DREW (@Reventedly) header
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22 @ https://teapaw.org/t.co/R0e1euG75U https://teapaw.org/t.co/pKpZnYGuhY Equities & AI

Austin / Dallas / Saigon
Joined March 2016
Photo by DREW (@Reventedly)Photo by DREW (@Reventedly)Photo by DREW (@Reventedly)Photo by DREW (@Reventedly)Photo by DREW (@Reventedly)Photo by DREW (@Reventedly)Photo by DREW (@Reventedly)Photo by DREW (@Reventedly)Photo by DREW (@Reventedly)Photo by DREW (@Reventedly)
Ai companies are missing across the board...
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We’re about to learn that most code written over the last 20 years was complete slop and most software developers were never that good
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My office in Austin is in this photo 😁
Global Events, Cups, Regional Opens. Here's where we'll be in 2027! #VCT
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Great memories
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I mostly don't "get" NYC most ways. It's dirty, loud, inefficient, suboptimal in so many ways. But a few pieces I do get: 1. For young men, it's supposed to be one of the only reasonably dating markets left in the USA. 2. The food is stupidly good. There's some crazy bias here, where Michelin etc randomly score NYC lower than other cities for the same quality thing. In fact, the best meals of my life are nearly always in NYC. 3. In a normal city, you look at the list of museums and often there is not a single one with going to, maybe a couple. In NYC you book lunch with someone and a third of the time there's randomly one I genuinely want to see the next block over. Nothing compares at least in Asia, not sure on Europe... but probably not.
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Militia's largest limited partner visited our office yesterday. He said it was like all of the staff were good friends, that you'd never know that the majority of the team flew in and normally work apart. His son was with him. He has interned at many investing shops. He said our culture is completely different / seems actually enjoyable. Part of it might be that the average age is ~30, vs 45+ for most firms. It's a bunch of hungry young guys, from unconventional backgrounds, with something to prove. In a genuine way. Other shops say this, but in reality they prioritize ticking all the boxes for institutional allocators. Especially @svrnco's efforts seems to have built a really good company culture, where everyone is really enjoying each other's pressence. Seeing this machine working makes me so damn happy.
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Shadowplay is 4D
在四维空间里俯视三维宇宙,你的宇宙就像一个巨大的全息投影砖块一样,过去、现在、未来,所有的时刻都同时固定并存在着。四维世界的生物想看哪一帧就看哪一帧 三位世界里的人类的大脑受限于生物记忆和熵增定律,只能按顺序体验事件,从而觉得时间在流动。实际上没有时间,过去、现在、未来,它们只是这个四维全息投影大砖块不同坐标位置展示出的一帧画面
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TradingView yeni bir kapı açtı: Resmî MCP Server artık beta olarak kullanıma sunuldu. Bunun anlamı şu: TradingView verileri ve bazı platform araçları artık ChatGPT, Claude ve MCP destekleyen diğer yapay zekâ istemcileriyle doğrudan bağlanabiliyor. Şu anda MCP üzerinden OHLCV verileri, screener sonuçları, teknik göstergeler, haberler, temel veriler, ekonomik takvimler, watchlist’ler ve alert’ler gibi birçok veriye erişilebiliyor. Bazı işlemler, örneğin alert oluşturma ve watchlist yönetimi de destekleniyor. Bağlantı OAuth 2.1 ile yapılıyor; API key gerekmiyor. TradingView tarafında özellik Essential ve üzeri planlarda sunuluyor. Ben de bugün ChatGPT ile bağlantıyı kurup test etmeye başladım. Şimdilik kişisel Pine Script indikatörlerinin kendi ürettiği özel değerleri doğrudan okumaya yönelik bir araç görünmüyor. Ancak MCP araç seti beta aşamasında ve TradingView bunun zamanla genişleyeceğini belirtiyor. Bence asıl ilginç olan, piyasa verisi ile yapay zekâ arasındaki bu doğrudan bağlantının bundan sonra nereye evrileceği. Resmî TradingView MCP dokümantasyonu: tradingview.com/mcp/docs
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I’m super bullish @orrdavid Why? His success in the hedge fund business is explained by skill alone. > pro online poker player in Thailand > reads "Betting Against Beta" in 2017 > teaches himself markets from scratch > +91%, then +171% in his personal account > strangers DM him asking to invest > launches with $3M in 2021 > up 71.2% in 2022 > ~49% annualized ever since > up 37.2% YTD Zero pedigree. Zero connections. Zero family money. Dude's gonna continue to win big time
How to learn investing: skip the models and academic theory. Open a $10K IB account, run an 80-position long/short book, grind 1,000 reps. David Orr, former pro poker player, founder of hedge fund Militia Capital, explains: "Put in whatever, 5,000 bucks, or even 1,000. You have a huge edge with a small account — get in and out of any position instantly, no friction. It's the greatest way to learn." "You're not even trying to make money. You're trying to learn how to have an edge." "Find 30 genuinely different longs. Nvidia and a bunch of semis is all the same bet." "If you can win 30-50% a year on a small account, that's a pretty good sign." "If you're not loving it enough to do it 15 hours a day within the first month, just give up. You'll never be a great investor." "Most of your ideas will be horrible, which is fine. If you lose a few thousand bucks, who cares — it's cheap tuition." "Don't do models. Don't read academic theory. Don't try to see how the professionals do it. Just try tons of different bets." "By the time you have 500 or 1,000 reps in, you'll have a real chance of generating real edge."
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Militia Capital is hiring a quantitative engineer in Austin. AI is probably going to eat discretionary investing in the next 10 years. We want to create AI tools and trading systems that distill and improve the judgment of our portfolio managers. We're not a HFT/MFT shop and don't expect to compete there; we're trying something different, which is to automate and trade on superior qualitative forecasts over weeks, months and maybe years. We're looking for exceptional statistics/ML, problem-solving and engineering ability. Finance experience is optional. Exceptional graduates and candidates from other technical fields are welcome. Pay: $275K base, $300K-$500K target bonus, depending mostly on your contribution to profits. Email [email protected] with your resume and a short description of your hardest technical project (research, open-source work, etc.), ideally with a link to it. I can't reply to everyone, and I apologize for that.
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I like to spend money on: 1. Giving the best talent the very best deal, probably my biggest "expense" - but which actually works out purely selfishly, after studying it in a Google sheet. 2. Saving time. 3. Great food. 4. My lady. The highest ROI bucket!
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DREW retweeted
Vietnam and Thailand are probably the next Taiwan/South Korea growth stories.
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DREW retweeted
Claude Code and Instagram Reels
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DREW retweeted
if AI is not skill based why do some people still produce better results than others
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Because the hedge fund has 3 uncorrelated PMs, our factor exposure has become incredibly balanced. This wouldnt have been possible as a single manager. This is already low enough that there's no big value in getting it any lower.
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just woke up and checked what the intern did last night
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DREW retweeted
9 months ago I would’ve given the same answer everyone in this thread is giving: yes, fundamentals matter, you need to understand code to vibe-code, AI is just a tool, etc. Today I’m convinced that’s pure cope. No, it’s not worth learning to code in 2026. Models are the worst they’ll ever be, and they’re already better than most junior devs. Unless you’re getting to senior-level skills in <2 years (you won’t), models are going to improve faster than you can learn. You’re starting from zero against something that gets exponentially better every few months. Just code with AI however you can, time will make up for the current gaps in your knowledge.
Is learning to code still worth it in 2026?
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DREW retweeted
once i sell a stock, i not only pray that it goes to zero, i’m actively spreading fud in the comments
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I used to put all of my postiions into broad buckets working off of a crude watchlist. But it became too hard for me to juggle this for many PMs. So Militia's team built this awesome tool where I (and everyone) can see my various buckets and percents. A benefit of joining Militia as a PM is that you'll get to use tools like this to improve!
Boiling down how to run at 350% gross leverage (220% long, 130% short) long term: Minimum 10 uncorrelated long buckets, preferably 15+. Minimum 15 uncorrelated short buckets, preferably 20+. Everything will still be correlated to the general market of course. So that's not the correlation I'm talking about. I'm talking about those huge moves within a factor or industry. Then you adjust each bucket's bet size for volatility. More volatile = smaller bet. Less volatile = bigger bet. Then you watch correlation between buckets. If the correlation picks up, you now have fewer buckets than you think, and need to adjust. That's why you really want 15+ different longs, not just 10, because now you have a de facto margin of safety and won't have to react as much.
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