Michael Vodicka retweeted
It really is amazing how a higher January tends to forecast a strong final 11 months.
Michael Vodicka retweeted
The S&P 500 gained 16% in April and May.
Since then it is up about 2.5%, as it has simply consolidated those huge gains.
Other years that saw big gains in those two months saw huge gains into year-end. Could this be another clue Q4 will be strong for the bulls?
Michael Vodicka retweeted
BREAKING: SanDisk shares surge +7.56% as Wall Street turns more bullish on AI memory demand.
Michael Vodicka retweeted
The best month of the year in a midterm year is October.
The second best month of the year in a midterm year is November.
Almost there.
Michael Vodicka retweeted
🚨 Palantir $PLTR just printed its first golden cross since early 2023
Michael Vodicka retweeted
$SNDK CFO at TMT Conference said they will ship HBF to customers in 2027 which I believe he is alluding to samples with PARTIAL engineering test flows (instead of FULL test).
And look who is already at the table: $GOOGL and $META in the HBF consortium.
If HBF finds a market in the AI buildout, it's going to cause further NAND and Wafer shortage. Bullish for memory industry.
Also an analyst asked the $SNDK CFO which memory HBF is going to replace. Wrong question. HBF is not built to replace DRAM or HBM. It is built for symbiosis. Read my quoted post for further details.
$SNDK $MU $SKHY
A lot of you are confused between HBF and HBM. Worse, some of you pretend to know and write posts that mislead everyone else.
They will never replace each other. Here's why:
As a memory expert, I could write an IEEE style journal on this right here. But it would just get stolen by the big accounts, so I won't.
Keeping it simple.
The easiest way to think about HBF and HBM is to think about NAND and DRAM relationship today. It's a symbiosis. They can't replace each other. Not with better controllers. Not with smarter firmware. Not ever.
The reason is PHYSICS.
NAND has density but wears out. It degrades over time.
DRAM is low latency but volatile. Data goes puff when power goes out.
NAND memory is called NAND because it actually uses NAND gates and they are connected serially, so it does well on serial read (big file reads/writes in which bits are done sequentially cell by cell). So HBF might be suitable to store big AI Models.
DRAM cells can be addressed individually, so it does well on random access, small to medium size files spread across different physical/logical addresses (hence the name Dynamic Random Access Memory). So HBM might be more suitable for KV cache or frequently used Models.
Memory makers aren't selling you products. They're selling you one type of physics over another. You can't swap physics. You choose one physics for your application.
Michael Vodicka retweeted
Over the last 20 years, July has been the Nasdaq’s best month and September its worst.
But when July is negative, September is 3-for-3 green.
Michael Vodicka retweeted
Every single "legend" is losing to the S&P 500 this year.
David Einhorn -4.1%
Cathie Wood -4.6%
Warren Buffett -11.0%
Bill Ackman -13.4%
Carl Icahn -22.0%
Michael Saylor -31.6%
Michael Vodicka retweeted
BREAKING: Bitcoin rises above $80,000 for the first time since May 15th.
Bitcoin is now up +29% in 7 days.
Michael Vodicka retweeted
JUST IN: Amazon announces a multibillion dollar robotics manufacturing facility in Austin, Texas, creating up to 500 jobs.
Michael Vodicka retweeted
US stocks are having one of their best decades in history:
The S&P 500 has gained +141.0% so far since the end of 2019.
If this pace continues, the index will finish the decade with a cumulative gain of roughly +277%.
This would rank as the 2nd-best decade on record, trailing only the +316% return posted during the 1989-1999 Dot-Com Boom.
This would also surpass the +257% gain seen during the postwar boom decade of 1949-1959.
By comparison, between 2010 and 2020, the S&P 500 returned +190% following the 2008 Financial Crisis.
The 2020s are shaping up to be one of the greatest decades in US equity market history.
Michael Vodicka retweeted
Bitcoin in the tightest volatility band it’s been in for five years.
Three things are going on:
1. Miners have transferred significant compute power to AI, which disrupted the hash rate and muted volatility.
2. Capital has also fled crypto into AI broadly.
3. Four-year cycle believers see that we’re at the tail end of what would typically be the bear market phase; we’re 18 to 19 months from the next halving.
All three factors have suppressed the price.
But we are still bulls on Bitcoin.
As the halving cycle comes back around and supply gets cut again, it tightens price.
I think you’ll see it move back above $100,000.
This is from my appearance on @SquawkCNBC with @andrewrsorkin this morning live from the @SALTConference Wyoming Blockchain Symposium.
Michael Vodicka retweeted
BREAKING: Nike stock, $NKE, collapses to its lowest level since September 2014, now down -78% from its all time high seen in 2021.
The stock has now officially erased over -$200 billion in market cap since its record high.
73% of ALL $SPCX shares in existence are now in the hands of known whales , companies, nations and basically wealthy people who don’t need money and will hold forever.
There is only 27% remaining that can be sold… BUT a large part of this 27% are held by retail and the musk cult who will also NEVER sell.
So its very likely that demand > supply forever
@elonmusk > owns 48.4 % of spacex
Google > 4.2%
Antonio Gracias > 3.8%
Peter Thiel > 3.2%
Fidelity > 2.3%
Gigafund > 1.3%
Saudi Arabia > 1.2%
Ron Baron > 1.1%
Nvidia> 1%
Sequoia > 1%
Do with this info what you will
Michael Vodicka retweeted
JUST IN: U.S. 30-year Treasury auction clears at 5.216%, the highest rate in 25 years.
Michael Vodicka retweeted
BREAKING: SpaceX stock, $SPCX, extends gains to over +10% on the day, now up nearly +40% over the last five trading days.
The stock has added +$550 billion in market cap since August 6th.



























