College football projections, player trends & matchup reports. Free Tuesday recap + Friday game plan. This week’s free report ↓
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33–23 ATS (58.9%). Week 6, final.
Premium model graded across 56 games with recorded pregame DraftKings lines.
Official card: 3–1
✅ South Carolina +10.5
✅ Western Michigan -14
✅ Air Force -7.5 (Rule 5)
❌ Vanderbilt +9.5
Florida by 2.3 is our projection. South Carolina +10.5 is our pick.
Western Michigan -14 and Vanderbilt +9.5 round out the card, with Air Force -7.5 as our separate Rule 5 pick.
Which side would you fade?
ALT Saturday Index Week 6 picks for October 10, 2026, with each team’s logo. SI picks: South Carolina +10.5, Western Michigan -14, and Vanderbilt +9.5. Separately labeled Rule 5 pick: Air Force -7.5. These are recorded selections; Air Force was recorded October 8 and the three SI picks October 10.
Baylor and NC State both fired their coaches this weekend. Two Power 4 jobs are open before November.
Which one would you rather take?
Five ranked teams lost to unranked teams yesterday: BYU, Texas Tech, Tennessee, Iowa and USC. All five were on the road.
Who falls the furthest in the new poll?
Cincinnati 37, No. 8 Texas Tech 24. Final.
Texas Tech came in unbeaten. Cincinnati ran for 255 yards and took control of this game in the second quarter.
GameDay is in Salt Lake City this morning for Houston at Utah.
Houston has converted 54 of 88 third downs this season. Utah's defense has allowed just 25 of 82.
One of those numbers has to give tonight. Which one?
ALT Houston's offense has converted 54 of 88 third downs, 61.4%. Utah's defense has allowed 25 conversions in 82 attempts, 30.5%. Houston plays at Utah Saturday, Oct. 24 at 10:15 PM ET on ESPN. Stats through Week 7.
Duke wins at Virginia 19-16. Running back Nate Sheppard threw the go-ahead touchdown with 1:14 left, then Duke picked off Pribula on fourth down.
The four games where our model and the betting market disagree most this Saturday.
Market numbers are DraftKings moneylines with the vig taken out.
UTSA at Tulane, 8:00 ET, ESPNU
Market: UTSA 56%
Our model: Tulane 54%
UTSA is 6-1 and gets 6.5 yards per play. Tulane is only 3-3, but it allows 21.7 points a game to UTSA's 27.0.
Is a 6-1 team getting too much credit on the road?
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Hard to argue with him. Keeping a team locked in from August to December is tougher than it's ever been, and you can see it every Saturday this year.
Who's been the most consistent team in the country so far?
“People are struggling to sustain their intensity.”
Nick Saban discusses the new era of college football on the @PatMcAfeeShow 👀
Four games we're watching Saturday.
No. 19 Texas gets a 55% win chance at home against No. 7 Ole Miss. Indiana is at 67% at Michigan. No. 10 Utah is at 75% against No. 14 Houston.
Which of these feels wrong to you?
Kentucky is 6-1 and No. 12 in the AP poll.
Our ratings have them 39th.
That's a big gap. Here's the case both ways before Vanderbilt comes to Lexington Saturday night.
The case against: the offense can't stay on the field.
Kentucky converts 29% of its third downs. Nobody in the Power 4 is worse.
And two of the wins came by one point in overtime, against South Carolina and LSU.