Full time prediction market trader

Phoenix, AZ
Joined November 2022
This was so crazy to me that I had to write an article about it
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Sorry to say it but if you’re not voting for who you have money on winning in November you’re not doing enough
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“Sorry babe I can’t tonight I got money on the Lord of the Wings combo”
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They say one man’s trash is another man’s treasure
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This is my quant
Replying to @AlexMonahaqyrt
I don’t fuck with the fees these prediction markets take. That’s fuckin bullshit. Books don’t take fees
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Voters in November:
BREAKING: President Trump says gasoline prices are no longer being driven higher by disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, but rather by Russian refineries being blown up by Ukraine.
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ProphetX giving Kalshi a major run for their money with this AI ad
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It’s remarkable that we’re just 1 month away from midterms and the risk free ROI in election markets is still about 10% Returns roughly as much as the S&P 500 in an average year in just a month with less risk
Can’t believe they’re selling dollars for 74¢
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Yeah this is a big problem because we know Stock Brokerages have never ever run promos similar to those before
Meanwhile, Kalshi and affiliates are still running this lottery-like promo where no one is being very transparent about your odds of getting the $2,000 bonus.
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Huge moral win for dmou22 on the 111 market combo
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Exactly right because insider trading is when you see your local bakery’s egg invoice and trade on egg prices going up nationally
This quoted post is unavailable.
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It’s about time, going all in has never been enough I need to be able to lose more than everything I have
Prediction market platform Kalshi filed on Tuesday with federal regulators to seek approval to offer leverage on event contracts, a prevalent practice already on Wall Street for stocks and futures. Read more: cnb.cx/4xCNHMK
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2% arb for $316K of something 5 months away come and get it Not all at once everybody save some EV for the rest of us
Taking to X to try to get out of an absurdly large position to free up capital - 2c arb to Kalshi, come get it
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Why haven’t the billion dollar Wall Street firms figured this out yet? If you just buy the higher likelihood option before every Fed meeting you win every single time. It’s self fulfilling. Literally can’t go tits up
1 DAY OUT FROM THE FED DECISION Will Warsh hike as expected? Or surprise markets by holding rates steady? I’m currently long rate hike at 85¢ - hoping for no surprises
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Many such cases
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Wow! Where can I get these odds for Stroud to throw for 2+ touchdowns at 1% I need to full kelly bet this
🚨BREAKING: Someone just put $1,491 on C.J. Stroud NOT to throw 2+ touchdowns vs the Bills This pays out $1,500 on Polymarket
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Kalshi finally just sent out emails regarding their “NFL Week 1: Players to Compete” market They’re paying out winners based off what happens + covering losers losses Took them a while but this is the right thing to do now that the season has started imo
Kalshi appears to have completely removed their “NFL Week 1: Players to Compete” and other controversial injury related markets
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Another absolute win for the truth machine
The Atlanta Falcons announce that Tua Tagovailoa is OUT for their Week 1 Game Cooper Rush will start the opening game for the Falcons
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This is the Prediction Market equivalent of if Silicon Valley Bank had taken victory laps for getting bailed out by the Fed
Update: Kalshi has canceled the trades and compensated us for this loss as a long, glorious list of $1000 credits
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Kalshi has put back up their NFL Week 1: Players to Compete and other injury related markets You have to wonder why they took these down in the first place, locking up peoples’ money for about a week without any explanation
Brought the market back btw
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