TS Advisory (@TSadvisoryApS) profile picture

TS Advisory

@TSadvisoryApS

Commenting on global capital markets, stocks, commodities, energy and politics. Trying to be consistently NOT stupid with my money

 Copenhagen
tsadvisoryaps.substack.com/?utm_campaign=pub&utm_medium=web
Joined May 2024
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Ahead of the Q3-2026 earnings release for the $maersk stock - here is a link to our current assessment of shareprice, underlying earnings and actionable thresholds tsadvisoryaps.substack.com/p…
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Looks like $AMBA is going green 🚀🚀🚀 - something is cooking
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$AMBA is going up against a very red market - any news anywhere
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1/3 🇳🇴 Norsk Hydro ($NHY): Earnings recovery Higher aluminium prices are driving an earnings recovery. Q3 2026 adjusted EBITDA rose 52% YoY to NOK 9.1bn, although the result fell short of consensus. The key question: how sustainable is the recovery?
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2/3 📊 Valuation At NOK 67.40, Norsk Hydro trades ~39% below our NOK 109.7 buy threshold. Our DCF fair value is NOK 129.1, implying ~92% upside. The market appears to be pricing in significant caution despite the earnings recovery.
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3/3 🔑 What matters next? The investment case hinges on aluminium prices. Sustained strength could support earnings and unlock significant upside. A reversal could undermine the recovery. Our view: BUY, but monitor aluminium prices closely. #NorskHydro #Aluminium #ValueInvesti
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TS Advisory retweeted
CN Wire (@Sino_Market) profile picture
CN Wire
@Sino_MarketOct 23
🇨🇳 🚢The Shanghai Containerized Freight Index rose by 0.4% w/w, to 3,681.34. $SCFI #Shipping #Shanghai #China
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$NHY delivered quarterly results today - on the surface it looks ok, share price is down significantly - I will run the number and share actionable thresholds in my substack as soon as they are done open.substack.com/pub/tsadvi…
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TS Advisory retweeted
ROICRHODES (@ROICRHODES) profile picture
ROICRHODES@ROICRHODESOct 22
Drewry rates keep grinding higher! WC $8,007/FEU, up 250% y/y and at a 12-mo high. EC holding above $10k at $10,166, back up after last week's dip. The pricing power in container shipping right now is on the TP. $ZIM 🔥🔥🔥
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Drewry World Container index i up 100 USD to 4585 $MAersk $ZIM
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TS Advisory retweeted
Per Hansen (@PerNordnet) profile picture
Per Hansen
@PerNordnetOct 22
Konsensusforventninger til Novo Nordisk 2026 omsætningsvækst er gået fra minus 3 til ca. minus 2 %. Kommer der en ny ændring i guidance den 4/11 og flyttes forventningerne fra 0-minus 6 % med -3 i midtpunktet til 0-minus 3 med minus 1,5 % i midtpunktet? #aktier #dkbiz @NordnetDK Konsensus, 2026 omsætningsudvikling, Novo Nordisk Kilde: marketscreener.com/quote/sto…
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Hello #FinTwit - could someone please take a look at my substack and endorse it. tsadvisoryaps.substack.com/
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TS Advisory retweeted
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TS Advisory@TSadvisoryApSOct 22
Coloplast is a strong BUY. At DKK 473.4, it trades 31% below our buy threshold of 683.5. Mr. Market is heavily penalizing temporary Kerecis noise, missing a major underlying earnings step-up to a TTM EPS of DKK 22.73
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Coloplast is a strong BUY. At DKK 473.4, it trades 31% below our buy threshold of 683.5. Mr. Market is heavily penalizing temporary Kerecis noise, missing a major underlying earnings step-up to a TTM EPS of DKK 22.73
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Forgot the $COLO-B hashtag - but seems that does not work $COLOB hmm...
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Key model criteria (CAPM): • Perpetuity growth: 2.76% CAGR • Volatility: 10% on quarterly EPS • Beta: 0.45 (5Y Morningstar) • Required return: 5.74% Fair value is DKK 763.4 (+61% upside). Read the full deep dive on Substack: tsadvisoryaps.substack.com/p…
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TS Advisory retweeted
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TS Advisory@TSadvisoryApSOct 21
The soft drink battle $KO vs. $PEP $KO - Hold Price: 93,49 Fair Value: 101,2 Buy Threshold: 81,8 Hold Interval: 81,8 - 123,5 Sell Threshold: 123,5 $PEP - Buy Price: 134,02 Fair Value: 154,3 Buy Threshold: 142,6 Hold Interval: 142,6 - 166,7 Sell Threshold: 166,7
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The soft drink battle $KO vs. $PEP $KO - Hold Price: 93,49 Fair Value: 101,2 Buy Threshold: 81,8 Hold Interval: 81,8 - 123,5 Sell Threshold: 123,5 $PEP - Buy Price: 134,02 Fair Value: 154,3 Buy Threshold: 142,6 Hold Interval: 142,6 - 166,7 Sell Threshold: 166,7
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Full analysis at my substack;
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[$KO] Real Options derived Entry & Exit thresholds tsadvisoryaps.substack.com/p…
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$KO - Overview is here; Full analysis availiable at my substack
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