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News, statistics & predictions for Texas 5A & 6A Football

Texas, USA
Joined September 2019
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Great news! My blog is officially up and running. Right now it includes my preseason top 25, district projections, and analysis on UIL Football. lonestartxfootball.blogspot.… #txhsfb
Most overrated; USC, Wake Forest and NC State Most underrated; Cincinnati, Penn State, Iowa State
Top 25 Coaches Poll 1 Bama (54) 2 Ohio St (5) 3 UGA (6) 4 Clemson 5 ND 6 Michigan 7 A&M 8 Utah 9 OU 10 Baylor 11 Ok St 12 Oregon 13 NC St 14 Mich St 15 USC 16 Pitt 17 Miami 18 Texas (1) 19 Wake 20 Wisco 21 Kentucky 22 Cincy 23 Arkansas 24 Ole Miss 25 Houston
None of these events are likely, but based on my forecasts; Texas A&M gets 12+ wins: 3.9% Texas A&M and Texas get 12 wins: 1.3% Texas gets 12+ wins: 0.1%
What outcome is most likely this fall?
5%Texas gets 12+ wins
22%Texas A&M gets 12+ wins
73%UT/TAMU get 12 wins total
5,209 votes • Final results
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Where would you rather have an NFL Expansion team?
11%Austin
89%San Antonio
9 votes • Final results
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6A-1 Championship chances (round 4) North Shore: 34% Southlake Carroll: 26% Duncanville: 16% Someone else: 24% #txhsfb
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6A-1 Championship chances (round 3) North Shore: 28% Southlake Carroll: 24% Duncanville: 12% Someone else: 36% #txhsfb
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Other teams with significant chances; Fort Bend Ridge Point: 1% Euless Trinity: 1% Lewisville: 1% Austin Bowie: 1% #txhsfb
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Essentially, what this means, is that 15/16 teams left in 6A-1 have a 1% or greater chance of winning the state championship this year. Literally any team could still win this tournament
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6A-2 Championship chances (round 3) Austin Westlake: 40% Katy: 30% Denton Guyer: 14% Someone else: 16% #txhsfb
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Whats interesting about this years tournament is that these nine teams have a combined 99% chance of winning, meaning the seven teams not included have a combined 1% chance of winning the bracket.
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6A-2 Championship chances Austin Westlake: 41% Katy: 32% Denton Guyer: 12% Someone else: 15% #txhsfb
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6A-1 Championship chances North Shore: 29% Southlake Carroll: 23% Duncanville: 13% Someone else: 35% #txhsfb
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Other teams with significant chances; Euless Trinity: 1% Spring: 1% Fort Bend Ridge Point: 1% Dickinson: 1% Smithson Valley: 1% #txhsfb
6A-2 Championship chances Austin Westlake: 40% Katy: 33% Denton Guyer: 13% Someone else: 14% #txhsfb
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6A-1 Championship chances North Shore: 30% Southlake Carroll: 23% Duncanville: 14% Someone else: 33%
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Noticed this too with my college football and TXHSFB forecasts. For some reason, being home is having a smaller effect than normal
Fans are back at NFL games. But home-field advantage isn’t (yet). 53eig.ht/2ZVdfuG
West Texas - Week 1 Predictions Games to watch; Abilene at Amarillo Tascosa Midland Legacy at Amarillo Killeen Shoemaker at San Angelo Central #txhsfb
San Antonio - Week 1 Predictions Games to watch; Reagan at Brennan Desoto at Converse Judson Hendrickson at Cibolo Steele #txhsfb
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Rio Grande Valley - Week 1 Predictions Games to watch; Harlingen at Laredo United South Mercedes at Brownsville Hanna Pflugerville at Laredo United #txhsfb
McAllen - Week 1 Predictions Games to watch; Weslaco at Weslaco East Edinburg Vela at McAllen Memorial PSJA at Mission Pioneer #txhsfb