Valois Capital Management, LLC :: Opinions are my own and often those opinions speak in GIFs
New York, USA
Joined June 2015
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Since this triggered a lot of the amateurs who still think a failing game store is a good investment, let me break something down for you.
Most common low IQ comment I've gotten on this:
"When these guys say something do the opposite, they aren't going to telegraph what they are actually doing."
While generally true, in the case of a bubble that is not accurate. To the big guys, acknowledging the existence of a bubble is a lot like an actor saying the word Macbeth in a theater. It's generally not done even for deception. However the fact remains that once they publicly acknowledge the existence of a bubble it tends to mean it's already too late and they have secured their position already.
Amazing, I put out a write up saying that I’m not ruling out us making it to 775 tomorrow and these clowns are posting this nonsense.
Newsflash, I’ve been dead on accurate all week, you’re just an illiterate yokel which is why you don’t read the write-ups to know.
$META earnings have the stock currently +3.88% AH, however the implied move was +/- 5.9%. Additionally the big weekly call level coming into earnings is 740. If the stock can't get to 740 or beat the implied move by open tomorrow then there will be a lot of stock for sale as dealers unwind their hedges for the 740 and 820 calls.
We can also see that it is struggling at a very large dark pool level that has been on the chart since January, and if we look back at January's earnings that was a rejection level after the initial earnings pop. Bottom line it's too soon to take a victory lap on META and we are likely to see it reverse tomorrow or Friday unless it can beat IV Crush and get above 740.
Exactly. Everyone thinks that because the Democrats are going to sweep both houses of congress that it immediately neuters Trump and the market will soar.
The reality is that new congress isn't seated until January, which means he will have 2 months to go completely buck wild inflicting maximum damage. We'll be lucky if the market doesn't crash.
Several days of news reports that Israel is planning on going on the assault against Iran with or without the US approving. Now we are preparing to evacuate our embassies in the gulf. This is what happens right before an escalation phase. Party is over folks.
775 has a lot of negative gamma built up, that is likely the level that triggers a sell and where I would open puts.
The 773 open interest spot gamma level worked out well, we came all the way up to test it. The question is whether or not we hold above the 772.22/772.43 dark pool levels. Volume has completely petered out so the odds of this being a clean breakout are slim.
If you're going to troll, at least make it believable. The KOSPI has had a pretty good track record of confirming flags and pennants of both the bear and bull variety. Coping like this does not alter reality.
Here’s a free tip for all the new guys. When people high up the food chain like Ken Griffen start admitting the existence of a bubble in anything, it’s already too late. They only make these acknowledgments publicly after we pass the point of no return.
CITADEL’S KEN GRIFFIN: WE’RE ALMOST CERTAINLY IN AN AI BUBBLE
Billionaire Ken Griffin warns investors are “almost certainly” in an AI bubble, as companies struggle to turn massive AI spending into measurable productivity gains.
With Anthropic reportedly eyeing $750 billion in future computing expenditures, questions over AI investment returns are intensifying.
But Griffin remains bullish on AI’s long-term potential.
$80BLN loss and yet the market still believes them when they say they are going to spend 700BLN on capex. People, they are just lying at this point, the ai bubble is over, we are standing at the cliff and the ground is beginning to crumble at our feet.
