FADE HIM AGAIN 📉 🏀 PK Dish #3 (10/24) 🍽️ 𝐉𝐚𝐥𝐞𝐧 𝐆𝐫𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐔𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐑 𝟖.𝟓 𝐑𝐞𝐛 + 𝐀𝐬𝐭 Cooked w/ @SC_FFB 🤝 @AltLineDemon LIKE IF TAILING ❤️ - Green’s role in Phoenix is still built much more around scoring than creating for others or crashing the glass. He averaged just 3.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists last season and has stayed under this line in 8 of his last 12 games while averaging only 7.0 R+A. In the season opener, Green finished with just 2 rebounds and 3 assists despite remaining involved offensively and attempting 12 shots. - Since joining Phoenix, Green is averaging only 5.5 potential assists and 6.2 rebound chances per game when sharing the floor with Devin Booker and Dillon Brooks. Those opportunity numbers already make it difficult for a score-first guard to consistently reach 9 combined rebounds and assists, and Phoenix has added even more competition for those stats. Miles Bridges gives them another versatile wing who can handle, rebound and create, while their active 7’2 rookie center adds another strong presence on the glass. - Green’s play style fits the under as well. He is naturally a score-first guard who tends to finish possessions rather than consistently create them for teammates. Booker remains the primary offensive initiator, while Green is often attacking closeouts, getting downhill or looking for his own shot. He can have a productive scoring game without coming close to this number in the peripheral categories. - Golden State has played at a bottom-10 pace through its first two games after finishing 11th-slowest in pace last season. Green has stayed under this line in 10 of 15 games against teams in the bottom half of the league in pace, and a slower game naturally reduces the total number of possessions available for rebounds and assists. - Golden State’s smaller lineups create some risk for extra guard rebounds, but Green still needs 9 combined rebounds and assists to beat us. He only had 5 RA in the season opener against Portland, and with Booker controlling most of the creation, Bridges and Brooks competing for secondary opportunities and Phoenix adding more size around him, we don’t see enough rebound or assist volume for a score-first player like Green to consistently get there. We like him to stay under this line against Golden State. Best Odds: -139 DraftKings 📊 Data via @PropsMadness Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase! 📣 Turn notifications on for daily prop bets! #NBA #NBAPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX

CASH THE 1.5u MNF POTD 💰 ✅ Kyren Williams over 2.5 Receptions ✅ Cashes despite the Rams insisting on giving Corum targets too, never a doubt @SC_FFB 🤝 DROP A ❤️ IF YOU TAILED!

MNF DISH OF THE DAY 🏈 🍽️ 𝐊𝐲𝐫𝐞𝐧 𝐖𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐚𝐦𝐬 𝐎𝐕𝐄𝐑 𝟐.𝟓 𝐑𝐞𝐜𝐞𝐩𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 Cooked w/ @SC_FFB 🤝 LIKE IF TAILING ❤️ - Williams has become much more involved in the Rams passing game this season, catching 21 of 25 targets through four games while clearing this line in 3/4. His receptions have gone 3, 2, 6 and 10, and the recent spike is being backed by a legitimate receiving role rather than just a few random checkdowns. - Williams is running 25.3 routes per game, which ranks in the 96th percentile among RBs, while earning a target on 24.7% of those routes and commanding a 15.2% target share. He has an 84% catch rate with a 3.8-yard aDOT, so most of his work is coming on short, high-percentage throws out of the backfield. That is exactly the type of usage we want when we only need three catches. - Buffalo has allowed at least one opposing RB to record 3+ receptions in every game this season. Jahmyr Gibbs caught 6 passes against them, while David Montgomery, Keaton Mitchell and Rhamondre Stevenson each finished with 3. The Bills rank 28th against RB receptions and 30th against RB targets, giving Stafford another reason to keep using Kyren underneath. - The game environment should keep the full Rams offense involved as well, with Los Angeles and Buffalo carrying one of the highest totals on the slate. Kyren is coming off 13 targets against Philadelphia, and while we obviously don’t expect that type of volume every week, even significant regression still leaves him with a realistic 4 to 6 target role. - Kyren’s receiving involvement has clearly grown this season, and his shallow route profile gives Stafford an easy outlet throughout the game. In a strong passing environment against a defense allowing consistent RB receiving production, we like him to go over this line and I am laddering him to 4+ receptions at +145 for .5u Played: -144 Courtside / DraftKings 📊 Data via @PropsMadness Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase! 📣 Turn notifications on for daily prop bets! #NFL #NFLPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX