I build and share quantitative models that *attempt* to predict future S&P 500 returns. All models are wrong, but some are useful.
Seattle, WA
Joined June 2022
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S&P 500 Signals retweeted
Trump is reportedly planning to restart war with Iran after the election.
Some of us have been briefed on the war plan. And while I cannot disclose any details, I can say this: the plan is insane. It will not achieve objectives and will set off a new cycle of escalation.
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
Nomura desk: Levered ETF selling now $41.2B , 2nd highest on record - Only Jun 5th 2026 was higher at -$51B
I look at Fidelity customer orders every day and read JP Morgan’s Retail Radar each week. No one wants to own anything but tech.
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
Mag 7 with DeMark Sequential sell Countdown 13 at the top. Now with downside Countdown in progress - more on Hedge Fund Telemetry
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
Higher AI adoption is now associated with weaker employment growth and higher unemployment, per Goldman Sachs
$SOXL Good lord
THIS IS MIND-BLOWING:
The 3x leveraged long US semiconductor ETF, $SOXL, posted +$6.1 BILLION in inflows this week, the largest weekly intake EVER.
This is DOUBLE the previous weekly record inflow set in June this year.
This brings month-to-date inflows into $SOXL up to +$5.1 billion, on track for its 2nd-biggest monthly inflows ever recorded.
Meanwhile, $SOXL prices dropped -33% this week, its largest weekly decline since March 2025.
The level of speculation in this market is insane.
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
U.S. Senator Chris Murphy: “… Some of us have been briefed on the war plan. And while I cannot disclose any details, I can say this: the plan is insane…”
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
FUN FACT: Today’s Binance hack is the largest robbery in human history. Current damage up to $6.1B. God help us all.
Stealing $1.7 billion, pretty incredible.
(WSJ) - Hackers appeared to have plundered at least $1.7 billion Thursday from Binance in what would be the largest-ever cryptocurrency heist.
@WSJ
wsj.com/finance/currencies/b…
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
BREAKING: Trump has just cancelled all rallies this weekend, per NBC News.
Those include his Saturday rally in Kansas, and his Sunday rally in Dubuque, Iowa, just 5 days before the midterms.
Only Daytona Beach tomorrow remains, with no events announced for Monday.
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
BREAKING: Reports that billions of dollars worth of crypto have been hacked from the world's largest exchange Binance
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
Current and former official says the administration plans to strike #Iran following US elections next week. Aircraft are moving into position. MOAB use expected.
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
BREAKING: Binance founder Changpeng Zhao @cz_binance confirms Binance has been hacked.
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
There are unconfirmed reports across X right now that Binance has possibly been hacked. No official confirmation. Reporting by Grok:
