NILESH T. DEDHIA

A week ago, I shared my global market outlook. Nasdaq 100: 28,500–29,400 Dow Jones: 52,500–53,200 Brent: $115 could be a major top. Today, Nasdaq is around 28,437, Dow 53,356 and Brent near $94. How quickly the picture changes! Nothing is permanent in markets. Respect the trend, not your ego. Neither Bull Nor Bear. Be Fair. #GlobalMarkets #Nasdaq100 #BrentCrude

Major pivot points to remember Greed mein phasna mat , panic mein bechna mat

Nifty Muhurat Trading 11 saal 2016: 8,626 2017: 10,147 2018: 10,598 2019: 11,627 2020: 12,780 2021: 17,917 2022: 17,731 2023: 19,526 2024: 24,304 2025: 25,869 2026: 24,986 8 saal positive run chali Aaj toot gayi Ab aapki baari Muhurat 2027 mein Nifty kahan close karega? 22,000 25,000 28,000 30,000+ Comment mein likho apna target Neither Bull Nor Bear. Be Fair.

Few bears sleeping will come out of the den From Monday Comment mein likho kaun hai woh

Diwali is not merely a festival of lights. Today, we bow to Bhagwan Mahavir Swami, who attained Nirvana and showed humanity the path to liberation. May His teachings of Ahimsa, forgiveness and compassion illuminate our lives. Happy Diwali. Jai Jinendra. #Diwali #MahavirNirvana

Nifty is recovering, but where is the broader market? Large caps are leading, supported by a stronger rupee, cooling crude oil and FII buying. Midcaps and smallcaps are still struggling. The anti-AI trade may also favour India. 25,300 is the next big hurdle. 24,000 remains the recovery base. A rising Nifty doesn't mean every investor is making money! Neither Bull Nor Bear. Be Fair. #Nifty50 #DalalStreet #Midcaps #Smallcaps #StockMarketIndia #Investing

Those who have followed us since long Once book profits in nifty bees #Nifty

GLOBAL MARKETS ARE BLEEDING. INDIA CANNOT REMAIN ISOLATED. A Humble Appeal to @narendramodi @PMOIndia @nsitharaman @FinMinIndia Respected Prime Minister Modi ji and Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman ji, I have been following financial markets since 1992, and one thing I have learnt is that no market can remain completely isolated from global turmoil. Just look at how much major global markets have fallen from their peaks. Indonesia (Jakarta Composite): 45% South Korea (KOSPI): 43% Brazil (Ibovespa): 21% Taiwan (TAIEX): 17% Japan (Nikkei 225): 16% USA (Nasdaq Composite): 12% India (Nifty 50): 7% USA (S&P 500): 6% USA (Dow Jones): 5% Europe (Euro Stoxx 50): 5% These are approximate declines from record peaks to the closing levels of 5 November 2026. South Korea's figure uses its intraday peak. India has certainly shown resilience, but we must remember that we are still a developing economy. We cannot assume that global instability will never affect us. My humble request is to postpone any fresh tax increases or disruptive changes in LTCG, STCG and STT until global financial markets stabilise. Even announcing tax changes today for implementation at a later date may encourage FIIs to adjust their positions or increase short exposure in futures well in advance. Why create another reason for uncertainty? Instead, let us concentrate on attracting FDI. We need foreign companies to invest in our factories, infrastructure, technology and businesses. We need more employment, stronger exports and sustainable dollar inflows. At the same time, let us encourage stable FPI investment, protect investor confidence, strengthen corporate earnings and maintain stability in the rupee. My long-standing request also remains unchanged. STT should eventually be abolished for Indian investors. Why should someone pay transaction tax even when losing hard earned money? I understand that government revenue matters. But timing matters too. Let global markets settle. Let investment confidence return. Let our economy grow stronger. Tax reforms can be reviewed in a more stable environment. A strong stock market alone cannot make a strong economy. But a strong economy can certainly build a sustainable stock market. After 34 years in financial markets, this is my sincere appeal, not as a political statement but as someone who genuinely wants India to grow stronger. With respect and hope. Nilesh T Dedhia Market Analyst Since 1992 Founder, OmVedaSanjeevani.in #PMOIndia #FinanceMinistry #FDI #FPI #STT #LTCG #STCG #Nifty #GlobalMarkets #IndianEconomy

America ka $40 trillion se zyada karz! Trump ke daur mein ek bada sawaal: Dollar ki badshahat kab tak? Duniya ko karz dene wala desh, khud karz ke pahaad par baitha hai. Aaj dollar ki taaqat hai, lekin kal kaun jaane? Yaad aaya Kishore Kumar sahab ka woh retro classic... “Paisa Yeh Paisa!” #Trump #USDebt #Dollar #GlobalEconomy

High , but small and Midcaps party is missing

NIFTY 2029: The Recovery Is Real. But Is It Sustainable? Nifty at 24,536.60, up 10.37% from its October low. Trump's midterm setback, falling crude oil and renewed FII buying have changed market sentiment. Four levels matter now: 24,800: Supply hurdle 24,000: Recovery base 23,200: Important support 22,700: Weekly close below signals rally failure. For long-term investors, the real test is corporate earnings, broader market participation and patience. As the old song reminds us, “Yeh Jeevan Hai…” Markets change, and so do fortunes. Price Pain Is Visible. Time Pain Is Invisible. Neither Bull Nor Bear. Be Fair. #Nifty50 #Sensex #StockMarket #DalalStreet #LongTermInvesting #FIIs #IndianStockMarket

GM Everyone! How quickly the scene changes. Nothing is permanent, especially in financial markets! Crude oil back near $92. FIIs buying aggressively. Global sentiment changing rapidly. Much of the Trump-driven uncertainty was policy-driven and man-made. But now comes the real test of the markets. Corporate earnings must deliver. Government reforms and execution must deliver. Forex stability must continue. Most importantly, the real wealth creation may not come from yesterday's market leaders, but from beaten-down sectors where earnings, valuations and business cycles finally turn favourable. Liquidity can create a rally, but only earnings and fundamentals can sustain a bull market. And remember that timeless Kishore Kumar song from Piya Ka Ghar: “Yeh Jeevan Hai, Is Jeevan Ka Yahi Hai Rang Roop.” Markets reflect life itself. Good times never last forever, and neither do difficult times. Patience, conviction and sensible valuations can reward long-term investors. But not every fallen stock will recover. Neither Bull Nor Bear. Be Fair. Nilesh T Dedhia NumeroEquity #Nifty #Sensex #FII #IndianStockMarket #WealthCreation #LongTermInvesting #MarketOutlook

STRAIT OF HORMUZ: IS A NEW GLOBAL SHIPPING ORDER EMERGING? India and China are reportedly paying Iran for passage through the Strait of Hormuz, according to a senior Iranian lawmaker. Iran says vessels from India, China, Iraq and Qatar can transit without its restrictions. Indian and Chinese vessels face charges, while Qatari ships are exempt. But the bigger story goes beyond transit fees. The Strait of Hormuz is gradually becoming a test of economic influence, energy security and control over global trade. For major importing nations, uninterrupted supplies of crude oil, LNG and essential commodities may be commercially more important than prolonged shipping disruptions. Yet the International Maritime Organization maintains that transit through the strait must remain free of tolls. What should investors watch? 1. Brent crude and its geopolitical risk premium. 2. Rising tanker freight and maritime insurance costs. 3. India's oil import bill and potential inflation pressures. 4. Pressure on the Indian rupee and current account deficit. 5. Whether repeated transit payments become an accepted commercial practice. There is one fundamental distinction: Commercial acceptance does not automatically establish legal legitimacy. If more vessels start treating these charges as a routine operating expense, Iran could strengthen its practical influence over one of the world's most important energy corridors, even while its legal authority to impose such fees remains disputed. Naval escorts alone may not resolve that economic reality. The real question is no longer simply who controls the Strait of Hormuz militarily. It is who ultimately determines the price of keeping global trade moving. Neither Bull Nor Bear. Be Fair. Nilesh T Dedhia #StraitOfHormuz #Iran #India #China #BrentCrude #OilPrices #Geopolitics #GlobalTrade #Nifty50 #EnergySecurity

NIFTY 2029: THE REWARD OF PATIENCE, THE RISK OF TIME. Dear Long-Term Investors, Nifty at 23,810. Historical upside scenarios: 33,348 to 44,753. Downside stress scenarios: 21,000 to 18,500. Historical median recovery cycle: 27 months. This is a reference, not a guarantee. The real question is not how high Nifty can rise, but whether we are financially and mentally prepared to withstand corrections along the way. Improving market breadth, cooling crude oil and institutional flows offer encouraging signals. However, the 200-day moving average near 24,013 remains an important hurdle. With immense respect to legendary Kishore Kumar Sahab, his timeless song from Safar comes to mind: “Zindagi Ka Safar Hai Yeh Kaisa Safar.” Markets, like life, have their own uncertain journeys. PRICE PAIN IS VISIBLE. TIME PAIN IS INVISIBLE. For investors in mutual funds, quality stocks and New Age ULIPs, patience, disciplined investing and sensible asset allocation matter more than daily market noise. Respect the market. Respect the risk. Respect time. Neither Bull Nor Bear. Be Fair. #Nifty #DalalStreet #IndianStockMarket #LongTermInvesting #MutualFunds #WealthCreation #MarketOutlook #NumeroEquity