Someone on the Odd Lots Discord made this. And idk what to say, except it feels like the prediction markets companies put us onto this slippery slope, and now the unthinkable has indeed arrived.

UPDATE: $XOM Joliet reported to have suffered a "total power outage". this refinery capacity is 275kbpd, a large facility and it looks bad.

HVAC guys round 1: great, we'll come back and fix this HVAC guys round 2: we fixed it, but your heating is broken too so we'll come back to fix that HVAC guys round 3: okay we didn't fix it the first time, nothing is working now, we'll come back and fix this ????????????????

In a sufficiently advanced college math class, lots of the 130 IQ kids have to drop out because they just can't learn the material whereas almost all the 140 kids can. In a history or literature class it's more subjective. My experience is that the 130 range, though really smart, is accompanied by more class contributions that indicate they don't quite get it, whereas that seldom happens with 140 kids. In a class on contemporary politics, a fair number of the 140 kids will take monumentally stupid positions that would never occur to the 130 kids.

Reddit is actually awesome! r/art is a usually a good community but moderated by absolute assholes. I got banned a few years ago for the same thing. Don’t give up on the whole thing though, the comment sections in the right subs are usually 1000x better and alive than this app

Half a cup of avocado oil might be easier.

Feels like there's a whole taxonomy of shadow Greeks to be labeled. Like how much reduction in short optionality a redemption gate offers. Which fund consultant is working on this marketing ahem think piece

Can someone please confirm the SPX corrected 2.71% yesterday because glancing at my TL we are the remnants surviving in nuclear fallout from the end of the world.

I want to frame this whole article.

Mark Gubrud first used the term Artificial General Intelligence in 1997, giving the following definition in his Foresight Conference paper “Nanotechnology and International Security”: “AI systems that rival or surpass the human brain in complexity and speed, that can acquire, manipulate and reason with general knowledge, and that are usable in essentially any phase of industrial or military operations where a human intelligence would otherwise be needed.” Incidentally pedantically appealing the the concept of general intelligence in psychological is begging the question - humans *are* generally intelligent, the psychological concepts around general intelligence are primarily to do with correlations of abilities in humans and theories of explanatory general factors (most famously IQ). These concepts do not map well to current AI.

Can human intelligence, which took eons to evolve, be recreated with code, matrix math, and word prediction? My feeling is that the full spectrum of intelligence (& the bio-chemical infrastructure needed to sustain it) is more complex than we think & not reproducible with silicon

🧵 7/8 Result #4: Catastrophic failure on exact computation ⚠️ Even when we GAVE the solution algorithm (so they just need execute these steps!) to the reasoning models, they still failed at the SAME complexity points. This suggests fundamental limitations in symbolic manipulation, not just problem-solving strategy. Even more strange is the inconsistency of the search and computation capabilities across different environments and scales. For instance, Claude 3.7 (w. thinking) can correctly do ~100 moves of Tower of Hanoi near perfectly, but fails to explore more than "4 moves" in the River Crossing puzzle or fails earlier when puzzles scale and need longer solutions!

@b612foundation has taken the orbit and uncertainty of asteroid 2024YR4, sampled 10K trajectories from the current uncertainty, and propagated them forward. 2.3% of those hit the Earth on Dec.22, 2032. Here is where they hit.

History may not repeat, but it certainly rhymes. Trump is being handed a ticking time bomb...

A 45-day expedition to the Clarion Clipperton Zone discovered several species not previously described by science. mining.com/pink-sea-pigs-tra…