Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy) header
Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy) profile picture

Jay Bournemouth

@MetJayy

4 Years Specialising In Severe Weather 🌪| Weather & Nature Amateur Photographer 📸 | Founder & Chief - Convective Forecaster For @ConvectiveUK⚡️

 Bournemouth, England
youtube.com/@convectiveuk?si=MZj7nwZeeO-maBZF
Joined September 2022
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Photo by Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)Photo by Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)Photo by Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)Photo by Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)Photo by Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)Photo by Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)Photo by Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)Photo by Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)Photo by Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)Photo by Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)
Bournemouth storm shield really became active tonight 🙄
Image from Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)
Image from Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)
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This is what the satellite imagery is currently showing from the storm affecting Somerset/Wiltshire. Cloud tops on this monster have exceeded 40,000ft. It literally looks like a bomb 😮
Image from UK Thunderstorm Updates (@UKStormUpdates)
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Glastonbury this evening 📸 Mike Jeffries
Image from Kevin Mc(C)ormick🍀⭐️ (@mccormick13)
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Jay Bournemouth retweeted
Dave Throup (@DaveThroup) profile picture
Dave Throup@DaveThroupJun 22
Now that’s a pic! This evening’s thunderstorm approaching Glastonbury. By Mike Jeffries via Facebook.
Image from Dave Throup (@DaveThroup)
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Very strong forecast today!
Extreme & Convective Events (@ConvectiveUK) profile pictureExtreme & Convective Events@ConvectiveUKJun 10
Forecast Verification: T-storms & heavy showers developed as expected today with majority of lightning activity seen in the SLGHT risk with some isolated strikes elsewhere. Rating: 9.5/10 What Would Be Your Rating?
Image from Extreme & Convective Events (@ConvectiveUK)
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Monday 1st June: Scattered showers and T-storms will develop through the afternoon and evening, particularly across S England where instability is expected to be greatest. Storms may become organised for a time bringing frequent lightning, these storms will mostly be sporadic.
Image from Extreme & Convective Events (@ConvectiveUK)
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Models are suggesting daytime heating combined with colder air aloft will allow showers to develop, with some becoming thundery during the afternoon. Frequent lightning, torrential downpours, localised flooding and small hail may accompany the strongest cells. Eyes On Tuesday!
Image from Extreme & Convective Events (@ConvectiveUK)
Image from Extreme & Convective Events (@ConvectiveUK)
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LOW Risk Today Across Ireland Stretching Into Scotland!
Extreme & Convective Events (@ConvectiveUK) profile pictureExtreme & Convective Events@ConvectiveUKMay 30
Saturday 30th May: Heavy showers are expected to spread NE through the day, with scattered T-storms possible, particularly across N / NE Ireland. The strongest cells may produce frequent lightning, torrential downpours, small hail and gusty winds. Update following...
Image from Extreme & Convective Events (@ConvectiveUK)
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Latest high-resolution guidance show a very unstable airmass developing across parts of central and eastern England this afternoon, with CAPE values exceeding *2000–3000+ J/kg* Any strong T-storm could evolve into a Supercell today... ⚡️
Image from Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)
Image from Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)
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However, due to uncertainty surrounding storm initiation, overall thunderstorm coverage is expected to remain local at best. Any storm that does form may strengthen rapidly and become locally severe.
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Jay Bournemouth retweeted
Adam Herbert (@AdamHerbert5) profile picture
Adam Herbert@AdamHerbert5May 27
Lovely Bournemouth storm @Handry_Outlook @Met4CastUK @alex_wx_ @MetJayy
Image from Adam Herbert (@AdamHerbert5)
Image from Adam Herbert (@AdamHerbert5)
Image from Adam Herbert (@AdamHerbert5)
Image from Adam Herbert (@AdamHerbert5)
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Insane storm, here's a complimation of lightning that happened in Bournemouth last night.
Image from Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)
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This could be one of the severest storms ive seen in my life, not so much in the way of lightning but rain rates / hail size... • Frequent Sheet Lightning • Explosive Development All Under 30 Minutes • Large Hail • 150/200mm/hr rates Insane stuff.
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UKV 21z is now in a similar scenario for whats currently ongoing across Wales / Midlands. Still seeing the precipitation being much extensive and stronger, however the UKV has this dieing out slowly as it heads S. Eyes on whether this dies or continues!
Image from Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)
Image from Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)
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This feature comparing to the models at 2100 looks more extensive and definitely more intenser then previously anticipated from the models. This has increased the chances of snow for lowland areas of south / se areas.
Image from Jay Bournemouth (@MetJayy)
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Being 12 hours out from this feature tracking across England down into S England. Exactly the intensity / extent & track of this feature is still fairly uncertain. This is becoming a nowcast event, alot of suprises incoming!
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A very active rare cold front is going to be tracking from NW Wales down CS/SW England early hours of Friday bringing a mixture of sleet & snow. Snow will likely accumulate on higher levels with potentially a dusting on lower levels depending on how fast the cold air undercuts.
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Merry Christmas to everyone celebrating, enjoy the times with your families! ❄️ As of a Christmas present to everyone, after a long break we are officially back!
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18th bday 🥳🎊
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Heavily interested for cold weather upcoming in the next 15 - 45 days. More tomorrow!
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