BREAKING NEWS: Ken Paxton takes the lead in the Texas Senate race. 🔴 Ken Paxton: 49% 🔵 James Talarico: 48% “While the overall numbers have not moved much, this shift is significant because it marks the first time Paxton has led the Senate race since August.” — John Garst, Senior Pollster, @InsiderPolling

KANSAS VOTER INTENSITY: Republicans in Kansas are facing one of the largest gaps in voter intensity in the US. 82% of Kansas Democrats say they are very enthusiastic to vote in the midterm elections vs. 54% of Kansas Republicans.

BREAKING NEWS: The Kansas Senate race remains close, with Roger Marshall regaining the lead as Republicans improve across several swing states. Republican enthusiasm, however, remains low in Kansas. 🔴 Roger Marshall: 48% 🔵 Adam Hamilton: 47% — John Garst, Senior Pollster, @InsiderPolling

BREAKING NEWS: Rick Jackson maintains a lead over Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms in the Peach State. 🔴 Rick Jackson: 49% 🔵 Keisha Lance Bottoms: 47% — John Garst, Senior Pollster, @InsiderPolling

Michigan’s absentee ballot requests are up 20% from this point in 2022, but returns are nearly flat—up just 1.8%, from 432,960 to 440,677. So I wouldn’t read too much into the request numbers just yet. Statewide in-person early voting begins Oct. 24.

Rosetta Stone Communications President John Garst addresses the Georgia Economic Development Association’s annual convention in Savannah, sharing insights on Georgia’s political landscape, national trends and what polling reveals about public opinion.