Peaky Props

✅Efficient outing with good volume for Johnson. Gets it done sweat free in the 3rd!🔥 ❤️Like if you Tailed!

Peaky's Picks 11/07🥃 ❤️Like if Tailing Any! - Alperen Sengun o16.5 RA (-106) - Cameron Johnson o11.5 Points (-102) - Yaxel Lendeborg o17.5 Points (-120) - Day'Ron Sharpe o11.5 PA (-108) - AJ Dybantsa u18.5 Points (-120)

Peaky's Fade of the Day🪦 AJ Dybantsa u18.5 Points (-120 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - Fading the number 1 draft pick on what will be his first NBA back-to-back. Played a massive 36 minutes and has to travel as well. Fine with 17.5 but we honestly might get a 19.5 line if AD is ruled out so could be worth monitoring the injury reports. - Dybantsa is under this line in 3/5 games to start the year. Volume hasn't been amazing for him averaging just 13 FGA per game. Had 2 perfect matchups vs Atlanta but struggled, maybe see some positive regression but this matchup is tough. - OKC made light work of Memphis so their players are slightly fresher. Nonetheless they are one of the best defenses in the NBA ranking 8th best by defensive rating. - Has been heavily relying on getting inside where he takes 56% of his shots within 10 FT. Well the Thunder allow the 4th least frequency of shots within 10 FT. They also allow the 2nd least points from shots within 10 FT and the least paint points allowed in the NBA which accounts for almost 70% of Dybantsa's production.

This Is His Matchup🔒 Day'Ron Sharpe o11.5 PA (-108 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - Day'Ron has been disappointing, I and many others were expecting a breakout season from him. However, he has faced a plethora of tough rim defenses. - Now gets Atlanta, who are the softest inside while also being on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back. Atlanta allow the most shots within 10 FT, the most restricted area FGM, the 4th most FGM within 10 FT, and the 4th most points to the roll man. - Against teams not ranked in the top 5 for paint points allowed he is over in 3/5 averaging 12.6 PA per game. The cherry on top is that Atlanta also play at one of the fastest paces so should be above average number of possessions for him. - Minutes have been very spotty because of foul trouble but played 27 last game despite just 1 1st quarter minute. Would expect 25+ here, just don't foul big boy.

Trust The Rookie🤝 Yaxel Lendeborg o17.5 Points (-120 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - We bet on Yaxel a couple games ago and he had his worst game of the season... Nobody is banned just yet so going to give him another chance here. - Over in 5/9 games this year averaging 21 PPG. Draymond is questionable, ideally he sits as Yaxel sees his points Per36 increase to 25.9 from 19.6 when he is off the floor. - However, one of the main reasons I'm betting this is just that the Magic have struggled mightely defending opposing forwards. They allow the 2nd most points to the position and have the 6th worst defense by defensive rating. - Recent forward performances vs the Magic: Bridge (18), Brooks (24), George (22), Dybantsa (21), Tatum (32), Barnes (41 & 28), Anunoby (22).

Put The Ball In The Basket🧺 Cameron Johnson o11.5 Points (-102 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - Per36 he doesn't average a ton of points per game but think that's been a product of the lack of playing time and some tough matchups. - With 20+ minutes he's over this line in 2/3 games this year averaging 10.3 points. Managed to clear this line against Toronto despite it being a tough catch & shoot matchup. - Indiana have been weak vs outside shooters. They're allowing the 3rd most C&S FGM, 4th most Corner 3PA, and the 5th most Spot Up PPG.

He Will Dominate Tonight😈 Alperen Sengun o16.5 RA (-106 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - Like backing Sengun who has been doing a great job racking up counting stats this year. He is over in 5/7 games averaging 17.3 RA on 32.6 RA chances. Over the L5 has seen his chances increase to 35.2 per contest. - Matchup against Phoenix who have been struggling in the rebounding department. They're allowing the 5th most to opposing bigs in which we have seen WCJ (13), Clingan (11), iHart (13) etc. - They allow the 7th most RA to opposing bigs in which this, on paper, is Senguns 2nd easiest matchup this year. A 3rd of his assists go to ATB where Phoenix rank 4th worst in assists allowed.

Run The Ball🏃 D'Andre Swift o15.5 Rush Attempts (-110 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - No denying this is a tough matchup in regards to rushing attempts. However, I do think he's kind of matchup immune. - The Bucs are pretty elite at stopping the run, least rushing yards, 2nd least rushing attempts, 3rd least plays faced but I still like Swift here. - He's cleared this line in 6/8 games in which one of his misses he was punished for a fumble and the other was a 3 score loss to the Packers because they were without Caleb. - Ben Johnson is a firm believer in establishing the run game. Was asked about the inefficiency as of late and basically said he refuses to abandon the run, preferring to stick with the plan and trust his offensive line. - Just faced a tough Seattle run defense and ran the ball 32 times despite Swift only averaging 2.6 YPC. Similarly against the Patriots they ran the ball 25 times. With Monangai OUT he just gets a ton of touches. - Bears come into this as 6.5 favorites. Similarly the Bucs face a tough run defense in the Bears but don't think their passing game will be able to keep up.

Pass The Ball🏈 Bryce Young o33.5 Pass Attempts (-113 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - I'll be honest do not quite understand this line. Bryce Young is over this line in 6/7 games averaging 38.4 Pass Attempts per game. His lone miss was a 30 point loss to Tampa where he was pulled early. - I guess maybe the O-Line is a bit banged up but hasn't really stopped him in the past. Think this is a good matchup against the Broncos. - The Broncos don't allow many explosive plays. They're giving up the 7th least yards per attempt. However, they are allowing the 3rd most pass attempts per game. They are number 1 in plays faced as the offense has struggled to sustain drives. - They do a decent job at bringing pressure which forces short quick throws. They've been on a bit of a streak so wouldn't surprise me if we get a decent script. Just gave up 41 to Mahomes, 48 to Brissett, 51 to Darnold etc.

Peaky's Recap 11/06: 4-1📈 ❤️Like if you Tailed Any! ✅- Ayo Dosunmu o22.5 PA (30) +.98u ✅- Collin Murray-Boyles o11.5 Points (19) +.85u ✅- Coby White u18.5 PRA (9) +.80u ✅- Joel Embiid u3.5 Assists (1) +.95u ❌- Cooper Flagg o25.5 Points (21) -1u Daily P&L: +2.58 Units📈 Good day today, reads felt solid. Flagg tried but after just 4 points in the 1st half he ran out of time.

They Have Nobody Else‼️ Devin Singletary o15.5 Rush Attempts (-115 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - Giants running depth is decimated at the moment. Skattebo is doubtful, Tracy is on IR, and they released Najee Harris. Leaves just Singletary and Desrosiers, who they signed of the Chargers practice squad. - Singletary hasn't had a ton of work but expecting him to be a cow bell for this game at least. Efficiency has been pretty meh outside of the Texans game where he broke one for 30 yards so rolling with the attempts. - Matchup against the Eagles who are struggling vs the Run. They have the 2nd worst EPA vs the Run and allow the 5th highest rush success rate. They're allowing 27 Rush Attempts per game which also puts them dead last in the league. - Giants coming into this one as 3 point favorites. The Eagles will have the backup to the backup under center. Think we get a decent script.

✅After 10 in the 1st quarter I thought this would've been sweat free. Made us wait until 4 minutes left in the 4th but a cash is a cash!🔥 ❤️Like if you Tailed!

✅Just the 1 assist for Embiid. Interestingly got benched for the 4th, not sure if it was injury related or because he was playing like ass😅 ❤️Like if you Tailed!

✅CMB gets it done pretty sweat free in the 3rd! We got so much unexpected upside with not only Scottie but also IQ getting ruled out!💯 ❤️Like if you Tailed!

✅Just the 16 minutes for Coby in this one. Didn't see any of the 4th quarter due to blowout like we predicted🔥 ❤️ Like if you Tailed!

Peaky's Picks 11/06🥃 ❤️Like if Tailing Any! - Ayo Dosunmu o22.5 PA (-102) - Collin Murray-Boyles o11.5 Points (-117) - Cooper Flagg o25.5 Points (-124) - Coby White u18.5 PRA (-125) - Joel Embiid u3.5 Assists (-105)

He Will Go Under🪦 Joel Embiid u3.5 Assists (-105 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - Fading Embiid in the assists department here, underlying data just doesn't support it. Under this line in 4/7 games this year assists numbers feel inflated by some matchups. - 12+ potentials against the Knicks twice and the Bucks without Lebron. Besides those games he's had <4 in 3/4 other matchups. - With Lebron and Brown on the floor Embiid just doesn't really need to facilitate and can focus on scoring. With those 2 active he's under in 4/5 averaging 2.8 assists on just 5.8 potentials.

Peaky's Fade of the Day📉 Coby White u18.5 PRA (-125 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - 18.5 on FD so play it there if you can. 17.5 on other books but fine with this at that number. Coby is under this line in both games since his return as he works his way back into shape. - Missed the entire pre-season and is currently on a minutes limit so think he should top out at 20-23 minutes here. Schroder is questionable but don't think that boosts him all too much. - With Ball gone he's basically the primary guard piece in this offense which I don't think really suits him. Nonetheless, in Balls absence the Hornets have been struggling offensively ranking dead last in offensive rating. - Tough matchup against the Celtics who allow the 8th least PRA to guards. Both of these teams play slow (30th and 28th) so we should probably see a low scoring game with Boston having potential for a blowout.

Put The Ball In The Basket🧺 Cooper Flagg o25.5 Points (-124 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - Was kind of torn between backing Kyrie or Cooper in this one but going to roll with the later. With 20+ minutes he's over this line in 4/6 games averaging 26 points per game. - Has struggled with his shot over the L2 games but think this is a good spot for him to get going again. The Jazz are 30th vs PnR Ball Handler, 30th vs Free Throws, and 25th vs Transition. This accounts for 64% of Flaggs scoring. - 7.5 spread here so should be somewhat competitive. As long as it stays somewhat close Flagg should see good minutes as he seen 33 in a blowout win vs OKC.

Put The Ball In the Basket🧺 Collin Murray-Boyles o11.5 Points (-117 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - CMB has struggled for minutes this year between a combination of deeper rotations and foul trouble, but has moved into the starting lineup the L2 games. Would like to think he sees 25+ here. - Without Kawhi he is over this line in 3/4 games this year averaging 12.5 Points per game on 10 FGA. 23 minutes last game and didn't see any of the 4th, 28 minutes 2 games ago and played only 2 2nd quarter minutes due to foul trouble. - Think the Bucks are a good matchup. They're allowing the 5th most points and the 5th most FGM of shots within 10 FT. - Scottie is currently questionable. While I think he plays on the outside chance he sits CMB sees his points per36 increase to 22.