
The Real-Time Housing Market. Powered by @ParclLabs | Support: @ParclHelp
Solana
Joined May 2021
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Who’s buying a home in the city the world visits?
Nearly half of the homebuyers relocating into the Las Vegas metro came from California, according to @ParclLabs latest 12-month estimates, as of September 2026
If you’re researching housing demand in Vegas, California is a good place to look, too.
Before you open a housing trade, decide what would make you close it
On Parcl V4, you can add take-profit and stop-loss orders when placing your trade:
• Take profit: an exit trigger for a move in your favour.
• Stop loss: an exit trigger for a move against you.
These exits become active after your opening order fills. They trigger from the housing index, which updates daily
The trigger price isn’t a guaranteed exit price. Fills depend on available buyers or sellers within the order’s allowed price range
Who’s buying a home in the city the world visits?
Nearly half of the homebuyers relocating into the Las Vegas metro came from California, according to @ParclLabs latest 12-month estimates, as of September 2026
If you’re researching housing demand in Vegas, California is a good place to look, too.
See where US homebuyers are moving.
parcllabs.com/research/motiv…
Before you open a housing trade, decide what would make you close it
On Parcl V4, you can add take-profit and stop-loss orders when placing your trade:
• Take profit: an exit trigger for a move in your favour.
• Stop loss: an exit trigger for a move against you.
These exits become active after your opening order fills. They trigger from the housing index, which updates daily
The trigger price isn’t a guaranteed exit price. Fills depend on available buyers or sellers within the order’s allowed price range
Being up on the year doesn’t tell you how easy it is to sell today
In Indianapolis, Parcl’s home-price index is roughly 4% above a year ago, but 3.6% below its July peak. Around 56% of active listings have cut their asking price
The Motivated Seller Index tracks those adjustments: how many sellers are cutting, by how much, and how quickly they cut again.
9 of the top 10 most motivated to sell major housing markets in the United States are officially in fire sale territory.
The motivated seller index is a score between 0 and 10. It reviews every home seller in the market, are they price cutting, how big are they price cutting, and how fast are they price cutting. A 10 is the highest score.
Today, all of the following major markets are above the 7.5 threshold for fire sale:
Kingsport, TN: 7.94
Youngstown, OH: 7.9
Indianapolis, IN: 7.88
Dayton, OH: 7.73
Austin, TX: 7.63
Asheville, NC: 7.59
Denver, CO: 7.58
Flint, MI: 7.51
Eugene, OR: 7.5
On @Polymarket, DC’s year-end housing bets lean lower. Some owners are trying to rent out homes they recently put up for sale.
On Polymarket’s quarterly market for the Washington metro, the chance of the home-value benchmark ending the year below $503K currently sits at ~72%.
Parcl Labs shows what some owners are doing in the same metro: ~10.3% of active single-family rentals had been listed for sale in the 90 days before being offered for rent. That share was around 7% in August.
Follow DC’s quarterly housing market on Polymarket:
polymarket.com/event/what-wi…
The Fed meets this week. Here’s where US housing stands going in.
Parcl’s national home-price index fell ~1.01% over the past 30 days, including ≈0.15% over the past week.
Sellers have cut the asking price on ~44.8% of active US listings. In @ParclLabs closed-sales data, homes sold an average of ~2.0% below their final asking price over the past 30 days. That measure covers states where sale prices are publicly recorded.
Freddie Mac’s average 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to 7.32% last week, from 7.40%.
Next up: September new-home sales on Tuesday, Wednesday’s Fed decision, and GDP and PCE inflation figures on Thursday.
Track US home prices market by market, with daily updates in Parcl Labs:
parcllabs.com/research/motiv…
Say a friend joins Parcl V4 through your referral and trades $2,000 in eligible volume this week.
That adds 2,000 to their rewards score and 1,000 to yours.
Your share of the total eligible score determines your share of the weekly USDC pool.
Need a referral code to get started? Ask the community in Discord:
discord.gg/parcl
There’s no earnings call for a housing market, but there’s plenty to research.
If you already follow US stocks, housing has its own fundamentals to get to know: who’s buying, how much is being built, and how quickly homes are selling.
@ParclLabs lets you follow those signals across US housing markets.
On Parcl V4, you can take a long or short position on listed US home-price indices, without buying a property.
See the markets on Parcl V4:
v4.parcl.co
The housing index says one price. Why might your trade fill at another?
On Parcl V4, three prices have different jobs:
Index is Parcl Labs’ housing-price benchmark, quoted per square foot and updated daily.
Mark is the reference used to calculate your open position’s profit or loss. It can match the index or differ from it.
Your entry price comes from the orders your trade fills against. Available prices, size and your order’s limits all matter.
Even while the housing index stays unchanged, the prices available to buy or sell can move.
Explore the live US housing markets on Parcl V4
v4.parcl.co
New York’s sellers are holding firm. The year-end housing bets look more cautious.
Inside New York City, 28% of listings have cut their asking price, according to Parcl Labs.
The two leading outcomes in @Polymarket's quarterly NYC market both put the year-end home-value benchmark below $458K, compared with around $468K today.
NEW YORK: Shocking that NYC is the third most stubborn housing market in the country
It’s the only major metro in the top 10. Chicago is next at #16, with home prices roughly half NYC’s. Some serious pricing power
New York or nowhere?
Where do you have NYC home values finishing the year?
polymarket.com/event/what-wi…
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