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Joined November 2013
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Money in. Money out. $0. The 5% withdrawal fee is gone. ACH deposits and withdrawals are now free — effective immediately. predictit.org #thepeoplespredictionmarket
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France had a weekend of riots. The first poll since, by Ifop-Fiducial, barely moved. Traders did. Far-right leader Marine Le Pen is at 58¢ to win next spring’s presidential vote, up from 54¢ over the weekend. Jean-Luc Mélenchon is at 24¢. #France2027 #FrenchPresident #LePen
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Trump endorsed Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Oct. 18. Traders didn’t follow. Former military chief Gadi Eisenkot is at 60¢ to be Israel’s next prime minister, up from 50¢ that day. Netanyahu is at 45¢, right where he started. Israel votes Tuesday. #Israel2026 #Election
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Brazil votes Sunday, and the polls have it tied. Quaest has right-wing Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro at 45% and President Lula at 44%. Traders have Flávio at 82¢ to win the runoff. Since 1989, no candidate who trailed in the first round has come back to win one. #LulaBolsonaro
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Michigan’s Senate debate is tonight: Mike Rogers (R) vs. Abdul El-Sayed (D). Traders have El-Sayed at 70¢ going in. Watch the price move live. #MichiganSenate #ElSayedRogers #SenateControl
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Trump’s super PAC moved $277 million from Sept. 1 to Oct. 14, per Bloomberg. Super PAC checks have no ceiling. On PredictIt, nobody can put more than $3,500 into a contract, the same as the limit on a check to a candidate for Congress. #ThePeoplesPredictionMarket #Midterms2026
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Trump in Kansas on Monday: “With Roger Marshall in the Senate, we will make year-round E-15 permanent. But if Adam Hamilton is in, I’m not doing it.” Traders have Sen. Roger Marshall (R) at 59¢ against Hamilton (D) at 40¢. #SenateControl #MarshallHamilton #KSSenate
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Trump’s super PAC has moved $277 million since Sept. 1, per Bloomberg. Its biggest Senate target is Texas, at $36 million. Traders still favor state Rep. James Talarico (D) at 66¢, against Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) at 38¢. #TalaricoPaxton #SenateControl #TXSenate
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JUST IN on PredictIt 🚨: - Ohio governor’s margin of victory - How many Senate races are decided by less than 1% - Which Texas race will have the bigger margin, Senate or governor
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Cook moved three Senate races Tuesday. Traders held their favorites: Mississippi, Solid to Likely R: Hyde-Smith (R) 88¢ South Carolina, Likely to Lean R: Graham (R) 84¢ Minnesota, Likely to Lean D: Flanagan (D) 86¢ Sabato moved 28 House races toward Democrats. House: D 90¢
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Vivek Ramaswamy (R) will spend $4 million on an ad featuring the estranged mother of his opponent, Amy Acton (D). The backlash crossed party lines. Traders moved toward Acton. Democrats are at 80¢ to win Ohio’s governor’s race, up from 75¢ Tuesday morning. #OctoberSurprise
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