Sorry to say it but if you’re not voting for who you have money on winning in November you’re not doing enough
This is my quant
Replying to @AlexMonahaqyrt
I don’t fuck with the fees these prediction markets take. That’s fuckin bullshit. Books don’t take fees
It’s remarkable that we’re just 1 month away from midterms and the risk free ROI in election markets is still about 10%
Returns roughly as much as the S&P 500 in an average year in just a month with less risk
Exactly right because insider trading is when you see your local bakery’s egg invoice and trade on egg prices going up nationally
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It’s about time, going all in has never been enough I need to be able to lose more than everything I have
Prediction market platform Kalshi filed on Tuesday with federal regulators to seek approval to offer leverage on event contracts, a prevalent practice already on Wall Street for stocks and futures.
Read more: cnb.cx/4xCNHMK
Why haven’t the billion dollar Wall Street firms figured this out yet?
If you just buy the higher likelihood option before every Fed meeting you win every single time. It’s self fulfilling. Literally can’t go tits up
Kalshi finally just sent out emails regarding their “NFL Week 1: Players to Compete” market
They’re paying out winners based off what happens + covering losers losses
Took them a while but this is the right thing to do now that the season has started imo


































