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London
Joined March 2021
How did we uncover the secrets of a great traitor? 🕵️‍♀️ After The Traitors final, we ran a conjoint experiment: we showed people pairs of hypothetical traitors, asked who’d be better, and repeated hundreds of times. The result? A deep dive into what viewers value most. 🤔✨
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What makes a good traitor? 👀 We asked, you answered: #Traitors viewers say Deceptiveness and Charisma are the ultimate must-haves. Forget strategy—it's all about the mind games. 🕵️‍♂️✨
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Has Reform surged among young voters since the 2024 election? Recent YouGov polling shows a 14% lead over the Conservatives, but a closer look reveals their gains among young voters are in line with other age groups—and smaller than among the oldest.
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In fact, from 2019 to 2024 Reform saw its smallest gains among young voters, with older groups driving its growth.
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Reform edged out the Conservatives among 18-24s in 2024, and polling suggests they are increasing their advantage. But this is not definitive evidence that youth voters are disproportionately shifting to the anti-establishment right.
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In 2024, 18-24s made up a smaller share of right-wing voters (Conservative + Reform/UKIP) than in any of the past four elections, showing no significant shift toward the right among young voters. 📊
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Are young voters leading the charge for Reform? Despite reports of a rightward shift among 18-24s globally, UK polling paints a different picture. In 2024, turnout dropped, and both left and right lost ground as more young people stayed home. We dive into the evidence 👇
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RFK Jr. would get 6.5% of the vote and, although no states change hands when he is added, Biden’s lead in key battleground states increases, particularly in Arizona, Nevada and Wisconsin.
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The results show that the election will likely be decided by a handful of votes in key battleground states: if Trump were to overturn Pennsylvania alone, he would be the one who wins a second term in the White House.
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Our latest MRP model projects 287 electoral college votes for #Biden against 251 for #Trump, with the current president leading by less than 1% in Arizona, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
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