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Reminder: the Mossad operation ended in Jan. According to Israeli media tonight the Iranians understood in real time that the archive was stolen. The Iranian drone was sent and shot down on Feb 10, an incident which sparked the recent escalation b/w Israel and Iran in Syria.
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Recent revelations re the operation to steal Iran's nuclear archive may lead to the conclusion that the failed Iranian attempt to attack Israel with an armed drone last Feb was in fact a retaliatory strike and not an unprecedented, unprovoked attack as Israel tried to frame it >>
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3. Hezbollah does not currently possess missiles capable of hitting pinpoint targets inside Israel.
4. Hezbollah will not have the capability for mass production of such accurate missiles in 2018 and 2019.
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Dramatic headlines in IDF Chief of Staff's Passover interview to Maariv daily:
1. Israel operated in Syria after the downing of its F-16 last month.
2. The Iranians "do not dare" to approach the Syrian Golan for fear of the Israeli response >>>
maariv.co.il/news/military/A…
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Interesting piece of information that went unnoticed: @AmbDennisRoss claimed last week that the Iranian drone which Israel shot down was ARMED. Israeli officials, including PM Netanyahu today in Munich, did not confirm that info. teapaw.org/WashInstitute/status/9…
Before next shoe drops in #Syria, US needs to get blunt w/Putin & ask EU officials to warn #Iran about renewed sanctions - @AmbDennisRoss washingtoninstitute.org/poli…
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2. For the first time, Netanyahu threatens to act against Iran itself “if necessary”, and not only against its proxies.
3. Netanyahu equates Hamas in Gaza to Hezbollah in Lebanon and to the Houtis in Yemen – i.e., considers them as an Iranian proxy.
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Three noteworthy points from Netanyahu’s speech in Munich today:
1. Netanyahu effectively threatens the Syrian regime by saying that if Assad invites Iran into Syria, Israel will deviate from its long-standing policy of non-intervention in the civil war there >>>
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Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) are now in control of an estimated 60% of Raqqah, #ISIS de facto capital
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2/ if the soon-to-be state’s witness Miki Ganor incriminates Netanyahu, his coalition partners will not be able to ignore it
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1/ Similarly to the Talansky testimony in 2008 that resulted in Olmert’s resignation a few months later,
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Here is what I think Washington is trying to achieve in eastern #Syria in its negos with Russia, on a map (via @PrimeSourceME)
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Where to Draw the Line Against #Iran’s Mideast Takeover, my latest oped for the Daily Beast
thedailybeast.com/where-to-d…
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Given that this board made the controversial decision to accept unsealed ballots, seems unlikely it will cancel the results #Turkey
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The CHP, #Turkey's main opposition party will appeal for the cancellation of the referendum in front of the Supreme Election Board today









