Water security remains a dominant issue for Nevada voters. Nearly half of registered voters (48%) say they are very concerned about how ongoing growth impacts the water supply, while another 35% are somewhat concerned. Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

"The economic-development case has an audience, but it does not win once voters weigh the resource costs. Across Nevada, Arizona, and Utah, the public is asking leaders to show how data-center growth will fit within real limits on water, power, and infrastructure." - @MikePNoble Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

"Parties usually appreciate having a friendly wedge issue on the ballot, to juice support for their team. This time, the wedge issues happen to cancel each other out, leaving campaign strategists from both sides likely wishing they had kept their powder dry." - @MikePNoble Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

Nevada fits a broader regional trend across the West regarding data center expansion. Pushback in Nevada mirrors recent polling in Arizona (57% oppose) and Utah (60% oppose), highlighting widespread concern over shared resource limits Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

Support for limiting data center growth spans all political parties in Nevada. Democrats favor limits over development by 58 points, Independents by 37 points, and Republicans by 12 points. Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

Nevadans rate Joe Lombardo’s handling of the state economy substantially higher than Donald Trump’s handling of the national economy (45% approval vs 38% approval). Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

Voters are virtually deadlocked on who they trust to handle Nevada's remaining key issues: Economy / Cost of living: Ford +2 (37% vs 35%) K-12 Education: Ford +2 (37% vs 35%) Tourism & business climate: Lombardo +2 (35% vs 33%) Water supply & managing growth: Lombardo +1 (35% vs 34%) Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

"Nevada is one of the driest states in the country, and voters know it. It doesn’t matter how much additional tax revenue data centers and new residents bring in, Nevadans can’t drink tax dollars if there isn’t enough water to go around." - @MikePNoble Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

Lombardo's lead comes from independent and Clark County voters, where down-ballot Republicans lag behind: Independents: Tied 32%-32% for Governor, but prefer Democrats down-ballot by 4 to 12 points Clark County: Tied 41%-42% for Governor, while down-ballot Democrats lead by 6 to 14 points Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

"Opposition is strong and support is soft. That’s what happens when opponents have a clear, understandable message like ‘draining natural resources’ and supporters have less tangible benefits like ‘economic development and investments.’" - @MikePNoble Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

"Traditionally, ‘wedge issues’ are supposed to unite your party and divide your opponents. With Voter ID and Abortion Access, both parties get to have a wedge issue on the ballot this cycle." - @MikePNoble Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

When presented with explicit trade-offs, Nevadans choose limiting data centers over encouraging development by a 36-point margin. Nearly 60% say concerns about water use, energy bills, and infrastructure costs outweigh the potential jobs and tax revenue. Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

"The daylight that voters see between Joe Lombardo and Donald Trump on the economy is a key reason why this race is even close. If Nevadans saw Lombardo like they do Trump, Aaron Ford could start picking out paint colors for the Governor’s Mansion." - @MikePNoble Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

Concern over growth's impact on Nevada's water supply cuts across all partisan and regional lines. More than 8 in 10 voters express concern, including 87% in Washoe County, 83% in Clark County, and 78% in rural areas. Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

"The clearest sign that this election isn’t about public safety or affordable housing is the fact that it’s so closely divided. If crime were front of mind for most voters, Lombardo would be mopping up. If affordable housing was, Ford would have the edge." - @MikePNoble Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

Registered Nevada voters oppose additional large data centers by a 23-point margin. Overall, 57% of voters oppose new construction compared to 34% who support it, with opposition far outstripping support in intensity. Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

"Politics is not baseball, where one player’s home run counts towards the whole team’s score. Down-ballot Republicans may learn again that Joe Lombardo can win without them." - @MikePNoble Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

Supermajorities of Nevada voters favor both major ballot initiatives: Question 6 (Right to Abortion) leads with 69% support, while Question 7 (Voter ID) leads with 67% support. Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

Nevada voters see clear daylight between Joe Lombardo and Donald Trump. Lombardo holds a +5 net job approval rating (49% approve / 44% disapprove), while Trump sits at -16 overall and -23 on the economy Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…

Nevada likely voters trust Joe Lombardo over Aaron Ford on public safety by 12 points (43% vs 31%). Meanwhile, Ford leads Lombardo on housing affordability by 6 points (39% vs 33%). Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…