Traders on @Polymarket are betting San Francisco home values will fall further by year-end In Polymarket’s quarterly market for the San Francisco metro, the chance of home values ending the year below $1.062M has jumped from around 25% yesterday to around 60% today @ParclLabs’s latest benchmark is about $1.107M. Getting below $1.062M would mean another drop of just over 4% by December 31.

Get to know New York, Miami and Austin by the square foot Follow what homes sell for, how supply is changing and what buyers are doing. Build a watchlist around the housing markets that interest you @ParclLabs gives you the data. Their housing-price index markets are live on Parcl V4.

Miami’s housing index rose 1.51% over the past week, while all seven other housing indices listed on Parcl V4 declined. New York City fell 1.40% and San Francisco fell 1.09% over the same period. Miami’s rebound took its index from $389.38 to $395.26 per square foot. Even after that recovery, it remained 0.96% below its level 30 days earlier.

The market price doesn’t have to be your entry price. On Parcl V4, a limit order lets you choose your entry price and trade size for a housing index. It fills only at your limit price or better. If there’s no match, your order can wait on the book.

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A builder can spend months paying for land and construction before a buyer agrees to a price. @ParclLabs shows roughly $8B in asking prices across Dallas new-construction listings. More than half of those listings have taken a price cut. For builders carrying unsold homes, a softer market can mean lower sale proceeds while financing and other holding costs keep running. Their exposure to home prices continues throughout construction and the search for a buyer. Parcl’s housing-index markets give property owners another way to manage part of that exposure while continuing to hold the property. You can also take a position on where Dallas home values finish the year through @Polymarket’s Q4 Dallas market, which settles using Parcl data.

Before putting money into a housing strategy, you should be able to see what it’s doing. Parcl V4 vaults pool capital into housing trades. Their positions, trade history and funding payments are visible, alongside the fees and withdrawal terms.