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Why Aurora Innovation $AUR is a 10x opportunity:
Aurora is running driverless Class 8 trucks on U.S. public roads.
Through June 30, 2026 it logged ~440,000 driverless miles, 100% on-time, zero Aurora Driver attributed collisions & 6 million plus cumulative commercial miles.
Not so good for NeoClouds:
AI infrastructure contracts are becoming less ābankableā
Microsoft is reportedly allowing a multiyear Oracle AI capacity agreement to wind down because the rented infrastructure built around older Nvidia GPUs no longer suited its requirements.
Microsoft is also tightening oversight of projects involving IREN, Nebius and Nscale; requested network changes have already delayed IREN capacity tied to more than $4 billion of targeted annualized revenue.
Contracted backlog therefore cannot automatically be treated as timely revenue or secure collateral.
$ORCL $MSFT $NBIS $IREN $CRWV $NVDA
$ORCL : negative for utilization, customer concentration and the credibility of long-dated remaining-performance obligations, although Oracle says demand remains strong, including for older GPUs.
$NVDA : mixed. Faster GPU obsolescence supports recurring upgrade demand but reduces the collateral value of older GPUs securing neocloud loans.
$NBIS / $CRWV : raises scrutiny of delivery milestones, change-order risk, covenants and whether customer commitments can be delayed without equivalent compensation.
Replying to @NVIDIAAI
Tampa General Hospital is adding a safety check before AI requests go out.
With @PalantirTech, the team is post-training NVIDIA Nemotron to check LLM calls for prompt injection, potential patient data leaks and requests that shouldnāt go through.
Hear how it works.
Will we ever fill this gap at ~$7 on $ABCL ?
Remember not all gaps get filled but most of them doā¦
#abcellera
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Druckenmiller: Sizing Is Most of the Equation, and I Turn the Dial Up When I'm Hot
So yeah, I would also say people ask me what I learned from George Soros. I thought when I went there, I was gonna learn what made the yen and the Deutschmark go up and down and that kind of thing. No, what I learned was sizing is probably 70 or 80% of the equation. It's not whether you're right or wrong, it's how much you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong.
I've also found as an investor, I believe in streaks. You see it in baseball, you see it in everything else, I see it in investing. Sometimes you're seeing the ball, sometimes you're not. One of my number one jobs is to know whether I'm hot or cold. And when I'm hot, I'm supposed to turn the dial way up, not say, okay, I'm up 40% this year, let's go, this will look good at the end of the year, go take a break. No, you gotta make hay while you're hot. And then when you're cold, the last thing you should do is try and make big bets to get back to even. You should tone yourself down.
So believe it or not, that's part of all your eggs in one basket. Not only do I have to see the investment that really excites me, I also have to see myself sort of being in a good trading rhythm.
People out there are stealing Nvidia chips and youāre bearish, really ? š
$NVDA š„
Creating a list of best market analysts to follow on X
Some names in that list -
@RyanDetrick
@MarkNewtonCMT
@markminervini
@RealJimChanos
Let me know if you follow someone who has been impressive in gauging the markets from both fundamental and technical perspectives.
$QQQ must close above $661.50 for any signs of recovery
Invest with Uncle Scrooge retweeted
JUST IN: Anthropicās expected IPO valuation has fallen to $1.2Tā$1.3T in discussions among prospective investors, down from estimates as high as $2T in early October, Bloomberg reports.
Itās pre-IPO perpetual, which is tradable on Liquid, implies a valuation closer to $1.7 Trillion but is down heavily over the past month.
Invest with Uncle Scrooge retweeted
TSMC WEIGHS MAKING 3D DRAM AT NVIDIA'S REQUEST
$TSM has reportedly begun drawing up plans to manufacture advanced 3D DRAM chips as AI-driven memory shortages push chip designers to seek additional supply, per The Information.
Unlike conventional DRAM, 3D DRAM stacks memory cells vertically to increase density.
The move could put TSMC in direct competition with Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron.
No production timeline has been set. TSMC is considering building new fabs or converting an existing facility, but says its focus remains on its core logic foundry business.
Invest with Uncle Scrooge retweeted
The disconnect between public perception and corporate America on Ai is stark. Iāve never seen such a strong consensus of optimism from businesses about a single technology. Their top priority right now is investing and implementing ai in their business to improve productivity and growth
"What we just witnessed was an AI earthquake": Voters revolt against tech at polls axios.com/2026/11/04/ai-dataā¦
$ORCL is extremely attractive at current price of $115 - taking into account both fundamentals and technicals
This is a monthly chart going back to June, 2024
Please read this before buying the dip !
IMO, AI investment landscape is undergoing a major shift heading into 2027.
Businesses no longer prioritize the smartest AI models. Instead companies are focusing on cost optimization and finding cheaper alternatives to expensive frontier models like OpenAI and Anthropic.
The AI model has become a commodity "plug-in" because businesses now view models as interchangeable components and the value is shifting towards the platforms and infrastructure they plug into specifically those that own the data, workflow, and security rules.
LOSERS: Frontier AI labs facing margin pressure and "Neoclouds" that offer nothing but basic GPU rental services. $NBIS $CRWV $IREN
WINNERS: Large cloud providers and database companies (such as Palantir, Oracle, Amazon, Microsoft, Google) that act as the āCONTROL PLANEā routing tasks and locking in customers through data persistence and proprietary workflow management.
Next time you invest in a company (or buy the dip right now), ask yourself the following questions:
1. Does it hold the customer's proprietary data ? $PLTR $SNOW $ORCL $MSFT $GOOGL $AMZN $VEEV $NOW $CRM etc.
2. Does it control the "router" that decides which AI model handles a task (decision making layer) ? $PLTR $SNOW $AMZN etc.
3. Does the company benefit as AI usage becomes cheaper and more widespread ? $META $RDDT $AMZN etc.
If youāre getting worried about Data Center moratoriums, please go through the below post.
Going to try this again today... since Michael (who runs Cleanview) has a similar view on once you pass vertical construction.
Aterioās Nov 5 snapshot lists 86.7 GW of US data centers under construction. 50.0 GW is at vertical construction or beyond; 22.5 GW is above 75% complete! Aterioās first-steel milestone is 20%; above 75% generally means late equipment installation and fit-out.
Big blue wave states that people are concerned about - TX, GA, OH, IA, WI and PA account for ~45% of US construction and ~60% of that capacity has already reached vertical or beyond!
Ok what about the counties with passed, binding November restrictions? They contain <5% of US construction. Even still, within that footprint, 80% is vertical or beyond and 53% is above 75% complete. Whole-county totals include sites outside the voting municipality.
TLDR: There is already a large physical buildout to energize that is ALREADY in motion and are very large 20+ GW annual figures (mid-to-high teens GW 2026 +10GW 2025) that max out FTM and consider some BTM for line of sight in 2027 and 2028. Remaining power and permit approvals can affect delivery timing but that is not stopping or being cancelled at high levels.
You can keep freaking out on about 2028+ tbf, but there's plenty to keep hands full through 2028 on just the active pipe alone. Dems and Rs are proposing a lot of the same data center guidelines and I guarantee there'll be compromise before then vs. blanket moratoriums/cancellations some are concerned about. So new permits will be impacted but there will be reasonable paths forward. The sky is not falling out if you were underwriting reasonable numbers.
If you were underwriting much higher than that, you were always contemplating BTM + a lot of new gas generation in a way that already required some aggressive assumptions - at least to historical cadence. We shall see about that. On with your days...
Reuters reported that SoftBankās five-year credit-default-swap (CDS) spread had increased by 22 basis points to 466 basis points, its highest level since October 2022.
SoftBank has approximately $64.6 billion invested in OpenAI and owns approximately 90% of Arm Holdings.
Reuters also highlighted increased borrowing to finance SoftBankās AI investments & the postponement of OpenAIās anticipated public offering until 2027.
Analysis:
This is a significant development because credit-market concerns are extending beyond smaller AI infrastructure operators.
SoftBankās subsequent four-year CDS high provides another observable indication of deteriorating financing sentiment across AI-related businesses.
SoftBank shares were quoted at approximately „3,611, down 9.27% in the latest available Japanese trading data.

























