Peter Todd (@Petertodd) profile picture

things @palantirtech | dead internet theorist

Joined April 2015
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My political party is Palantir.
Because we get asked a lot. The Technological Republic, in brief. 1. Silicon Valley owes a moral debt to the country that made its rise possible. The engineering elite of Silicon Valley has an affirmative obligation to participate in the defense of the nation. 2. We must rebel against the tyranny of the apps. Is the iPhone our greatest creative if not crowning achievement as a civilization? The object has changed our lives, but it may also now be limiting and constraining our sense of the possible. 3. Free email is not enough. The decadence of a culture or civilization, and indeed its ruling class, will be forgiven only if that culture is capable of delivering economic growth and security for the public. 4. The limits of soft power, of soaring rhetoric alone, have been exposed. The ability of free and democratic societies to prevail requires something more than moral appeal. It requires hard power, and hard power in this century will be built on software. 5. The question is not whether A.I. weapons will be built; it is who will build them and for what purpose. Our adversaries will not pause to indulge in theatrical debates about the merits of developing technologies with critical military and national security applications. They will proceed. 6. National service should be a universal duty. We should, as a society, seriously consider moving away from an all-volunteer force and only fight the next war if everyone shares in the risk and the cost. 7. If a U.S. Marine asks for a better rifle, we should build it; and the same goes for software. We should as a country be capable of continuing a debate about the appropriateness of military action abroad while remaining unflinching in our commitment to those we have asked to step into harm’s way. 8. Public servants need not be our priests. Any business that compensated its employees in the way that the federal government compensates public servants would struggle to survive. 9. We should show far more grace towards those who have subjected themselves to public life. The eradication of any space for forgiveness—a jettisoning of any tolerance for the complexities and contradictions of the human psyche—may leave us with a cast of characters at the helm we will grow to regret. 10. The psychologization of modern politics is leading us astray. Those who look to the political arena to nourish their soul and sense of self, who rely too heavily on their internal life finding expression in people they may never meet, will be left disappointed. 11. Our society has grown too eager to hasten, and is often gleeful at, the demise of its enemies. The vanquishing of an opponent is a moment to pause, not rejoice. 12. The atomic age is ending. One age of deterrence, the atomic age, is ending, and a new era of deterrence built on A.I. is set to begin. 13. No other country in the history of the world has advanced progressive values more than this one. The United States is far from perfect. But it is easy to forget how much more opportunity exists in this country for those who are not hereditary elites than in any other nation on the planet. 14. American power has made possible an extraordinarily long peace. Too many have forgotten or perhaps take for granted that nearly a century of some version of peace has prevailed in the world without a great power military conflict. At least three generations — billions of people and their children and now grandchildren — have never known a world war. 15. The postwar neutering of Germany and Japan must be undone. The defanging of Germany was an overcorrection for which Europe is now paying a heavy price. A similar and highly theatrical commitment to Japanese pacifism will, if maintained, also threaten to shift the balance of power in Asia. 16. We should applaud those who attempt to build where the market has failed to act. The culture almost snickers at Musk’s interest in grand narrative, as if billionaires ought to simply stay in their lane of enriching themselves . . . . Any curiosity or genuine interest in the value of what he has created is essentially dismissed, or perhaps lurks from beneath a thinly veiled scorn. 17. Silicon Valley must play a role in addressing violent crime. Many politicians across the United States have essentially shrugged when it comes to violent crime, abandoning any serious efforts to address the problem or take on any risk with their constituencies or donors in coming up with solutions and experiments in what should be a desperate bid to save lives. 18. The ruthless exposure of the private lives of public figures drives far too much talent away from government service. The public arena—and the shallow and petty assaults against those who dare to do something other than enrich themselves—has become so unforgiving that the republic is left with a significant roster of ineffectual, empty vessels whose ambition one would forgive if there were any genuine belief structure lurking within. 19. The caution in public life that we unwittingly encourage is corrosive. Those who say nothing wrong often say nothing much at all. 20. The pervasive intolerance of religious belief in certain circles must be resisted. The elite’s intolerance of religious belief is perhaps one of the most telling signs that its political project constitutes a less open intellectual movement than many within it would claim. 21. Some cultures have produced vital advances; others remain dysfunctional and regressive. All cultures are now equal. Criticism and value judgments are forbidden. Yet this new dogma glosses over the fact that certain cultures and indeed subcultures . . . have produced wonders. Others have proven middling, and worse, regressive and harmful. 22. We must resist the shallow temptation of a vacant and hollow pluralism. We, in America and more broadly the West, have for the past half century resisted defining national cultures in the name of inclusivity. But inclusion into what? Excerpts from the #1 New York Times Bestseller The Technological Republic: Hard Power, Soft Belief, and the Future of the West, by Alexander C. Karp & Nicholas W. Zamiska techrepublicbook.com
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Peter Todd retweeted
Just walked past my neighbor’s house and saw this
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Peter Todd retweeted
Cuteness has privileged access to the human psyche and can therefore be employed as a bootloader for extractive technology. In agentic designs, cute aesthetics should be viewed with a heavy dose of skepticism.
All the other companies’ branding for their agents: 🤗🤗🤗 Palantir with AI FDE: 🗿
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Peter Todd retweeted
Palantir CEO Alex Karp: corporate America needs to start telling the public the same things they speak about in private "The American people are super smart and have a very high wisdom IQ. They deserve to hear straight talk."
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Peter Todd retweeted
Palantir CEO Alex Karp on what model companies are really asking for when they call for regulation and why they will be nationalized. “It's a weird twist. They're asking for societal regulation to get out of the first line of defense, which is if you build a technology that can destroy 10% of the of the world, that has civil and criminal liability attached to it.” “The only way to deal with this kind of liability is to go to the government and say nationalize us, please.” "Another problem we have is seemingly everyone who understands this is on some payroll."
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Peter Todd retweeted
AI will cure cancer and it will kill us all are not contradictory positions, they are both rhetorical methods to make the exact same argument: the future is defined by AI. You are a satellite revolving around the AI sun, at best. These undefined prognostications of future omnipotence distract from accountability in the present. This rhetoric has two effects 1) it distracts from today’s upside down value capture versus value creation equation 2) it forces a psychological centering of AI and AI companies at the expense of humans and the rest of the world’s institutions. Any technology’s utility is a function of our ability to control it, not its raw hypothetical power without controls. Chemotherapy requires precision to kill cancer and not kill a host. Nuclear reactors are defined by their controls more than the reaction itself. That a given technology’s utility is bound by the precision of its controls was Palantir’s fundamental insight at its inception: the amount of security the US government can guarantee its citizenry is defined by how much it can guarantee rights to privacy more so than the raw capability to identify threats. If you do not enhance both privacy and security, your product is a toy. AI is not the first technology that couples control with utility. In the present, the models are voraciously consuming knowhow like a parasite eating its host until both die. Every company I speak to is sprinting to control a spend:outcomes ratio that exploded on them before they could learn how to govern it. They are observing their intellectual assets eroding like a sand castle into the ocean. They are stuck between being upside down on value leakage, yet being told they have no agency over their future. The inevitability of the arrival of a deity forces individuals to define themselves as a function of that deity. Nobody wants to be that luddite who tells you the Wright Brothers will never fly. Nobody wants to run Polaroid or Blockbuster. No young person wants to be a part of the permanent underclass. Forward leaning humans are psychologically berated into defining their skillsets and objectives as a function of AI. Their careers are lottery tickets. They define utility through how good they are at tickling a model. “Ride the exponential” is a mantra that allows you to be “good” in a moral sense, without earning it. If you dare to expose yourself as a luddite that is not getting results today, well that is a “skill issue,” or you simply aren’t using enough tokens. This propaganda pursues an inevitable centering of AI, with humans as peripherals. The only thing you have real agency over in the future? Using more tokens of course. I think if you are going to virtue signal about protecting our future, you should also own the implied vice that comes with your position. Prognostications of armageddon are inextricably linked with acceptance of the bad things that exist in the world today. 350,000 people die of sepsis in hospital settings in the US alone every year. Life expectancy in the US has flatlined over the last 20 years while healthcare spending per person has doubled. 30-40% of the food supply is wasted while 18% of households with children experience food insecurity. 19.5% of drinking water is lost in transit to consumers. A significant portion of the world’s energy supply is threatened by a fanatical regime because the strait of Hormuz is still contested. Putin’s death machine continues to slaughter Ukranians every single day as technological efficacy literally defines meter over meter of protected or conquered land. The CCP has 230 times the shipbuilding capacity of the United States and the implied ability to control the world’s commerce and security. $1.7 trillion of excess, unproductive working capital is locked up in the top 1000 companies in the US, capital that is not producing goods and services for every day Americans. Americans paid over $250 billion in credit card interest at over 20% APR last year and more than half of savers earn less than 3% interest on their savings. Real wages have stagnated, middle-wage workers real income is up only 6% since 1979 while low-wage workers are down 5%. We have a shortage of ~7 million homes in the US. 8.5 million acres burned in wildfires so far this year. As of year end 2025 2,060 gigawatts of generation and storage capacity were waiting for grid interconnects (double the capacity of the existing power fleet). I digress. We are making real progress against each of these miseries, and many more, because of the incredible progress in AI systems over the last several years. Perhaps ironically, success in all of these domains is a function of how precisely controlled the models are. For the cognitive labor humans know how to wield to achieve real world outcomes today, open source or off-frontier small models are already at parity for at least a plurality of use cases on a price/performance basis. Those customers reliably outperform the frontier when they incorporate their own proprietary data and decision traces. The most consistent pattern I see over and over again is real world use cases shrink their reliance on general purpose AI’s over time. They encode deterministic knowledge and/or post-trained models on smaller model footprints. It is empirically a wildly optimistic future with AI as an accelerant for the pluralistic, wonderfully diverse means of advancing the human condition against problems you can measure and make progress against today. We should also own that these horrible challenges persist because these systems are not yet good enough to fully solve them. They are worth improving. The bay area is abdicating responsibility for the world as it is today while claiming ownership of the world as it might be tomorrow. DC and our political leaders are polarizing into zero sum positions. These are the luxury beliefs of children. Build something people need today, at a price they are willing to pay when not pressured by the social herd, if you want the opportunity to do it again in the future.
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Peter Todd retweeted
EA AI safetyism increasingly looks like Marxism-Leninism for the algorithmic age. The old vanguard claimed privileged knowledge of the inevitable course of History. The new one claims privileged knowledge of the probabilistic course of Humanity. Both use an elaborate intellectual framework to reach the same political conclusion: a small group of enlightened people must constrain everyone else for their own good. That has never lead to anything except monumental human suffering.
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Peter Todd retweeted
On the 25th anniversary of 9/11, Palantir honors the nearly 3,000 lives lost, the families who carry their memory, and the heroes who ran toward danger. These heroes answered the call that day—and continue answering it by keeping America safe and strong today. We are grateful to all those who have defended our country and protected our freedoms, both then and now. We will never forget.
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Peter Todd retweeted
At AIPCon 11, Palantir CEO Alex Karp breaks down why Palantir stands apart from the parasitic software industrial complex, what we refuse to build, and how Sovereign AI deepens our alignment with our partners.
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Too good.
Palantir Store 🤝 @PalantirPrivacy guided by principles [08.13.2026]
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Facts.
Palantir CEO Alex Karp on the distillation attacks from Chinese companies against Anthropic: " How do you think the models got their value? They distilled all the value of IP everywhere, including enterprise everywhere." Via @CNBC @seemacnbc
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Own the means of production. Revolt with us.
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Some tough quotes for the palantir haters to digest: “This is a rebellion against the harvesting and migration of institutions’ and individuals’ data” “We do not exist by extracting value from our customers.” “We are pushing the frontier and creating genuine impact in the world’s most important institutions.”
We believe the Sovereign AI revolution is the most important movement since the advent of LLMs. This is a rebellion against the harvesting and migration of institutions’ and individuals’ data into the weights of closed models, only for their own knowledge to be rented back or used to replace them. It is a rebellion against the statistical tendency of these models towards the average and mediocrity. We believe every great institution is differentiated, and sovereignty is what enables that institution to own, protect, and compound its differentiation. We are the leader because we have been doing this for twenty years. Everything we have built has been in service of giving institutions maximal control over their operations, data, decisions, and their future. We are the sovereignty company. We do not exist by extracting value from our customers. We are confident enough to take on the risk of failure, and unlike any other company, we succeed only when our customers do. We are pushing the frontier and creating genuine impact in the world’s most important institutions. Thank you to all the Palantirians currently building, to our hundreds of commercial and government partners around the world, and to those who paved the way. The revolution is just beginning. Join us. jobs.lever.co/palantir/dab39…
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Peter Todd retweeted
We believe the Sovereign AI revolution is the most important movement since the advent of LLMs. This is a rebellion against the harvesting and migration of institutions’ and individuals’ data into the weights of closed models, only for their own knowledge to be rented back or used to replace them. It is a rebellion against the statistical tendency of these models towards the average and mediocrity. We believe every great institution is differentiated, and sovereignty is what enables that institution to own, protect, and compound its differentiation. We are the leader because we have been doing this for twenty years. Everything we have built has been in service of giving institutions maximal control over their operations, data, decisions, and their future. We are the sovereignty company. We do not exist by extracting value from our customers. We are confident enough to take on the risk of failure, and unlike any other company, we succeed only when our customers do. We are pushing the frontier and creating genuine impact in the world’s most important institutions. Thank you to all the Palantirians currently building, to our hundreds of commercial and government partners around the world, and to those who paved the way. The revolution is just beginning. Join us. jobs.lever.co/palantir/dab39…
Dr. Karp speaks to Palantirians on the Sovereign AI revolution.
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Peter Todd retweeted
Please stop referring to your own models in the third person when talking about model bad behavior. Humans write the software; humans built the prompts; and they work for your company. “Our” model is doing illegal things. “Our” model is risky. “We” now have liability.
In a review of our cybersecurity evaluations, we found three incidents in which a Claude model reached the internet from within or while interacting with a third-party evaluation environment, and then gained unauthorized access to the real systems of three different organizations. Our post describes what happened, how it happened, and what we’re changing. We encourage other AI developers to perform similar reviews. We conducted this review together with @Irregular, one of our evaluation partners, and thank them for the joint investigation and their collaboration on this post. This type of collaboration is increasingly critical to safe, rigorous evaluation of models, and we look forward to continuing to work together on security. anthropic.com/news/investiga…
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Peter Todd retweeted
We will not tire of repeating: Palantir is one of the greatest threats to the modern world. Palantir is a very big and very dangerous outfit. The company has been a genuine partner during the hardest times of a war for our existence. One of these quotes is from a wartime Ukrainian broadcast across 30 channels. One is from the chief spokesperson of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. One is from a prominent British politician. See if you can guess which is which.
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Equally proud to be part of a company fighting the authoritarian regimes of the world.
Palantir is proud to support Ukraine. A segment from Ukraine’s wartime broadcast on our role in helping defend Ukrainian sovereignty: “A genuine partner during the hardest times of a war for our very existence.”
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Peter Todd retweeted
"I do think it's fair to call Palantir an ideological company. Hmm. I don't think it's fair to call it a political company." "It's not party political, but it does believe in things, if that's maybe a definition of ideology." "It believes in the West. Yes. It believes in liberal democracy. It believes in the rule of law, It believes in privacy, It believes in civil liberties, and It believes in maintaining, enhancing, and strengthening the infrastructure that makes those values possible." 🙏@louismosley
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Peter Todd retweeted
It’s beyond me on how extreme this argument is. Good doctors exist to enable you to decide what’s signal and what’s noise - they go through a lot of training for this. A good doc is the ultimate eval. That doesn’t mean the patient or the doctor should not have access to an AI agent that can help them come to an assessment, but it’s beyond me on how we make a very significantly needed human out of the loop here. And AI workflows that help with reducing the doctors spent time on compliance documentation or just mere scribing will help them get even more precise.
most doctor visits are almost completely useless endeavors now cuz they’re also just googling shit. chatgpt & claude are 1000x better in every dimension if you are even remotely able to problem solve in any meaningful way. before someone comes after me, i am only talking about front line doctors. e.g. your primary care physician should be an ai for the majority of individuals, there is not even a question about this anymore. the only real thing keeping these guys in business is pure regulatory.
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Peter Todd retweeted
I find this bizarre in its language and visuals. “Artificial Intelligence” is not God or a god. The intention to spiritualize technology by deification or demonization is becoming more apparent.
There’s hope in hard questions.
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Peter Todd retweeted
recently saw analyses that 33-37% of negative traffic on some recent viral Palantir-related X posts was bot driven. fugazi bot accounts + the likes of Amnesty UK, Foxglove, Open Society + few activist journalists and you’re set. all you need is a healthy budget. so yeah, who do you think pays for all this? “I'm not saying all the anti-Palantir stuff is funded by our adversaries, but it's also funded by the adversaries. What is the best thing that can happen to Russia and China and Iran is you don't buy the things that work.”
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