Sports 🫡 | @SleeperPicksHQ Partner (CODE: MUSTAFA)
Joined December 2016
- Tweets4K
- Following466
- Followers5.3K
- Likes4.7K
o12.5 ✅
o15.5 (+237) ✅
Whatever
🌟🏈 Cam Skattebo Rushing Ladder 🏈🌟
#RaiseHail vs #BigBlue
1.5u - Cam Skattebo o12.5 rush attempts (-120)
0.5u - Cam Skattebo o15.5 rush attempts (+237)
0.25u - Cam Skattebo o19.5 rush attempts (+910)
All on #Draftkings
This number is three carries lower than the first time these teams met, when books hung 15.5. The backfield around Skattebo has only gotten thinner since. Najee Harris was cut on October 20 and Tyrone Tracy went on IR a week later, which leaves Devin Singletary and a couple of practice squad call ups. Singletary got his shot in Philly and turned 21 carries into 31 yards, and that kind of tape doesn't take work away from anybody.
When Skattebo has been the lead back this year he's averaging 16.3 carries and has cleared 12.5 in five of six. The two misses came in the Rams loss and the Washington tie, where Winston threw 54 passes chasing a 14 point deficit. In the four Giants wins he went 18, 20, 18 and 17. New York is a home favorite with a 42.5 total, and the early forecast at MetLife calls for a 94% chance of rain, so the script and the conditions both point toward the ground game.
Washington's run defense looks fine on the surface at 4.0 yards per carry, but it ranks 31st in EPA per rush and 31st in success rate allowed. Opposing backs have averaged roughly 20 carries a game against them. They give up 5.53 yards per carry on inside zone and play two high shells 69.6% of the time, which means light boxes for a back who lives between the tackles. Last game out in Houston he forced six missed tackles and ran for 124 on 17.
1
569
Got INSANE value on these
o12.5 —> Got at -120, now -360
o15.5 —> Got at +237, now -123
o19.5 —> Got at +910, now +287!!!
Go be great Skat 🔥🔥🔥
🌟🏈 Cam Skattebo Rushing Ladder 🏈🌟
#RaiseHail vs #BigBlue
1.5u - Cam Skattebo o12.5 rush attempts (-120)
0.5u - Cam Skattebo o15.5 rush attempts (+237)
0.25u - Cam Skattebo o19.5 rush attempts (+910)
All on #Draftkings
This number is three carries lower than the first time these teams met, when books hung 15.5. The backfield around Skattebo has only gotten thinner since. Najee Harris was cut on October 20 and Tyrone Tracy went on IR a week later, which leaves Devin Singletary and a couple of practice squad call ups. Singletary got his shot in Philly and turned 21 carries into 31 yards, and that kind of tape doesn't take work away from anybody.
When Skattebo has been the lead back this year he's averaging 16.3 carries and has cleared 12.5 in five of six. The two misses came in the Rams loss and the Washington tie, where Winston threw 54 passes chasing a 14 point deficit. In the four Giants wins he went 18, 20, 18 and 17. New York is a home favorite with a 42.5 total, and the early forecast at MetLife calls for a 94% chance of rain, so the script and the conditions both point toward the ground game.
Washington's run defense looks fine on the surface at 4.0 yards per carry, but it ranks 31st in EPA per rush and 31st in success rate allowed. Opposing backs have averaged roughly 20 carries a game against them. They give up 5.53 yards per carry on inside zone and play two high shells 69.6% of the time, which means light boxes for a back who lives between the tackles. Last game out in Houston he forced six missed tackles and ran for 124 on 17.
2
1,175
🌟🏈 Cam Skattebo Rushing Ladder 🏈🌟
#RaiseHail vs #BigBlue
1.5u - Cam Skattebo o12.5 rush attempts (-120)
0.5u - Cam Skattebo o15.5 rush attempts (+237)
0.25u - Cam Skattebo o19.5 rush attempts (+910)
All on #Draftkings
This number is three carries lower than the first time these teams met, when books hung 15.5. The backfield around Skattebo has only gotten thinner since. Najee Harris was cut on October 20 and Tyrone Tracy went on IR a week later, which leaves Devin Singletary and a couple of practice squad call ups. Singletary got his shot in Philly and turned 21 carries into 31 yards, and that kind of tape doesn't take work away from anybody.
When Skattebo has been the lead back this year he's averaging 16.3 carries and has cleared 12.5 in five of six. The two misses came in the Rams loss and the Washington tie, where Winston threw 54 passes chasing a 14 point deficit. In the four Giants wins he went 18, 20, 18 and 17. New York is a home favorite with a 42.5 total, and the early forecast at MetLife calls for a 94% chance of rain, so the script and the conditions both point toward the ground game.
Washington's run defense looks fine on the surface at 4.0 yards per carry, but it ranks 31st in EPA per rush and 31st in success rate allowed. Opposing backs have averaged roughly 20 carries a game against them. They give up 5.53 yards per carry on inside zone and play two high shells 69.6% of the time, which means light boxes for a back who lives between the tackles. Last game out in Houston he forced six missed tackles and ran for 124 on 17.
My lay tonight for #BillsMafia vs #SKOL ⤵️
Risking 0.5 units (+630 #Draftkings)
Link 🔗 in comments 🤝
LIKE if tailing! ❤️
3
4
921
🌟 DJ Moore x Justin Jefferson 🌟
$25 GIVEAWAY to TWO people if the whole ladder smacks 🔥🔥🔥
Just like this post to enter ❤️
0.35u - Jettas 100+ Rec Yards + Moore 5 Receptions (+842 @Novig)
0.25u - Jettas 120+ Rec Yards + Moore 6 Receptions (+2470 #Draftkings)
0.15u - Jettas 140+ Rec Yards + Moore 7 Receptions (+6502 Novig)
#BillsMafia vs #SKOL
Love these spots for both of these players 🤝
1
2
1,895
🏈 Monday Night Football Prop 🏈
1.15u - Jefferson (MIN) o23.5 Longest Reception (-115 MGM)
#BillsMafia vs #SKOL
This prop comes down to Carson Wentz being under center tonight. Since the start of last season, Jefferson has played seven games with Wentz throwing to him, and his longest catch in those games went 36, 29, 38, 40, 17, 39 and 30. That's 6 of 7 over this number. In the 16 games with anyone else at QB he cleared it twice, and Kyler Murray's four full starts this year topped out at 22.
The usage backs it up. With Wentz playing, Jefferson gets 31.5% of the targets and 45.2% of the air yards at 2.52 yards per route run. Murray ranks 25th in adjusted air yards per attempt, and a third of Jefferson's targets were off the mark in Detroit last week. Jauan Jennings is out too, so the volume funnels to 18.
Buffalo is a good spot for it. They're 26th in EPA per pass and have allowed 1,078 yards and 11 TDs to receivers in seven games, and they give up a league high 22.2 fantasy points per game to WR1s. The second half is where it falls apart: 12.4 yards per completion allowed (25th) and a league high 162.1 passing yards per game after halftime. They played the most Cover 4 in the league early in the year, which is the look Jefferson beats on digs and crossers.
The man/blitz plan that shut down Baltimore in Week 8 came after Lamar left on the first snap, so it was against backups. If they run it again, Jefferson is one on one with Christian Benford, who allowed a 106.6 passer rating over his first five games.
1
1
1,071
