
Entrepreneur, cofounder @cupolaxs, https://xitter.cf/t.co/JYKK8cliVh, https://xitter.cf/t.co/9WYqNqVdqh, Builder in the Intelligence Economy. Writing articles on tech, critical thinking & society
Amsterdam
Joined March 2009
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Ruben Nieuwenhuis retweeted
⚡️Microsoft is beginning to convert payroll into compute.
The company is spending enormous amounts on AI infrastructure while simultaneously discovering that AI lets the remaining organization produce more with fewer people. Once those two things happen together, labor and compute start competing for the same capital allocation dollar.
That changes the corporate equation.
Historically, growth meant hiring more people. AI creates a path where growth can mean more GPUs, more software, more automation, and fewer humans per dollar of revenue.
The 60,000-person eligibility pool for its voluntary exit program is what makes this significant. That is roughly 27% of the company, and it reaches high enough to include vice presidents.
This goes well beyond a cleanup of weak performers. Microsoft is effectively opening a large section of the organization and asking:
How much human organizational mass can leave without damaging output?
That is an experiment with enormous consequences.
And the voluntary structure is clever because Microsoft does not need to know the exact answer beforehand.
• Offer the exit broadly.
• Watch who takes it.
• Protect teams where talent is scarce.
• Measure what breaks.
• Automate whatever survives.
• Then reorganize around the smaller system.
The company learns its true minimum human footprint by letting the organization partially self-liquidate.
There is another clue in the details: some marketing, sales and engineering teams are opting out of participation entirely.
That means Microsoft is already distinguishing between labor it still considers strategically scarce and labor whose scarcity has fallen.
That is the beginning of a new corporate hierarchy:
• People AI amplifies.
• People AI reduces the need for.
• People whose work AI eventually absorbs almost entirely.
And this connects directly to what we have been tracking about the professional middle.
AI does not need to replace a worker one-for-one to destroy labor demand. It only needs to make ten people capable of producing what previously required thirteen.
Do that across every department, every year, while revenue continues growing, and you get something historically unusual: a company becomes more valuable while needing progressively fewer humans relative to its scale.
That is how white-collar displacement actually arrives. No robot walks into an office and takes somebody's chair.
• Productivity per retained worker rises.
• Backfills disappear.
• Teams merge.
• Management layers compress.
• Voluntary exits become layoffs later if necessary.
• Hiring stays below prior norms.
And eventually the company realizes it permanently requires fewer people.
The capital expenditure side makes this even more consequential.
Microsoft is effectively moving resources from human cognition rented through salaries toward machine cognition owned through infrastructure. Payroll disappears every year. Data centers become productive capital assets. That preference becomes stronger as machine cognition improves.
Which leads to the deeper shift:
The corporation of the AI era will increasingly maximize intelligence per employee rather than employees per unit of growth.
That is a completely different economic organism.
And when one of the richest, most technically sophisticated companies on Earth starts testing how far that model can go across 60,000 workers, this stops being a theory about the future of work.
The experiment is already running.
Ruben Nieuwenhuis retweeted
Elon just said that most neoclouds will eventually die.
And we might already be seeing it play out.
Even if AI is the biggest tech revolution of our lifetime, that doesn't mean every company building AI infrastructure will survive.
Some will thrive. Many will struggle. Most will be liquidated.
And we've seen this before during the internet boom.
The internet changed the world, but plenty of companies that built the infrastructure went bankrupt along the way.
This time won't be different.
Replying to @chamath
Pretty much.
As of the past few weeks, debt markets have almost entirely shut off access to money for any company that doesn’t have substantial revenue independent of AI data centers.
SpaceX closed $40B of debt for GPUs, but we’re investment grade and have Starlink & launch revenue.
That means the 200+ neoclouds are going to see guppy-level death and consolidation. Some will make it through, but not many.
Ruben Nieuwenhuis retweeted
Islam, radicaal-links en criminaliteit: wat de rellen in Frankrijk vertellen over de toekomst van Europa
Zolang de middenpartijen de immigratie niet willen inperken en de Europese basiswaarden weigeren te verdedigen, zal de maatschappelijke onrust toenemen. Immigratie destabiliseert de democratie. Het bestrijden van ongecontroleerde immigratie én het opkomen voor de westerse waarden zijn essentieel om democratieën weerbaar te houden.
ewmagazine.nl/buitenland/ach… via @ewmagazinenl
Ruben Nieuwenhuis retweeted

The Best@TheBestqueenxOct 23
West AsiaConnected via West Asia App StoreAccount-level information, not a live location or per-post device.
Two friends miss each other for a few seconds after placing a water tank. 😂😂
Ruben Nieuwenhuis retweeted
Dankzij AI moet het hele internet de komende tijd door een bijzonder zure appel heen. De afgelopen 48 uur waren vrees ik slechts een amuse. Het voordeel is dat AI soms al jaren openstaande gaten in veel gebruikte software ook loeisnel weet te dichten. Dat dan weer wel.
This is the most serious 48 hours in cybersecurity history.
"Black October" they're calling it
It seems every *hour* there's a new incident, that in a typical year, would be one of the biggest incidents of the *entire year*
SUMMARY OF THE LAST 48 HOURS:
YEAR-LEVEL INCIDENTS (In a typical year, these would be among the biggest incidents of the year):
1. PHP2Shell: a hole in the software behind ~70% of websites. Governments took sites offline.
2. eMudhra: the master keys that prove websites are real were cracked. One was the number 4.
3. California: data on every public school student since 2023 stolen, including disability status
4. Railway: hackers stole customers' secret keys from a hosting platform used by millions of developers
5. Zeabur: 321,810 accounts breached. The company is shutting down.
6. LiteLLM: an AI tool downloaded 3.4 million times a day was poisoned with a password stealer
7. GitLab: a 10-out-of-10 severity hole in every version since 2014
8. Cairn: criminals used an AI hacking tool to break into 100+ companies
9. Ahold Delhaize: hackers knocked the owner of Food Lion and Stop & Shop offline
10. Onamae: malware planted on up to 26,739 customer servers in Japan
MONTH-LEVEL INCIDENTS (In a typical month, these would be among the biggest incidents):
11. Signal: a bug could leave your mic and camera on after you hang up
12. NGINX: 3 critical holes in software running ~1/3 of websites
13. HTTP/3: a single connection can crash 7 of the 10 web server types tested
14. Plex: hackers breaking into home media servers
15. SafePay ransomware: FBI warns it has hit 600+ critical infrastructure organizations
16. Palo Alto: ransomware gangs breaking in through company firewalls
17. Bullhorn: platform used by 10,000+ companies knocked offline
18. Medi-Cal: 970,000 patients' data stolen
19. WordPress: hackers stole a plugin maker's keys and used them to plant backdoors on websites
20. AOMEI: backup software's update server handed out a backdoor
21. Meta Muse: Meta's AI agent exposed users' personal and business secrets
22. Tor: 333 relays hijacked to steal logins
23. TiDB Cloud: database company's cloud breached
Also serious:
24. State Bank of India: India's biggest bank confirms a data breach
25. OVHcloud: hackers slipped a password stealer into a cloud company's official tool
26. Siemens: a software hole being used to spread malware
27. North Korea: state hackers launch a new attack campaign on South Korea
Ruben Nieuwenhuis retweeted
As I have predicted here several times this year, the legacy financial system is not prepared for attacks by AI agents. I didn’t expect it would start so soon already. This could get very ugly.
SCOOP: Major U.S. banks are detecting unauthorized third-party AI agents inside customer accounts, including some attempting to take actions that appear to be independent of user instructions, sources told Axios.
The findings have alarmed banking executives, who are racing to restrict access to their systems as AI moves at a velocity faster than financial institutions can respond, multiple industry and bank executives told Axios.
Several banks are now preparing for worst-case and even “day after” scenarios, including how to rapidly secure or restore customer accounts if things go wrong, the people said.
Several bank executives told Axios they're struggling to distinguish between human users and AI agents. One executive said banks also struggle to determine whether agents are authorized by customers or potentially operating without their permission, more akin to rogue agent behavior.
Read my latest for Axios here: axios.com/2026/10/22/ai-agen…
Ruben Nieuwenhuis retweeted
Bij @pauwendewit legt Halsema met veel woorden uit waarom ze op 7 oktober niet kon ingrijpen. Maar de wezenlijke vraag blijft onbeantwoord. Handel je als burgemeester uitsluitend naar de letter van de wet, of ook naar de geest ervan? En welke bestuurlijke ruimte benut je dan?
Ruben Nieuwenhuis retweeted
⚡️Musk is attempting something far more consequential than a $10.7 billion giveaway.
He’s creating a generation of Americans with a direct financial interest in the success of one of the country’s most strategically important companies.
The genius of the structure is the distribution. One share per child creates millions of individual ownership relationships while leaving concentrated corporate control largely intact. A $146 gift has limited immediate economic significance. Its potential power comes from what happens afterward.
Every SpaceX milestone becomes personal. Every increase in valuation raises the value of an asset held by American families. And every political battle involving SpaceX now has the potential to become a debate over the financial interests of those families.
Musk is attempting to convert corporate success into a form of distributed political legitimacy.
But the mechanism goes deeper.
SpaceX already operates in sectors central to American strategic power: launch infrastructure, satellite communications, and defense. Its relationship with Washington will become increasingly consequential as space infrastructure expands.
By distributing ownership across American children, Musk would begin aligning three constituencies that historically had different interests: shareholders, the federal government, and ordinary households.
That alignment becomes especially powerful if SpaceX continues appreciating over decades. Children who receive their first share could eventually become adults whose earliest investment was tied to America’s space infrastructure.
Musk is trying to turn SpaceX from a company Americans depend on into a company Americans feel they own.
And the deeper consequence is the precedent.
Private control of critical national infrastructure becomes easier to defend when millions of citizens have been given a financial stake in its success.
If executed, this would be an unusually ambitious attempt to transform concentrated corporate wealth into mass ownership without surrendering the underlying concentration of power.
BREAKING: Elon Musk says he will donate one share of SpaceX stock, $SPCX, to every American child in 2027.
There are currently ~73 million children in the US and SpaceX is trading at $146/share.
This makes Elon Musk’s donation worth $10.7 billion based on current share price.
Ruben Nieuwenhuis retweeted
I’ve spent a few days thinking about the Tesla Roadster reveal and landed somewhere I haven’t seen much discussion. I’m neither a Tesla fanboy nor a Tesla hater. And I couldn’t care less whether what we saw technically qualifies as a flying car. Three takeaways: (1) The risk of that live demonstration going horribly wrong was real. Almost no CEO would willingly expose their company to that kind of public humiliation for a product with so little financial upside. Elon did. (2) That willingness to attempt the seemingly impossible is what makes Tesla special. It’s also arguably Elon’s greatest contribution to America. He’s helped bring back something we’ve lost. The American spirit of chasing big scary ideas that most people think are impossible. That mindset is spreading across a new generation of founders and its long term impact on America’s future could dwarf anything Tesla ever sells. I think this is deeply underappreciated. (3) Can we just acknowledge how insanely cool that moment was? We’ve reached a strange place culturally where even extraordinary feats of human ingenuity immediately become arguments about why they don’t count. Not everything needs to be a debate. Sometimes we should just be able to stand back together and marvel at what humans are capable of. I’ve been both bullish and critical of Tesla’s ambitions over the years. But watching Elon and his team push the boundaries of what’s possible reminds me why I’m glad we have him. Whether the Roadster ever makes Tesla a dollar or impacts $TSLA stock price is almost beside the point. We need more people willing to risk failure in pursuit of things the rest of us think are impossible. Because when they succeed we all win.
Ruben Nieuwenhuis retweeted
Watching the aftermath of yesterday’s chaos across France, and today’s renewed violence and my heart breaks for the thousands of shops and restaurants owners who lost everything. These are good, hard-working people. They’ve been completely abandoned by their own government.
Ruben Nieuwenhuis retweeted
Pijnlijk om het prachtige Parijs zo in vuur en vlam te zien. Extreemlinks, dat geweld en vernieling als verzet romantiseert, beweert te strijden voor een betere samenleving, maar laat vooral zien hoe destructief ideologische verblinding kan zijn.
Terug bij Place de La Republique in #Parijs. De Intersport winkel is compleet leeggehaald. Het plein ligt vol met schoenendozen en klerenhangers.
Ruben Nieuwenhuis retweeted
Hundreds of French students have been injured and thousands arrested in protests across the country. We explore how Marine Le Pen, the leader of the hard right, and Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the leader of the hard left, could benefit from the unrest: bit.ly/47Ju9Mb
Ruben Nieuwenhuis retweeted
Omtzigt heeft gelijk, al sneeuwt zijn kernpunt onder tegen de tikkende klok van de radio. Het gebrek aan visie over waar we met het land naar toe willen gaat ons nog goed in de problemen brengen. nporadio1.nl/nieuws/binnenla…
Ruben Nieuwenhuis retweeted
A retired NASA engineer who had worked on the Space Shuttle program for 25 years was hired by SpaceX at age 62. He described the first week as the most disorienting experience of his professional life.
At NASA, a design change required 3 meetings, 2 committees, a review board, and 6 to 18 months of documentation. At SpaceX, his new supervisor said "if it works, build it. If it doesn't, change it by Friday."
He sat at his desk after the first day and called his wife. He told her he felt like a man who had been swimming with ankle weights for 25 years and someone just cut them off. He could move. He could decide. He could build something in the morning and test it in the afternoon. The constraint that he had accepted as the nature of aerospace engineering turned out to be the nature of bureaucracy.
Within 6 months he had contributed to more design iterations than he had completed in his last 5 years at NASA. Not because he was working harder. Because the time between having an idea and testing the idea collapsed from months to hours. The same brain. The same knowledge. A different operating system.
He described a specific moment where he proposed a modification to a Raptor engine component. At NASA, the proposal would have entered a queue. At SpaceX, the modification was machined by the end of the day and tested by the following morning. He watched his idea become a physical object in 18 hours. At NASA, 18 hours would not have been enough to schedule the first meeting to discuss whether to schedule a meeting.
He told an interviewer: "I didn't get smarter when I went to SpaceX. I got faster. The intelligence was always there. The system was in the way."
The difference between SpaceX and NASA is not talent. NASA has extraordinary talent. The difference is the time between a thought and a test. SpaceX compresses it. NASA elongates it. The same engineer produces 10x more at SpaceX than at NASA because the bottleneck was never the engineer. It was the meetings about the meetings about the work.




























