MsCowboyBoots🌵

There is no observational data to support the claim that we are facing an existential humanitarian crisis due to climate change. Despite a lack of empirical evidence to support such profound statements, the alarmists stress that more and more people are being killed by “climate-driven” extreme weather events such as heatwaves, tropical cyclones, droughts and floods each year because of our “addiction” to fossil fuels. What's more, alarmists maintain that “climate-fueled” heat and drought are taking a toll on agriculture, which is increasing famine and food scarcity. However, a close examination of the data reveal that not one of these popular averments are true. 𝐀𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐠𝐞 𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐞 𝐞𝐱𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐦𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐧 𝐝𝐨𝐮𝐛𝐥𝐞𝐝: • Africa: +131.8% (2011-20 vs. 1925) • Americas: +116.9% (2011-20 vs. 1850) • Asia: +165.8% (2011-20 vs. 1885) • Europe: +115.0% (2011-20 vs. 1850) • Oceania: +124.9% (2011-20 vs. 1870) 🔗ourworldindata.org/life-expe… The reason for this is because of fossil fuels, which have improved our standard of living in a number of ways, including: 💡 Producing the electricity supplied to our homes to keep our lights on, HVAC working and other home appliances functioning. 🍳 Supply the electricity and/or gas to power stoves, ovens and microwaves to cook our food and reduce personal risk of becoming infected and/or falling ill to foodborne pathogens. 💊 Improving public health by facilitating a hygienic sewage treatment system, a clean running water supply and enabling scientists / engineers to develop life-saving medications, vaccines and various surgical procedures that would otherwise not exist. ⛽️ Powering vehicles, aircraft and other modes of transportation which make it easier for people to get access to better healthcare, better education and countless other essential services. 𝐃𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐡𝐬 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐰𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐫-𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐥 𝐡𝐚𝐳𝐚𝐫𝐝𝐬 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐝𝐨𝐰𝐧 𝐦𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐧 𝟗𝟎%: Despite the increase in ~6 billion people since 1920, the absolute [decadal average] number of deaths from meteorological-related hazards (e.g., severe storms, floods, droughts or extreme temperatures) have fallen by >96.2% since the 1920s. 📉 🔗ourworldindata.org/grapher/d… While this data does not really reflect climate-related trends, it is a result of improved warning coordination efforts between government officials and the public at large, which is linearly traced to improved forecast lead times. This has all been enabled by very powerful supercomputers that require nuclear fission, coal fire or natural gas to operate. 🖥️ 𝐆𝐥𝐨𝐛𝐚𝐥 𝐚𝐠𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐥 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐢𝐬 𝐚𝐭 𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐫𝐝 𝐡𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐬: Contrary to popular belief, global crop yields reached “all-time” record highs [since FAO data began in 1961] during the last decade. 📈 🌾 Wheat: +2,481.9% (2013-22 vs. 1961-70) 🌽 Maize: +2,448.7% 🍚 Rice: +2,073.3% 🌱 Soybeans: +1,960.8% 🍌 Bananas: +1,821.0% 🫛 Peas, dry: +1,650.3% 🫘 Beans, dry: +1,483.3% 🥔 Potatoes: +1,480.0% 🍫 Cocoa beans: +1,381.5% 🔗fao.org/faostat/en/#data/QCL Uptrends in crop yields are largely a byproduct of genetic engineering high yield crop varieties which are more resistant to inclement weather and invasive insect species. 🔗pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/article… However, some of this may be augmented by higher atmospheric CO₂ concentrations and a longer growing season in the mid-latitudes. Even the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) admits this. 🔗climatechange.chicago.gov/cl… What's more, the number of deaths from famine have decreased by 98.4% since the 1940s. 📉 🔗ourworldindata.org/famines So, the suggestion that food scarcity is becoming an issue at the global scale is not supported by the data. 𝐆𝐥𝐨𝐛𝐚𝐥 𝐰𝐚𝐫𝐦𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐞𝐬 𝐝𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐡𝐬 𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐤𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨 𝐞𝐱𝐭𝐫𝐞𝐦𝐞 𝐨𝐮𝐭𝐝𝐨𝐨𝐫 𝐚𝐢𝐫 𝐭𝐞𝐦𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐞𝐱𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐞: We are routinely told that “extreme heat is the number one weather-related killer.” We are also told that as the planet warms, more and more people are going to be killed from extreme temperatures. But, it turns out that extreme heat is humans' 𝒍𝒐𝒘𝒆𝒔𝒕 𝒕𝒆𝒎𝒑𝒆𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒖𝒓𝒆 𝒓𝒊𝒔𝒌 in most geographical regions. 🥵 From 2000-2019, 𝒆𝒙𝒕𝒓𝒆𝒎𝒆 𝒉𝒆𝒂𝒕 was linked to an average of 153,078 excess deaths (e.g., hyperthermia or heatstroke) per year globally. 🥶 𝑬𝒙𝒕𝒓𝒆𝒎𝒆 𝒄𝒐𝒍𝒅, conversely, was linked to 205,932 excess deaths (e.g., hypothermia) per year globally. So, that's 1.3× as many fatalities than those caused by extreme heat exposure. Thus, in the grand scheme of things, direct exposure to extreme outdoor air temperature kills a surprisingly few number of people per year globally. 🔗journals.plos.org/plosmedici… 🔗pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/3833… Much larger health risks are associated with moderate heat and cold exposure, however. ♨️ 𝑴𝒐𝒅𝒆𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒆 𝒉𝒆𝒂𝒕 was ascribed to 335,997 excess deaths (e.g., dehydration or electrolyte imbalance) per year, on average, globally from 2000-19. That is 2.19× as many deaths than the number caused by extreme heat. 🧥 𝑴𝒐𝒅𝒆𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒆 𝒄𝒐𝒍𝒅 is humans' highest temperature risk. From 2000-19, it was linked to nearly 4.4 million excess deaths (e.g., constriction of blood vessels to maintain a stable core body temperature) per year, on average, globally. That's 28.6× as many deaths than are caused by extreme heat exposure. By region, extreme heat is the 𝒔𝒎𝒂𝒍𝒍𝒆𝒔𝒕 𝒕𝒆𝒎𝒑𝒆𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒖𝒓𝒆 𝒓𝒊𝒔𝒌 on 4 of the 6 permanently inhabited continents (e.g., Zhao et al., 2024). Versus extreme cold, extreme heat kills, on an annual average, • Oceania: 114 more people ⬆️ • North America: 7,026 𝒇𝒆𝒘𝒆𝒓 people ⬇️ • Latin America: 9,611 𝒇𝒆𝒘𝒆𝒓 people ⬇️ • Europe: 6,741 𝒇𝒆𝒘𝒆𝒓 people ⬇️ • Africa: 13,131 more people ⬆️ • Asia: 47,722 𝒇𝒆𝒘𝒆𝒓 people ⬇️ 🔗thelancet.com/journals/lanpl… But, what about increased risk with warming? 🤔 It holds true that with warming, there is an increased heat-related mortality rate, and the number of cold weather-related deaths concurrently decrease. This trend has already been observed. 🥵 On average, ~116,000 more people die per year from 𝒆𝒙𝒕𝒓𝒆𝒎𝒆 𝒉𝒆𝒂𝒕 exposure today than they did in the year 2000. 🥶 On average, ~283,000 𝒇𝒆𝒘𝒆𝒓 people die per year from 𝒆𝒙𝒕𝒓𝒆𝒎𝒆 𝒄𝒐𝒍𝒅 exposure today than in 2000. But, as we can see with the figures above, the number of deaths from exposure to cold air decrease at a faster pace than the number of deaths from exposure to hot air increase. The result? Total deaths fall. ⬇️ The average number of deaths avoided annually from non-optimal outdoor air temperature exposure since 2000 now exceeds 167,000 persons. 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐛𝐨𝐭𝐭𝐨𝐦 𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬. . . There is 𝒏𝒐 𝒉𝒂𝒓𝒅 𝒍𝒊𝒏𝒆 𝒐𝒇 𝒆𝒗𝒊𝒅𝒆𝒏𝒄𝒆 to suggest that a warmer planet is bad for humanity. There is 𝒏𝒐 𝒆𝒗𝒊𝒅𝒆𝒏𝒄𝒆 to suggest that climate warming has been a net drawback to state of human welfare. We have the ability to adapt to change with the technologies we have developed. This isn't an existential crisis by any key metric of relevance. Claims that we are facing a crisis are from individuals concerned about what 𝒎𝒊𝒈𝒉𝒕 happen in the future, which stem from predictions made by faulty computer model simulations with unrealistic input assumptions from the get-go.