Post that the United States has met none of the three conditions he says his country requires before agreeing to a stop to its successful campaign to cripple Russia’s revenue-generating energy businesses. Therefore, the strikes continue.
Here are the conditions that Zelensky said that Trump can choose from to convince Ukraine to impose a ban on blowing up Putin’s petroleum refineries:
Option one: an “energy truce,” where Russia stops hitting Ukraine’s power infrastructure. “That is fair,” Zelensky said, and it’s hard to argue with that. Expecting Ukraine to stop hitting Russia, while its opponent continues to bomb away, makes no sense at all.
Option two: enable Starlink coverage over Russia so Ukraine can show the U.S. where Russian ballistic missile launchers are and destroy them. Zelensky noted that Trump’s team has said Elon Musk doesn’t want to. Who the f@#k cares what Elon Musk wants? If Musk continues to be an obstacle, the U.S. should nationalize Starlink on security grounds and turn Ukraine’s spigot back on.
Option three: if Starlink is off the table, give Ukraine missiles for its Patriot systems, something that “doesn’t depend on Musk or Putin.” Given the fact that the American military has blown through a significant portion of its arsenal in the misbegotten Iran war, this last option might be the toughest for Trump to fulfill.
“Ukraine had received none of the three proposed forms of support,” he said. “That is why the reaction is what it is. We are fighting for our lives.”
Zelensky also argued the refinery strikes can’t move global prices much, since Russia accounts for only 2% of global diesel exports and the other 98% comes from elsewhere.
Zelensky smartly warned against lifting sanctions on Russia before negotiations, saying they were imposed in response to aggression, “not as a price for the mere opportunity to talk.” He said lifting them early would leave Ukraine without leverage and that rebuilding support for new sanctions after more than 20 packages would be hard, a warning that lands after Trump waived sanctions and tariffs on Russia. “I do not want us to find ourselves without any leverage,” he said.
Meanwhile, the U.S. delegation went to St. Petersburg after talks in Oslo and then gave Kyiv a briefing. Now a broad meeting between Ukraine, the U.S., the EU and NATO is planned in Brussels this week. As long as Trump is in Vladimir Putin’s pocket, however, the prospect for successful negotiations is slim to none.
Of course, the Kyiv Post is only reporting Zelensky’s point of view. The White House has not responded yet to his comments. But one of his points is hard to dodge: Ukraine is being asked to hold back while the other side keeps firing. Only a fool like Donald Trump would expect any invaded country to agree to a deal like that.
Please like and share if you think Russia should end the war by withdrawing its forces from Ukrainian territories!
Oh dear....
Fox News is putting Nicki Minaj up telling people to vote red.
Let’s break that down.
Can Nicki Minaj vote? No.
She’s not a U.S. citizen.
Can Nicki Minaj’s husband vote? No, he’s a registered sex offender.
Can Nicki Minaj’s brother vote? No, he’s serving 25 years to life for child sexual assault.
She seems like the perfect spokesperson for MAGA republicans.
Oh dear...
SpaceX has effectively just lost the 🇮🇳 India market, which accounts for 20% of the world’s population, for good.
India represents a market 4.2 times the size of the 🇺🇸 United States.
To make matters worse, there is a growing resistance of allowing Starlink/Starshield services in many other parts of the world, where alternatives are already being developed like in 🇪🇺Europe or 🇨🇦 Canada to mention just two.
It is therefore likely that SpaceX will be unable to establish Starlink services across large parts of the globe. Worse, the same may hold true for SpaceX’s launch services and its data center offerings, whether on Earth or in orbit because its all about lost trust.
A significant volume of capital is now flowing toward other launch providers and start-ups, because what is at stake is national sovereignty, security, and the avoidance of dependence on the political views of a single individual: Elon Musk.
Elon Musk has failed to grasp that his actions regarding Starlink and Starshield in 🇺🇦 Ukraine have undermined global trust in all of SpaceX’s services and that will have a last impact on its business.
Once trust is lost, the business is lost as well. $SPCX
Mathias Eick retweeted
Matthias Warnig. Kennt ihr noch?
Genau, das war der Mann, der uns Nord Stream eingebrockt hat.
Jetzt erfahren wir: Er hat auch die Welt gerettet. ☝️
So jedenfalls erzählen es Warnig und zwei amerikanische Geschäftsfreunde der Financial Times.
2022 sollen sie gemeinsam verhindert haben, jetzt kommt's:
dass Putin sich mit der Atombombe das Leben nimmt und die Welt gleich mit reinzieht.
Danach hätten sie fast noch den Frieden in der Ukraine verhandelt. Das alles ist so absurd, dass man es nicht erfinden könnte. Und genau deshalb sollte man es kennen.
Alles begann am 4. Oktober 2022 in Zürich im Flughafen-Hilton: ein leerer Speisesaal, ein Tisch ganz hinten.
Der erste Retter: Matthias Warnig, Ex-Stasi-Offizier, später Chef der Nord Stream 2 AG. Putin nennt er „meinen Freund“.
Der zweite: Bob Foresman, Investmentbanker.
Warnig kennt er aus der Dresdner Bank, deren Moskauer Investmentsparte er Anfang der 2000er leitete. 2016 reichte er eine Einladung des Kremls an Trump weiter, beim Wirtschaftsforum in St. Petersburg zu sprechen.
Der dritte im Bunde ist Richard Conn, New Yorker Wirtschaftsanwalt. Mit 19 jobbte er auf einem sowjetischen Kreuzfahrtschiff, der KGB wollte ihn anwerben und prophezeite ihm, er könne eines Tages US-Präsident werden. Conn lehnte höflich ab. Am Morgen des Treffens singt er unter der Dusche „It's the End of the World as We Know It“.
Am Tisch erzählt Warnig den beiden Amerikanern von seiner Freundschaft mit Putin. Von der Invasion habe ihm sein Freund vorher nichts gesagt. Warnig ist gerade aus Moskau zurück und beschreibt Putin als einen Mann, den zwei Jahre Corona-Isolation schwer gezeichnet hätten. Conn fühlt sich an Hitlers Bunker erinnert und fürchtet, Putin könnte den Atomkrieg als eine Art Selbstmord betrachten.
Also soll Warnig Putin eine Botschaft überbringen, die nach Darstellung der drei aus dem Nationalen Sicherheitsrat der USA stammt: Washington wolle Russland nicht zerstören und Putin nicht stürzen. Warnig kommt mit Putins Antwort zurück. Er habe keine andere Wahl gehabt als den Krieg, sei aber sehr offen für Verhandlungen.
Bei einem späteren Treffen fragt Conn Warnig, ob die atomare Gefahr noch bestehe. Warnig: „Alles gut.“ Conn fährt nach Hause, im Radio läuft „Let It Snow“, und er ist nach eigenen Worten nie glücklicher gewesen.
Dann schreiben die drei einen Friedensplan. Russland behält die Krim, einen Landkorridor und Teile des Donbas, die Ukraine bekommt Schutz durch NATO-Staaten. In der Pause gehen schwimmen. Im Februar 2023 meldet Warnig, Putin habe das Papier Zeile für Zeile gelesen und sei im Grunde einverstanden.
Nur zwei Probleme gibt es.
Das erste heißt Ukraine. Selenskyj und Jermak bekommen das Papier über einen ukrainischen Filmproduzenten zugespielt, der lange in Russland gearbeitet hat und Selenskyj gut kennt.
Die beiden wollen sich die Dokumente kaum ansehen. Klar ist aber: keine Zugeständnisse bei den Grenzen.
Das zweite Problem heißt Washington. Putin lässt Juri Uschakow beim Sicherheitsberater Jake Sullivan nachfragen, ob die drei überhaupt ein Mandat haben. Laut Putin sagt Sullivan: nein, braucht es nicht. Damit ist die Rettung der Welt beendet.
Und jetzt wird es erst richtig interessant. Frühere US-Beamte sagen der FT, Uschakow habe den Kanal gegenüber Washington nie erwähnt. Wenn das stimmt, hat nicht Sullivan den Frieden versenkt. Dann hat der Kreml drei eifrige Amateure eine Weile spielen lassen und ihnen zum Schluss eine Ausrede mitgegeben.
Der zuständige Mann im Nationalen Sicherheitsrat, Eric Green, bringt es sinngemäß auf den Punkt: Wenn Putin wirklich einen Deal gewollt hätte, hätte er viele Wege gehabt. Über einen ehemaligen DDR-Spion und einen New Yorker Anwalt wäre der verkehrteste.
Und Warnig? Behauptet heute, er habe nie gesagt, dass Putin nuklear eskalieren könnte.
Bleibt eine Seifenoper ohne Happy End, in der sich die drei Helden die Stichworte selbst gegeben haben. Und ein Name, der hängen bleiben sollte: Uschakow. Derselbe Mann, der gestern im russischen Fernsehen bedauerte, dass Washington Kyjiw nicht einfach die Bedingungen diktieren kann.
Wetten, dass wir die Legende vom ausgeschlagenen Frieden bald wieder bei Wagenknecht und Co. hören? Dann wisst ihr, woher sie kommt. Und warum sie nicht stimmt.
Pedro hat sich die Geschichte vorgenommen und herrlich zerlegt.
Danke @mfphhh für diesen Thread! 🙏
