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India
Joined October 2020
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Wholesale volumes for September 2024 showed muted performance. #Passenger Vehicles (PVs) saw flat YoY volumes, #Commercial Vehicles (CVs) declined in double digits, and tractors posted low single-digit growth. The 2-Wheeler segment, however, excelled with strong double-digit growth, driven by robust domestic demand and a rebound in exports. Key outperformers included #BajajAuto in 2-Wheelers, M&M in PVs, and VECV (#Eicher Motors) in CVs. #Vahan registrations (retail sales) for September totaled ~17.25 lakh units, down ~9% YoY from ~19.05 lakh units in September 2023.
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With an aim to boost its economy, #China has announced a slew of stimulus measures which may boost #metal demand in the country. Consequently, this will support prices given China accounts for ~50% of metal production and consumption globally. Indian players stand to benefit from this pricing discipline, coupled with potentially lower imports and muted raw material costs scenario especially on the power/coal side.
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A detailed thread on Emcure Pharmaโ€™s business๐Ÿ‘‡
๐ˆ๐ง๐๐ข๐š๐ง ๐๐ก๐š๐ซ๐ฆ๐š ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐š ๐๐จ๐ฐ๐ง๐œ๐ฒ๐œ๐ฅ๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ ๐„๐ฆ๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐๐ก๐š๐ซ๐ฆ๐š ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ฌ๐ž๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ ๐ž๐ญ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐! ๐Ÿ’Š๐Ÿ’น A ๐Ÿงตon the Business breakdown of Emcure Pharma๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿ“ŒCompany overview: ๐Ÿ”ธEmcure Pharmaceuticals, based in Pune, is India's 13th-largest pharmaceutical company by domestic sales ๐Ÿ”ธIt has a strong focus on Women's healthcare, with a significant presence in Gynecology, Cardiology, and Blood-related drugs 1/n
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Checkout the list of Companies that reported peak EBITDA margins in Q4FY24๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ’ฐ
Companies that reported peak EBITDA margins primarily in chemicals, healthcare, and real estate sectors๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ’น #Q4FY24 analysis Part 2๐Ÿ‘‡
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Daburโ€™s correlation with monsoonโคต๏ธ๐Ÿ“Š
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2009 elections: A day to remember in Indian stock market history!โšก๏ธ๐Ÿš€ Nifty up 17% in a day, Sensex up 75% in 2 months! ๐Ÿ’น
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White House announces new anti-China tariffs: ๐Ÿš— Electric vehicles: from 25% to 100% ๐Ÿ”‹ EVs batteries: from 7.5% to 25% ๐ŸŒž Solar cells: from 25% to 50% ๐Ÿญ Steel and aluminum: from 0%-7.5% to 25%
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I just imposed a series of tariffs on goods made in China: 25% on steel and aluminum, 50% on semiconductors, 100% on EVs, And 50% on solar panels. China is determined to dominate these industries. I'm determined to ensure America leads the world in them.
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Fantastic Q4FY24 results by #KEC International Revenue is at its all-time highs, Profits have doubled! ๐Ÿš€ Consolidated revenues grew 12% YoY at Rs 6,165 crs Segment-wise details ๐Ÿ‘‡ โ›ณTransmission & distribution: Turnaround performance, Rev growth 21% YoY; Order book of over Rs 21,000 crs โ›ณCivil: Rev growth of 32% YoY; Order intake of Rs. 4,200 Cr from various sectors such as FMCG, Mining & Cement โ›ณRailways: Commenced execution for the maiden international project in Bangladesh and bid for few projects in Middle East โ›ณOil & Gas: Rev growth 30% YoY; Forayed into the international market by bagging maiden order in Africa โ›ณSolar: Bidding for select renewable opportunities in line with commitment of the govt to promote renewable energy โ›ณCables: Delivered an impressive performance with highest ever Revenues, Order Intake and Profitability
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๐’๐ก๐š๐ค๐ญ๐ข ๐๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฌ: One of the co's that are ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐š๐ญ ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ค ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ‘‡- 06/05/2024
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We compiled ๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐จ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐‚๐ž๐ฅ๐ž๐›๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฌ in this thread๐Ÿงต #Q4FY24 1/12
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Ashish Kacholia ๐Ÿ’นIncrease in holding: ๐Ÿ“Basilic Fly Studio Ltd ๐Ÿ“Zaggle PrepaidOcean Services Ltd ๐Ÿ“Brand Concepts Ltd ๐Ÿ“Balu Forge Industries Ltd ๐Ÿ“SG Finserve Ltd ๐Ÿ“‰Decrease in holding: ๐Ÿ“Shankara Building Products Ltd ๐Ÿ“Garware Hi-Tech Films Ltd ๐Ÿ“Repro India Ltd ๐Ÿ“Genesys International Corporation Ltd ๐Ÿ“Safari Industries (India) Ltd ๐Ÿ“Xpro India Ltd 2/12
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Another step towards Fleet Electrification in Indiaโ›ณ Tata Passenger Electric Mobility Ltd, a Tata Motors subsidiary, signs MoU with Vertelo for 2,000 electric cars (XPRES-T, sedan) ๐Ÿค๐Ÿš˜ For context, Vertelo is a Macquarie-managed integrated fleet electrification platform and they plan to invest $US1.5 billion over the next 10 years!
5 ways how Tata using its Moat can redefine EV charging ecosystem!๐Ÿ’น๐Ÿš˜ A thread๐Ÿงต ๐ŸšจImproving utilization: - Tata's upcoming Zconnect super app will boost EV charging accessibility by spotlighting underused stations - With 1.4Bn Kms driven, Tata holds a data goldmine (its biggest Moat) This app will streamline the charging journey from finding stations to payment 1/6
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What did retail and MFs buy the most in Q4FY24๐Ÿ‘‡
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Both mutual funds and retail shareholders shopped for HDFC Bank last quarter
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5 ways how Tata using its Moat can redefine EV charging ecosystem!๐Ÿ’น๐Ÿš˜ A thread๐Ÿงต ๐ŸšจImproving utilization: - Tata's upcoming Zconnect super app will boost EV charging accessibility by spotlighting underused stations - With 1.4Bn Kms driven, Tata holds a data goldmine (its biggest Moat) This app will streamline the charging journey from finding stations to payment 1/6
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๐ŸšจSolution for Highway anxiety: - Tata's data shows EVs aren't preferred for long trips (<400Kms) despite large batteries, highlighting highway anxiety For context, Tata Motors has ~75% market share in EVs - So the need is for robust charging infrastructure, with smaller batteries. Tata is working on this solution which will also lead to price parity and increased sales๐Ÿ“ˆ 2/6
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Interesting fact-check!๐Ÿš€ Did you know, out of 63.4M registered enterprises in India, 32.5M (51% share) are thriving in rural regions #RuralEntrepreneurship #IndiaBiz
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Crompton Greaves Strategy 2.0!! ๐Ÿ” What's it about?๐Ÿ‘‡ Strong focus on strengthening competitive advantages: ๐Ÿ’กPremiumisation of portfolio across segments. Co. gained market share in premium fans from ~17% 3 years ago to 25-26% now ๐Ÿ’ก It wants to increase investments in in-house manufacturing, which may result in margin expansion & launch of differentiated products ๐Ÿ’ก Increase investments in pumps. Crompton has gained market share in Agri and solar pumps ๐Ÿ’กCo. also won a patent in pumps and believes there is potential to win more patents ๐Ÿ’ก As per strategy 2.0, the company also plans to steadily enter new segments which may result in the expansion of addressable market 1/2
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๐ŸŽฏStable/ lower commodity prices also augurs well for the co. The pricing stability could allow the company to invest in brand-building activities as well as drive volume growth ๐ŸŽฏPortfolio premiumization may provide margin tailwinds. However, we model Butterfly to remain in restructuring mode in H1FY25E and may recover only in H2FY25E Credits: ICICI Research desk 2/2
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As FY24 wraps up, it's time to uncover the outperforming & underperforming sectors๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ” Letโ€™s dive in๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿ”ฐWinners ๐Ÿš˜๐€๐ฎ๐ญ๐จ: The sector has turned around after a long consolidation cycle of 5 years. All segments doing well - 2W, PV, CV & Premiumization trends to continue Path to consider: Market might not be factoring in competition/disruptions? ๐Ÿ ๐‘๐ž๐š๐ฅ ๐„๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž: The sector has given the best returns (co's up ~2x). The pain cycle was long 10+ years & now, the upcycle persists for ~3 yrs Path to consider: Can we expect some consolidation & project/land acquisition before next leg of rally? ๐Ÿฆ๐๐’๐” ๐๐š๐ง๐ค๐ฌ: Market favoring PSU Banks over Private Banks after a decade. Some of the small cos with low float may have stretched valuations Path to consider: Large ones might not see stress anytime soon? ๐Ÿ’Š๐๐ก๐š๐ซ๐ฆ๐š - Some of the large co's have come out with long consolidation of earnings. The sector has not given any extraordinary returns over last 5-8 yrs ๐Ÿ—๏ธOther ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐จ๐๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ & ๐„๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐ ๐ฒ ๐›๐š๐ฌ๐ค๐ž๐ญ๐ฌ did okay but some of the non-main-stream segments of capital goods & government expenditure (Railways, Defence) did phenomenally well 1/2
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๐ŸšฉLoosers ๐Ÿ“ฒ๐๐ซ๐ข๐ฏ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐›๐š๐ง๐ค๐ฌ & ๐ˆ๐“ constitutes ~50%+ of index but a saw poor performance Path to consider: IT saw a demand deterioration to an extent, but now downside is low? If yes, earnings could accelerate ๐Ÿ“บ๐Œ๐ž๐๐ข๐š: Media has been the worst-performing sector across time frames. The incumbents are facing disruptions vs OTT + Big Daddy Reliance wants a share of the pie. Path to consider: Lot of issues regarding Governance, Competition, Disruption, and so on...? ๐Ÿ›’๐‚๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง: The consumer sector was the driving force of wealth creation for the last decade 2010-2020. High starting valuation, Inflation, and weak rural demand may continue to impact the performance in long run 2/2
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Explained here in detail how capital cycle in the paint industry can playout New competition will compete on pricing with low RoCE expectations and eventually, it might drive down the capital efficiency of incumbents teapaw.org/MultipieSocial/status/โ€ฆ
Paint Companies In Focus Birla Opus released its price list 5% discount to Asian Paint prices across categories Company would be giving an additional 10% quantity across SKUs Thus price discount could be northwards of 15% #GRASIM #asianpaints
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Promoter buying in the following companies in last few days๐Ÿ”ฐ Part 1/2
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Promoter selling in the following companies in last few days๐Ÿ“‰โ€ผ๏ธ Part 2/2
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๐ŸŽฌ๐Ÿ“บ #Disney - #Reliance: A Relationship Which Threatens #Media ๐Ÿš€ In a groundbreaking move, Reliance and Disney announced their #merger in late February 2024, forming the largest media entity in India. Here's a breakdown of what this means for the industry: (1/5)
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Ownership structure post-merger๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿ’ผ #Reliance: 16.34% ๐Ÿ’ซ #Disney: 36.84% ๐ŸŒ #Bodhi Tree (#ParamountGlobal & James Murdoch): 46.82% ๐Ÿ“ˆ The combined entity is valued at a staggering $8.5ย Billion! (2/5)
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Top companies bought and sold by Mutual funds in Feb'24๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ‘‡
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Credits: ICICI research desk
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