An online journal on Russian affairs. На русском @RidlRussia

Joined May 2015
The less consistent sanctions policy becomes, the harder it is to sustain their effect. For some, the prospect of relief may become an incentive to resume trade with Russia; others will continue to be deterred by legal and financial risks. ridl.io/a-sanctions-reprieve…
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Russia wanted SCO after 2022 to prove it wasn’t isolated, push multipolarity and lock in anti-sanctions solidarity. It got summits and rhetoric. It didn’t get a unified Ukraine position or new institutions. China’s weight and member divisions set limits ridl.io/the-sco-after-2022-r…
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Riddle Russia retweeted
The Kremlin isn’t tightening its own belt. It’s taking one to the public. Siluanov elevated, taxes rising, rates stuck at 14%, and no growth tailwind into 2027. @ntrickett16's @RiddleRussia weekly economic note. ridl.io/reaching-for-the-bel…
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Siluanov is back as deputy PM. Taxes are going up. The Bank of Russia sees inflation stuck high. @ntrickett16 on why “belt-tightening” now means the state squeezing households and business harder. ridl.io/reaching-for-the-bel…
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For now, the government reshuffle suggests that Vladimir Putin has not abandoned his ultra-conservative personnel policy and that stagnation in the power vertical persists. ridl.io/a-prime-minister-wit…
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Riddle Russia retweeted
#Serbia votes Oct 25 in snap parliamentary elections. Almost two years of student protests (sparked by the Novi Sad canopy collapse) have challenged Vučić’s long rule. Russia has clear stakes in the outcome. 1/10
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Riddle Russia retweeted
This Hungarian position will be recurring. Magyar unblocked the accession process, but he was quite straightforward about the long negotiation process with Ukraine. The replacement of Orban with Magyar was misinterpreted as a faster accession process for Ukraine. We, at @RiddleRussia, warned about having huge expectations regarding the “de-Orbanisation” of Hungary’s foreign policy. ridl.io/de-orbanisation-of-h…
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Riddle Russia retweeted
Can we trust Kremlin sources? 🧵 Putin’s talks with Trump remain a bit of a black box—so leaks fill the gap. The latest: Putin supposedly wants peace but fears elites and the public would “kill him” if he conceded. 1/4
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Key Russian political events of the week: Duma Speaker Vyacheslav Volodin (record 3rd term) proposed KPIs for parliamentary committee chairs. Indicators would cover oversight of state programs. Underperformers could face disciplinary action or removal. 1/6
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Check out @RiddleRussia series "Transformed by War: Russia’s Partners Since 2022", now with 17 articles: Turkey, Germany, Belarus, BRICS, Tajikistan, North Korea, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Transnistria, China, Iran, Venezuela, Africa, Israel, Armenia, Gulf states, Kyrgyzstan 1/2
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Riddle Russia retweeted
Sber’s brand is valued at ₽2.35 trillion ($28.0 billion USD) by BrandLab—about 37% of the bank’s market cap and nearly four times higher than Brand Finance’s earlier estimate. What do these numbers actually show about Russia’s corporate landscape? And what can’t they tell us? #sanctions Thread 1/4
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BrandLab ranks Sber at ₽2.35T (37% of market cap)—far above prior international estimates. What these brand numbers reveal about Russia’s corporate landscape, and what they can’t tell you: ridl.io/what-russia-s-brand-…
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Riddle Russia retweeted
#China and Russia: The full-scale war accelerated Russia–China ties but did not turn them into a formal alliance. The relationship remains a flexible partnership without binding obligations. Thread 1/4
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Putin’s personnel policy is on pause. Even after the Duma elections he stuck to an ultra-conservative approach: longevity for familiar faces, no real reshuffles, and carefully controlled “new elite” entry. New Pertsev on @RiddleRussia Thread 1/5
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