✔️CME FedWatch: Following the inflation report, the probability of a 0.5% rate hike by the Federal Reserve in December has begun to rise.
✔️WSJ: The Federal Reserve will weigh a 0.5% hike against a 0.25% hike in December.
✔️Goldman: The Federal Reserve may continue raising interest rates into 2027.
❗️A hawkish policy stance is already priced in.
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🇺🇸 US inflation slows less than expected
🚨 Consumer prices (CPI) rose by 0.4% in October. The market had anticipated an increase of 0.3%, following a 0.6% rise in September.
⏺ Core inflation excluding food and energy came in at +0.3%, against a forecast of +0.2%. This pace has persisted for the third consecutive month.
🏠 Housing costs accounted for more than 30% of the October increase in the CPI. Meanwhile, the rise in energy prices slowed sharply from +5.2% in September to +0.7% in October.
❗️ Why are there no year-over-year figures? Due to a government shutdown in October 2025, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics was unable to collect price data. Consequently, this report lacks the necessary basis to calculate either headline or core annual inflation.
🔽 Assessment: Negative
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🐋 Large wallets are opening long positions in $BTC right before the CPI release (4:30 p.m. UTC+3)
We'll soon find out if they're right
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This week boils down to two questions:
1. How fast are US prices still rising?
2. Does AI demand actually justify the billions going into data centers?
All times ET (UTC-5)
Tue: CPI 8:30am, then $CRWV after the close
Wed: quiet
Thu: $NBIS before the open, $AMAT after the close
Fri: PPI 8:30am
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October CPI prints today at 8:30 AM ET (13:30 UTC).
Dow Jones / Reuters:
Headline 0.3% MoM (Sep: 0.6%)
Core 0.2% MoM (Sep: 0.3%)
The twist: BLS will not publish official YoY. Last year's shutdown left October 2025 with no data, so there's no comparison base.
Last official YoY (September): 3.7% headline, 2.6% core.
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🇺🇸A class-action lawsuit has been filed against Nvidia and its CEO, Jensen Huang, by shareholders over his relationship with a woman suspected of spying for China.
The plaintiffs accuse the company and Huang of concealing potential national security risks from investors and are seeking damages, the amount of which has not yet been determined.
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🚨 Binance just cut off MEXC
After FinCEN flagged MEXC as a "primary money laundering concern" (alleged ~$16B tied to Iran, North Korea, Russia), Binance now:
* declines all withdrawals to MEXC
* freezes incoming MEXC deposits for compliance review
* may restrict or offboard accounts involved
what i expect next👇👇👇
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🐸 Over the past 12 months, foreign investors have poured nearly $1.5 trillion into U.S. stocks the largest amount in history
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👀Rough week for Bitcoin ETFs
Investors pulled a net $1.28B from US spot funds. BlackRock's IBIT made up $1.21B of that
Wednesday's $74.6M inflow barely helped. Another $842M went out over the next two days
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🇵🇸 Three activists reportedly raised a Palestinian flag outside the Bundestag in Berlin, taking down the German flag in the process.
Genuine question: am I the only one who thinks accepting everyone without proper vetting is a terrible idea?
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👀 BTC is still waiting for a real breakout.
Weekend range so far: roughly $75.5–76.2K.
Above: watching $76.4K, then the 100D MA near $77.2K.
Below: the sweep low near $74.7K.
A bounce inside the range isn't a breakout.
Lose $74.7K on a daily close and the recovery setup weakens.
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DON’T SAY I DIDN’T TELL YOU 👀💸
BTC, ETH, SOL + altcoin setups are in my Telegram.
Key levels, chart breakdowns and updates, all in one place. The next breakdown drops there first.
Join the channel 👇
t.me/RookOnCrypto
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👀 Everyone's watching Bitcoin dump. Watch this instead.
The Labor Department's final rule covering alternative assets, including crypto, in 401(k) plans is now under White House review.
Not approved yet. No guaranteed inflows.
But retirement access matters beyond the next candle.
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I marked $BTC resistance at 79.7–81.5K yesterday
Today sellers answered. Hard. Smoked straight through it to ~76K
Crypto map from that call still stands. Full levels 🧵
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$ETH | Zone of interest: $2,040 – $1,980
Invalidation: hold under $1,950
Same playbook as yesterday's review
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🚨🇺🇸 Google is paying employees in 5 more countries to quit.
Canada, France, Germany, Japan, Switzerland: 1 month of salary per year worked - just leave.
Exempt? Only Google Cloud and DeepMind.
A week ago the same offer went to ~60,000 people. Roughly a quarter of the company.
Meanwhile $GOOGL just ripped from $274 to $294 📈
Let that sink in:
-> humans are now a cost line to fund GPUs
-> Wall Street cheers every cut
-> "AI will create jobs" — just not at Google, apparently
Bullish for the stock. Not so bullish for the people building it. 🤷♂️
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🚨 Watching p*rn on your iPhone could cost you your ENTIRE crypto bag.
No downloads. No clicks. Just open the page — and your seed phrase is gone.
Researchers just exposed how hackers are draining wallets through adult sites 🧵👇
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Resistance is right above 👀
CT doomers were wrong again. US session opened strong - markets don't seem too worried about Dems taking Congress.
$BTC is pushing into the resistance zone from my last update: $79,700 – $81,500
Took a big chunk of profit on $HYPE and $ZEC - paying yourself here is never a bad idea 🟣
Buyers will have a hard time breaking this zone. Watching how it plays out 🍿
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$CRCL bounced PERFECTLY off my 71.20 level 🎯
wicked down, tapped it twice, and ripped to 77.69. +9% from the zone.
then earnings dropped 👇🧵
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