Peter Hannah (@PHmetals) profile picture

Albemarle , ex-Fastmarkets

London
Joined June 2014
Photo by Peter Hannah (@PHmetals)Photo by Peter Hannah (@PHmetals)Photo by Peter Hannah (@PHmetals)Photo by Peter Hannah (@PHmetals)Photo by Peter Hannah (@PHmetals)Photo by Peter Hannah (@PHmetals)Photo by Peter Hannah (@PHmetals)Photo by Peter Hannah (@PHmetals)Photo by Peter Hannah (@PHmetals)Photo by Peter Hannah (@PHmetals)
Missed opportunity here. Should have called the counter movement Just Stop Just Stop Oil, forcing Just Stop Oil to launch a Just Stop Just Stop Just Stop Oil. Eventually, after Just Stop Just Stop Just Stop Just Stop Oil comes along, maybe they could all agree to Just Stop It…
🚨 | BREAKING: Just Stop Oil protestors have been surrounded by “Just Stop Pissing Everyone Off” protestors - preventing them from marching in the road
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And just as #spodumene spot price ticks up a notch, #lithium carbonate & hydroxide in seaborne spot market cop a pasting!
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🧵 Lot of people talking about the pick up in @FastmarketsNG #spodumene spot price yesterday. I do think it’s a significant moment in the broader #lithium price story but requires some interpretation…
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It also implies a spodumene price floor for now that’s much higher than many analysts expected. If merchant-converted spod is still required as the marginal supply source once lepidolite/artisanal starts exiting at <RMB250, then spod should be supported at $4-4.5k/t.
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I suspect we’ll see this complex market picture remain for some time, but if we view spot spodumene as indicative of expectations for chemicals prices in a few month’s time, I do think the recent higher levels achieved could be an early signal of a shift in trend.
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Daily volume hit a new record of 276 lots yesterday on @CMEGroup #lithium hydroxide (#Fastmarkets) futures - open interest now up to 1,362 lots. Increased exposure to underlying index & recent price volatility has seen both hedging & speculative interest tick up. @FastmarketsNG
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Peter Hannah retweeted
Lithium demand continues to grow, with wide adoption driving open interest beyond 1,000 contracts, extending out to June 2024. Learn more about Lithium futures: spr.ly/6016OGjUI
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Thanks for having me back on, Joe @globallithium! Really enjoyed our chat in the midst of such interesting #lithium market conditions. @FastmarketsNG @Fastmarkets
Episode 157 of the Global Lithium Podcast with @Fastmarkets Peter Hannah can be found here: open.spotify.com/episode/30b… @PHmetals
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1) @FastmarketsNG #Lithium prices continued their downward slide this week, with carbonate prices in #China now off by ~50% from their Nov '22 highs. Seaborne prices remain more resilient - Cif CJK hydroxide in particular is only off 19% over the same period.
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6) I wrote in a🧵last Nov: "What we can be most certain of is that prices will be volatile. If you're invested in the sector it's worth getting comfortable with volatility, and making it your friend rather than your foe: teapaw.org/PHmetals/status/159287…
Whatever your view, this feels like an interesting moment in the #lithium story. Forecasts are becoming increasingly divergent, market signals confusingly mixed. It's a good time to reflect on timeframes, expectations and the known unknowns...
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7) My interpretation of this current phase of market dynamics hasn't changed much from what I wrote back then: "Sub-cycles will be significant for short-term horizons, but the super-cycle dynamic will control the longer-term outcomes. Don't expect a smooth ride though."
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