Follow @ProbableChris for NQ Stats related content.
Joined February 2025
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This X profile will be shutting down. I will still use my personal at @ProbableChris and the NQ Stats website will stay up as well. Just consolidating my social media to make it easier to manage. If you don’t follow me at @ProbableChris, give a follow, as thats where all things NQ Stats will be discussed going forward.
NQ Stats retweeted
i try my absolute best to stay out of drama but this is fucking gold
@lanto_trades posted yesterday he made $500k after only buying 40 accounts with vest. edited the account names to reflect 40-50ish.
then accidentally uploads the uncropped screenshot of account 819. deletes. reuploads the cropped version.
you too can probably make $500k after 819 yolos.
NQ Stats retweeted
Highly recommend it to anyone who is “close” to make it! Helped me to make the step!
The NQ Stats website has added a "Coaching" tab. This is where you can inquire about coaching related to personal process improvement or specific NQ Stats content via deep dives. Learn more at nqstats.com/coaching.html
The NQ Stats website has added a "Coaching" tab. This is where you can inquire about coaching related to personal process improvement or specific NQ Stats content via deep dives. Learn more at nqstats.com/coaching.html
youtu.be/pxs2MuqvH3w
New vid for the new site on "Price Distributions". "Price Distributions" is a statistical framework I use to tell what regime we are in, what my bias should be (trend vs mean reversion), and when to time my entries. It uses percent net change from open to close of various time windows to calculate samples and derive data from said sample.
Going into 8am ET, NQ is in a Pattern 4. What does this mean, see pictures attached, or learn more at nqstats.com/aln_sessions.htm…
NQ Stats website has received a redesign, with additional metrics and data around the existing stats/concepts. Check it out at nqstats.com/ and leave some feedback in the comments!
NQ Stats retweeted
In 2026, I am doing a free month long coaching, each month, for one randomly selected person. The intent of this coaching is to work with traders who are near profitable, hovering breakeven, who need refinements to get them across the finish line. We will refine YOUR current process, utilizing your current strategy. If you are interested in applying, please use this form. I will draw someone for the month of March tomorrow, 27 Feb. If you have previously applied, no need to apply again.
docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F…
If you have created indicators related to NQ Stats data or concepts, and would like to share them, consider posting them in this thread.
Starting to see people create and sell Trading View indicators based on the content, stats and concepts I have shared for free. If you are someone who has created indicators and/or tools and are sharing them for free, please post them in this thread so others can avoid unnecessarily paying for something.
ALN Session stats gave a pattern 4 today going into 8am, so expectancy wise, the London low of 25645 would be the target....HOWEVER.....At the time of the New Your range opening at 8am ET, price was at a daily -1.0 distribution.
Asking price to go lower down to that London low would be asking price to make an outlier day move as a normal distribution would be expected to reside inside +/- 1.0. Without a anticipated new catalyst, there would not be a reason to anticipate an outlier move.
So while the expectancy given the stat was down, real-time price did not align. Realtime price was already a 133% of its 60 day average range and extended near a key reversion point. For this reason, avoiding the ALN Session based setup was the optimal choice.
NQ Stats retweeted
The final part (part 5) of my "Day Trader's Blueprint" series is complete. Part 5 covers Strategy Refinement. You can get the entire playlist here:
youtube.com/playlist?list=PL…
NQ Stats retweeted
xitter.cf/i/spaces/1jMJgRnkZVwGL
If you have any questions regarding the stuff I post, or the content on my @NQStats website, this is the place to ask.
Combining ALN Sessions data and RTH data, here is this morning. ALN Sessions is giving a pattern 3, which creates a historical probability of 79% that price will break the London High. Additionally, if price can hold inside prior days RTH (green box), there is a 73% probability price will break outside it, which given the ALN Sessions pattern, this break favors the upside.
“The Day Trader's Blueprint", a five-part series designed to equip traders with the essential foundations for consistent success. This series focuses on the fundamental principles that underpin a disciplined trading approach.
Part 1: Intro & Expectations
youtu.be/H0Xwn2thdT4
Part 2: Process
youtu.be/fbtKDz9JlaY
Part 3: Self Control
youtu.be/B25RFDK88hI
Part 4: Risk Management
-TBD
Part 5: Strategy Refinement
-TBD
youtu.be/dIIE3ezP1z8
This video is using the 9/9/2025 session to showcase a prime example of when two separate stats overlap for added scalability.
