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CEO of Dehvine Publishing | Author

Pluto
Joined April 2010
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The NHC has now marked the next wave off the African coast with a 10% development chance. Tis the season!
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Hurricane Erin rapidly intensifying to an upgraded Category 4 with 145 mph winds. Currently 120 miles NE of Anguilla, moving WNW at 20 mph.
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Watching today's far Atlantic wave. Models have teased idea that 'if' it survives enough this week it could have a window to try and spin next week. EURO now sniffing what the EURO AI has not backed down from. CMC and ICON slowly showing. Models here from tropicaltidbits.com. No necessarily 'developed' just spinnage in the air. Now if we get a high build in back over the Atlantic could push 'it' west. And into Gulf even as a few teased. Or curve harmless back NE before Florida. Nothing is official with any of this. But trend is interesting enough to point out with these operational runs. EURO AI has been solid on that idea for days. Keeping one eye open. spaghettimodels.com
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Yet another insane Tropical Weather Outlook for the Pacific.
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Finally, the CMC has development in the SW Atlantic and brings it north to New England! Lots to watch over the next week.
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Good morning! Some really interesting model runs last night. The 0z ICON develops the tropical wave in the SW Atlantic for the first time. Below image is 7 days from now.
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There is a marginal excessive rainfall risk today/tonight all along the Texas Gulf Coast into the Brazos Valley and East Texas. A couple localized flash floods may occur across the marginal risk region. The tropical blob responsible for this influx of moisture from the eastern Gulf is only 10% likely to become a tropical depression/storm. Keep those umbrellas and ponchos handy in Houston! #txwx #texas #flood
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UPDATE: The National Weather Service in Tampa is calling this "straight-line winds of 45-50 mph" today in Desoto County. Watch the debris launch vertically at :16 in second video. Thoughts?
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18z Euro ensembles are seeing #93L for sure tonight. Pretty consistent track across Florida and towards Louisiana.
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We have our first spaghetti models for #93L. A pretty wide spread on the opening run.
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🧠 Mindset Blocks That Are Keeping Adjusters Stuck teapaw.org/i/broadcasts/1BRJjmnOX…
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