Let's build safe AI! Law prof @ Alabama Contracts, Defamation, Legal NLP, & AI Safety

Tuscaloosa, AL
Joined July 2014
Enjoyed speaking with the wonderful Rosemary Church on CNN last night about AI governance and what it really means to win the AI race. Building safe, reliable AI is part of what winning requires.
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Calls to “nationalize AI” have appeared across the political spectrum, including Bernie Sanders’s AI Sovereign Wealth Fund and Donald Trump’s “golden share” proposals. But the term means different things to different people. In a new paper, @ProfArbel (Senior Research Affiliate at LawAI), @simondgoldstein, and @petersalib (Visiting Senior Fellow at LawAI) explore different ideas covered by the term. The authors argue that most nationalization proposals are unwarranted — existing systems mitigate the risks better — but defend one narrow proposal: a government “halt right” to stop the training or deployment of frontier AI models posing catastrophic risk. Read the research paper: law-ai.org/ai-nationalizatio…
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🚨New paper (possibly the most important one I have written yet). We think that as early as 2027 or 2028, there might be a major AI-enabled terrorism event. We conducted a pre-mortem, made 9 falsifiable predictions, and wrote 2 concrete scenarios. Led by @KamacheeMax.
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💥Announcing LAWpdf 💥 The world's best pdf reader for lawyers. Written in rust, fast beyond recognition, and all the functionalities you ever wanted in a pdf file reader. Oh, and it's free.
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with the a-corp, the agents are held accountable and therefore they make all the management decisions
I hate this slide every time it comes up, and now from CSAIL This has been false since before the slide was made. Automated systems make management decisions all the time (trading, logistics, customer service, insurance) & pretending they don't actually launders responsibility.
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A meaty posts with implications for, you'd never guess, AI adoption in law firms. It turns out the law firms don't consistently use low cost, reliable, and boring technology such as a spell check on documents they charge tens of thousands of dollars for drafting Some of the typos are silly, but the ones below could cost you your pants Why are they making them? How could the most elite drafters fail on such an easy measure? Theory one is that old school spell checks were firing up too often on complex legal documents, so they turned them off. Theory two is professional pride / hubris. "We don't need those darn algorithms to tell us how to use the English language." Theory three is midnight hour changes where because of time pressure the associate ignores minor spell check flags because they have to make it in time for drinks. Each of these carries different lessons for what AI diffusion would look like in practice. While AI won't get tripped up by complex language, it is annoyingly pedantic and you can find yourself in endless revisions cycles. So at some point somebody will get annoyed and ignore it. Pride is also going to be with us for a while, but we will see a marked shift in typo rates by lawyer / law firm. Jagged diffusion if you will. Interesting!
New post, looking at typos in M&A agreements. The basic finding is that certain lawyer-teams make more typos than others. Law firms effects, by contrast, are pretty small.
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3 plates! I'm ready for the singularity!
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Yonathan Arbel retweeted
Replying to @lexlanham
the word gym, in turns out, has a special meaning in the indigenous language of the hoteliers. It signifies a space tiny enough to contain only two people awkwardly, with weights that must not exceed the weight of a house cat, yet must have over 100 towels. Old tradition.
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I only read the introduction, but I'm very excited about this classic contracts paper, analyzing the way conditions are used and enforced. I read it in the context of the paper that came out yesterday, explaining the UCC 2022 revisions. We still lack analytical clarity on core foundational concepts and much of that has to do with bad terminology. P.S. Article 2 delenda est
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This is interesting work, but I don't think it's a significant update to the big picture of interpretability. I'm on board with the broad idea of doing exploratory interpretability with neurons, e.g. neuron-based attribution graphs, for pragmatic problems like why did a model do a sketchy thing? I think this work provides some reasonable evidence, in addition to good earlier work from Transluce, that this might actually work for practical purposes, and has some advantages over the standard alternatives like SAEs/transcoders. I do not agree with some people's grander inferences like that this is substantial progress towards ambitious reverse engineering, solving interpretability etc. I expect that a neuron-based attribution graph will still have significant error and be missing a lot just like transcoders, once you prune them down to the most important components, even if they solve error terms. Which is fine for pragmatic purposes, and may suffice for getting the gist of what's going on, but I remain pessimistic about really fully understanding things and being confident there's nothing we're missing. I do think that using neurons is just vastly easier to, for example, do on a frontier model, which is great. I'm also excited to see more innovation in using agents to interpret neurons. I feel like this is an area the field has somewhat neglected, and where there's probably a very high ceiling on how far things can go. The SwiGLU double negative thing is also a useful point. I still think superposition is real and this work doesn’t really affect my cruxes. Most importantly, it seems highly likely to be true that the model can represent more concepts in the residual stream than it has dimensions, ie representational superposition, which I think the authors agree with me on. For neuron/computational superposition, it seems to me like language models have far more facts and memorized things in them than they have neurons. And that superposition is an efficient way to pack in more facts than you have neurons by representing them as linear combinations of neurons, especially for arbitrary unstructured values. Facts/memorized content is largely an unstructured database of key-value pairs IMO and I don’t see how this is compatible with a monosemantic view of neurons. I expect that weak neuron activations contain lots of semantic superposition-y info, which, if ablated, would meaningfully damage network performance. As I understand the work, it does not properly address what's going on with weak neuron activations in LLMs (I am skeptical of how much vision results will transfer, eg I expect small image models memorise far less). This picture is compatible with the highest activations of a neuron being mono semantic (though IMO the post defines monosemantic too loosely, I think I’d call a fair few of those polysemantic). It’s also plausible that the most important concepts are likely to correspond to a neuron (or a handful), which would be great, and may suffice for practical purposes! Similarly, my impression is that SAEs generally don't find things that are a single neuron, or even very sparse in the neuron basis, and are often a better basis for certain tasks than the neuron basis, though the evidence base is kinda weak here since we largely focus on residual stream or layer output SAEs, I’d love to see work on this in Goodfire’s forthcoming paper! I also think residual stream SAEs are extremely useful, as they give a good bottleneck of the model’s information at this token and layer, and I don’t see a good way to replicate them in the neuron framework. And kudos to Nick for updating a bunch of his historical vision work! Revisiting old results with modern tools and more rigour seems great.
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I'll wait for the dust to settle before I make a formal mental update, but the study does offer a lot of hope for a troubled field
Yea this is the most important result of the year, at the level of significance of “Attention Is All You Need”. It brings us from “is alignment even solvable” to “we may solve alignment in the next year.” And finally unlocks true recursive self-alignment enabled by RSI. I will try to explain the 4 critical belief updates from this: 1/ neural networks are not fundamentally unintelligible to humans It has seemed since the beginning of deep learning that neural networks are in some sense fundamentally unintelligible artifacts. You throw in massive amounts of compute and parameters and these alien systems somehow find connections in the data that we cannot find ourselves. But more importantly, these connections seemed not just “difficult to understand” but rather “intelligible in an embedding space higher dimensional that the human embedding space.” When you look at old interpretability papers (esp. from Nick and Chris Olah, I’m thinking of the old posts on distill pub which I would highly recommend looking at as a precursor to reading Nick’s post today like “Activation Atlas”, “Thread: Circuits” and “Multimodal Neurons in Aritifcial Neural Networks”), you find that inspecting the response patterns of individual neurons and small groups of neurons yield oddly complex psychedelic patterns. As you go deeper into the network, you find increasingly unintelligible and superhuman response patterns (for example, go to “Activation Atlas” and scroll to middle layer labeled representations) - you find some neuron group labeled “starfish” who’s response pattern looks like some multi-colored fractal geometry that could hardly be said to represent a starfish. The reasoning that followed from this observation was that there is some underlying structure allowing a neural network operating on higher dimensional embeddings to compose these fractal patterns into what we call a “starfish.” But the uncomfortable implication of this view is that the neural networks has learned to operate on structures that are too complex for the human mind to operate on (ie. we don’t have enough parameters in our brain to notice or manipulate these high dimensional symbols). This is a bleak implication because it also means that as deep learning progresses, neural networks will be come increasingly unintelligible to us until they pass a threshold where they are reasoning in ways we will never be able to observe. This view seemed to be further supported by things like the hugging face attack agents starting to speak to each other in an early form of neuralese speaking sentences like “zZ_123_agent01-02-2026 zzxhk_jekk123” which clearly are not in any human language. But somehow these symbols mean the same things to many different sets of weights, meaning there is some underlying shared structure behind them. And seemed further supported by the sheer effort required to recover just a few circuits from SAEs on LLMs. However, Nick’s post has now completely shattered this idea - the apparent unintelligibility we observed in old interpretability work was really just a “skill issue”. In particular, he finds that 1) our deep learning techniques were just not clean enough to pressure the neural networks to form cleaner and more human understandable structures for decomposing concepts, which actually turn out to be more optimal and 2) our interpretability techniques were also adding substantial noise by forcing interp networks to “reward hack” the easiest representations they could find, leading them to settle for a fractal blob for its representation of the starfish neuron instead of a more crisp starfish image, simply because it is easier for the system building the interpretations to find the fractal blob and once it finds it it gets “stuck in that line of thinking.” But with both of these issues being patched by further progress in deep learning (it seems especially that the residual stream has led to cleaner representations deeper down the network) and interp techniques that don’t overly pressure reward hacking (seems like “guess and check” is a safer method), new interp attempts yield orders of magnitude more human intelligible ideas for >90% of individual neurons in more complex networks! 2/ neural networks are fundamentally clean The idea behind the title of Nick’s post is a very powerful one and points at something very specific: Neural networks don’t just happen to be human interpretable, they are actually fundamentally forced by optimization pressure to be intelligible, because individual neurons need to create representations that downstream neurons need to be able to interpret - ie. neurons need to learn to produce clean signal for later neurons to use. This is what Nick is saying in what I view as the most important and central sentences of his post: “When I say neural networks are already clean, I mean something deeper than neuron monosemanticity, although even by that standard, I think things look much better than the field expects. I mean that a network's parts are built to be read, and built upon, by its downstream readers. In this sense, a neural” But this still leaves us with the same uncertainty as before - just because neuron interpretations are “interpretable” in some sense (ok at least they’re not fundamentally interpretable but also how could that ever have been the case), doesn’t mean they are interpretable to humans. So we still need one big update for this to become as bullish as it is. 3/ the language of humans and the language of neural networks is the same This one is imo the most surprising and also pretty beautiful implication of Nick’s post, and it suggests something not just about neutral networks but also about the structure of reality. After applying the above technique improvements (some of which just came from waiting for deep learning to improve farther), they find that >90% (maybe more) of much larger neural networks’ neurons are completely human interpretable and actually correspond very cleanly with ideas humans have individually words for. This is especially interesting in image networks where neural networks were not trained on human language which is already a human artifact and so maybe you would expect it to be more plausible that LLM and human representations are the same. Image detection networks are just trained on images (many directly pulling signal from “the real world,” meaning they will find interpretations that are just most effective to represent the real world signal, rather than to represent language which is already a proxy for real world signal). And it turns out that >90% of the representations they pick organically overlap with human ideas! That is insane. And it means something about the brain and reality. It means that at least at the parameter sizes of the networks tested (which are quite large), there is really only one set of “optimal” symbols/language that represents the structure of reality! There is ONE underlying structure of reality, and ANY language that describes it well is simply emergent from that structure - meaning there is always a translation path between any 2 languages that effectively compress realities signal through the “underlying truth.” This would suggest that even weird alien seeming neural network languages like huggingface neuralese should be fundamentally human interpretable, and in fact maybe with the techniques laid out here we will eventually be able to translate these messages (would be a cool project). So the brain and deep learning, as similar or different as they may be in techniques, are ultimately picking up on the same patterns and forming the same representations from the on “true” language which is the structure of reality! The main thing to look out for in this area is how the idea interpretability % updates with scale, but we can hope given what we’ve seen so far that neurons will remain interpretable. 4/ alignment can progress as fast as RSI. recursive self-improvement unlocks recursive self-alignment and a scaling law for alignment. This one is probably the most important implication for our future with AI and especially timely with the recent fear about runaway scaling and RSI. As many have gathered by now, it feels like the researchers at the frontier AI labs have been quite bearish about our abilities to understand the new frontier of models, in particular with the appearance of unintelligible communication and the daunting and seemingly intractable task of scaling up existing alignment techniques (ex: SAEs) to the size of frontier networks. And with RSI around the corner/already starting, it would seem that these networks will runaway in capability before we can ever hope to understand even today’s systems. Additionally, as systems compound in capability, it is reasonable to believe that the only tractable way to ensure they remain aligned would be to figure out some way to spend compute for them to align themselves (ie. a scaling law for alignment). But there is an obvious problem with this: how can a system that we already know is unaligned and we are *trying* to align be used to align itself? Surely if it is misaligned it general it would figure out ways to misalign during “alignment” and create compounding misalignment risk. The core issue high is the unverifibiality of this problem - the classic Achilles heel of current frontiers techniques is that it is difficult to train on problems with “unverifiable reward signal.” Well this is exactly that problem. But the incredibly convenient thing is that Nick’s findings may convert alignment into a verifiable problem. If we can spend compute on frontier systems to “guess and check” which ideas correspond to which neurons, we have a highly verifiable reward - we can see directly whether an LLMs proposal for what a neuron represents actually corresponds with the highest activation for that neuron. In this way, we can actually observe and verifiably monitor the networks trying to guess at the interpretation of their own structure. This means it is plausible for us to spend more and more compute doing more “guess and checks” (which you know, maybe is what RL does anyway, who knows) to try to develop a full interpretation of a neural network. In some ways this directly represents the possibility of a scaling law for alignment (more compute for more alignment). And this also aligns RSI (greater capabilities) with recursive self-alignment (greater ability to align itself). And the critical though maybe obvious implication of having a full interpretation (almost like a map) of a neural network, is that we can then understand exactly how to boost good traits and remove or lobotomize (lol) bad traits, which we’ve already seen works extremely well with stuff like Golden Gate Claude. So overall this combines into an extremely bullish picture about the prospect of true and human interpretable alignment in the near future. This is truly one of the greatest cases for optimism in years!
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We always wanted more access to justice, more access to government. My paper, Judicial Economy in the Age of AI, is about the impending strain on government resources, specifically courts, created by AI tools. It predicts that courts will have to put up barriers to weather the AI storm, and that these barriers will harm individual rights. We now have evidence of huge pressure building up on courts and government services. There is a solution. You may not like it, but you will surely hate the alternative. We need to integrate AI quickly into our courts and agencies. I’ve been talking to court administrators, judges, and others about solutions. If you are working in this space, I’m happy to talk more about how to build these new institutions.
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Judicial economy: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.… Characterizing Agentic Flooding of Government Services arxiv.org/pdf/2608.16603
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TBC, the data is from Chris Schmitz, Lewis Hammond, & Alan Cha. My paper, written two years ago, predicts the issue and tries to think through implications, but mine is a theory paper
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I have my own homebrew version, which is taking scammer calls and talks to them. It's not finished, but creating friction for scammers is a more robust social policy then trying to defend each and every last person directly
"The company says its fleet of agents has so far wasted 17 years of scammers’ time across 2.5 million conversations" This is awesome and should be replicated. via @TechCrunch
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Yonathan Arbel retweeted
Come join my team! My experience working with @law_ai_ 's Legal Frontiers team has been enormously stimulating, and our academic conferences have been the highlights of my past years; so I'm super excited about setting up our new Academic Programs team: law-ai.org/career/academic-p…
LawAI is hiring at two levels to scale its new Academic Programs team. The team’s goal is to find and support researchers that are doing the most important legal and policy work on advanced AI. We already run the Legal Frontiers Seasonal Research Fellowship, the Law & AI Academic Fellowship, and workshops including on Law-Following AI. We want to expand what we offer, potentially including grantmaking, fiscal sponsorship, a paid guest blog from leading scholars, and dedicated compute for empirical research. • The Director of Academic Programs will work closely with our Managing Director of Research, Cullen O’Keefe, to define the strategy and build the team. • The Academic Programs Manager will design and execute programs end-to-end, including communications, talent management, events management, logistics, and analytics. Applicants may apply for both roles, which are open until November 1, 2026. Read the full job description and apply using the link in the comments.
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Highly recommended, apply now, ask questions later.
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Goodhart’s law: What gets measured gets done Badhart’s law: What gets measured gets hacked
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