Iran and the Middle East through economic warfare, geopolitics and human rights. Independent analysis. Evidence first.
Joined October 2026
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The Iranian people did their part. They stood together and risked everything for freedom.
The Islamic Republic of Iran chose to massacre its own people rather than surrender power.
But this regime cannot last forever. Its collapse is a matter of when, not if.
My dear compatriots,
Decisive moments lie before us.
The assistance that the President of the United States had promised to the brave people of Iran has now arrived. This is a humanitarian intervention, and its target is the Islamic Republic, its apparatus of repression, and its machinery of killing—not the country and great nation of Iran.
However, despite the arrival of this assistance, the final victory will still be achieved by us. It is we, the people of Iran, who will finish this task in this final battle. The time to return to the streets is approaching.
Now that the Islamic Republic is collapsing, my message to the country’s military, law enforcement, and security forces is clear:
You have sworn an oath to protect Iran and the Iranian nation, not the Islamic Republic and its leaders. Your duty is to defend the people, not to defend a regime that has taken our homeland hostage through repression and crime. Join the nation and help ensure a stable and secure transition. Otherwise, you will sink with Khamenei’s ship and his crumbling regime.
And my message to the President of the United States, President Trump, is this:
The honorable people of Iran, despite the brutal repression and killings carried out by this regime, stood bravely for nearly two months. I now ask you to exercise the utmost possible caution to preserve the lives of civilians and my compatriots. The people of Iran are your natural allies and the allies of the free world, and they will not forget your assistance during the most difficult period of Iran’s contemporary history.
And to you, my dear compatriots in Iran:
In these sensitive hours and days, more than ever we must remain focused on our ultimate goal: reclaiming Iran.
I ask you, for now, to remain in your homes and remain calm and safe. Stay alert and ready to return to the streets for the final action at the appropriate time, which I will communicate to you.
Follow my messages through social media and satellite media. If disruptions occur in the internet and satellite broadcasts, I will remain in contact with you via radio.
We are very close to final victory. I hope to be with you as soon as possible so that together we may reclaim Iran and rebuild it.
Long live Iran.
Reza Pahlavi
The Cyrus Letter retweeted
For the first time, the world can see the January massacre unfold through the eyes of the brave Iranians who took to the streets and documented what happened around them—sometimes in their final moments.
Hours of previously unseen footage, gathered and preserved by @ManotoNews, reveal the scale of the Islamic Republic’s mass killing of protesters. The Iranian people recorded their own courage, the regime’s brutality and the truth it tried to conceal.
Content warning: graphic and deeply distressing footage.
This Is Our Story | Episode 1: The City Stops | Iran Protests youtu.be/dbTot6IsC_k?si=0EhQ… via @YouTube
The Cyrus Letter retweeted
روز بزرگداشت کوروش بزرگ را به فرزندان شجاع و آزاده کوروش تبریک میگوییم🇮🇱🇮🇷
The Cyrus Letter retweeted
🚨 OMG. Outrage is erupting after a Muslim walked straight up to the mic at the Pinellas County FL Board meeting and put the ISLAMIC CALL TO PRAYER on FULL BLAST
Fully covered in a burka. Pure women oppression mode, wanting to conquer and invade the West
The Board members told her to stop the tape and she kept on playing it, and a law enforcement officer stepped in!
BAN THEM FROM PLAYING THIS IN GOVERNMENT MEETINGS and over loudspeakers that anger local residents!
NO ISLAMIC INVASION IN FLORIDA ☀️
h/t @libsoftiktok
The regime is putting Iran’s athletes on death row.
At least six face execution, Human Rights for Sport warns. They include 19-year-old footballer Ehsan Hosseinpour and 20-year-old equestrian Taraneh Rahimi.
Halt the executions. Free Iran’s imprisoned athletes.
Tehran wants the blockade lifted without changing its nuclear position.
A source told Reuters Qatar proposed a seven-day plan. An Iranian official dismissed the ideas as unacceptable and said Tehran would show no flexibility on the nuclear issue.
For now, neither side appears to have moved.
Iran’s families are being priced out of the basics.
Food and beverage prices more than doubled in the year to September. Reuters reports households cutting back on healthcare and education to cope.
The regime’s failures are landing on the dinner table.
The Cyrus Letter retweeted
More than 1 million private-sector jobs have been created since Inauguration Day, while the federal workforce has shrunk by 328,000, bringing it to its lowest level since the 1960s.
The Cyrus Letter retweeted
Iranian jet fuel. South African diesel on paper.
Sanctions evasion keeping the Islamic Republic’s fuel trade alive.
Reuters revealed on Oct 26 a $15.8M deal for a December 2025 shipment to Myanmar, where military rulers bomb civilians.
The junta’s own regulator helped disguise the cargo.
False paperwork. Real fuel. A lifeline for a brutal military.
The Cyrus Letter retweeted
The results of the Trump administration’s economic asphyxiation strategy and @USTreasury sanctions against Iran are already here:
1- Oil exports have collapsed:
•Seaborne crude shipments have fallen from 1.5–2 million barrels per day to roughly 50,000, a decline of more than 95%.
• No loadings from Kharg Island since late August.
•CENTCOM estimates the U.S. blockade has cost Tehran at least $25 billion, compared with the $2–3 billion in monthly oil revenues Iran previously generated.
2- The rial is in free fall:
• The currency has lost more than half its value against the dollar in 2026, reaching 2.6–2.7 million rials per dollar on the parallel market, compared with roughly 1 million at the beginning of the year.
3- Inflation is soaring as the economy contracts: The IMF projects average inflation of 78.6% in 2026, compared with roughly 40% in 2025, while GDP is expected to shrink by 7.6%, a sharp reversal from the modest growth recorded in previous years.
Iranian jet fuel. South African diesel on paper.
Sanctions evasion keeping the Islamic Republic’s fuel trade alive.
Reuters revealed on Oct 26 a $15.8M deal for a December 2025 shipment to Myanmar, where military rulers bomb civilians.
The junta’s own regulator helped disguise the cargo.
False paperwork. Real fuel. A lifeline for a brutal military.
The Cyrus Letter retweeted
The Iranian regime's "trustees," are deserting. These are individuals who run the regime's trade outside Iran and are running off with billions in foreign currency they hold on its behalf.
Iran's central bank admits $81 billion of export currency never came back, Iran's Audit Court is reviewing 141 debtor trustees, Tehran's prosecutor wants Interpol notices for 15 who fled, and the Majlis is investigating some 80 million barrels consigned on credit to four indebted trustees, 56 million of them unaccounted for.
Bessent on Iran:
I believe that the regime leadership is now hiding the true value of the rial. I think it's through three million, and that's why they've stopped printing the price.
I would predict that from March of 2026 until March of 2027, the economy would contract more than 25%, which is more than the Soviet Union contracted after its collapse.
“We are seeing the regime go bankrupt.”
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent predicts the Islamic Republic of Iran’s economy will shrink more than 25% in the year ending March 2027.
The next eight weeks of Operation Economic Outcast, he warns, will be “even more intense.”
The Cyrus Letter retweeted
When I received a message from a former Trump administration official in August, asking me to meet with his team at a prestigious think-tank, I never could have imagined I was conversing with an Iranian intelligence agent.
It was the start of a two-month sting - described by ASIO chief Mike Burgess as "sophisticated and targeted" - that ended with the notorious Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps gaining access to my personal emails and details in a major security breach.
The message from a former senior Trump administration contact I forged through my Wuhan reporting, who has a prominent profile with hundreds of thousands of followers, came on August 18 this year.
I had worked with him on my investigation into the origins of Covid-19. I trusted him and had met him in person during one of his visits to Australia.
Unbeknownst to either of us, his genuine X account had been infiltrated by an Iranian operative, using the ‘delegate feature’ on X, which gives a third party access to manage and operate your account.
Full story here:
news24.com.au/politics/austr…
The Cyrus Letter retweeted
“من این بار، نه فقط از نیروهای نظامی و دولتی، بلکه از همه ایرانیان، از اقشار گوناگون، که از این رژیم به ستوه آمدهاند و خواهان آیندهای آزاد و آباد برای ایران هستند، دعوت میکنم از طریق نشانی t.me/BarkhizIranBot در تلگرام، مستقیماً با تیم من ارتباط برقرار کنند و همین امروز به کارزار همکاری ملی برای نجات ایران بپیوندند.
ما آمادهایم تا بر جمهوری اسلامی پیروز شویم و آیندهای تازه برای ایران، منطقه و جهان رقم بزنیم.”
ملت شریف و شجاع ایران،
جمهوری اسلامی امروز دیگر آن رژیمی نیست که یک سال پیش بر ایران حکومت میکرد. این رژیم اکنون ضعیفتر از هر زمان دیگری است و رهبرِ مفقود و دیگر سرکردگان آن، بیش از هر چیز از قدرت ملت ایران هراس دارند؛ از یک خیزش سراسری و مؤثر که به عمر این رژیم شیطانی پایان دهد.
این فرقه جنایتکار و سپاه پاسدارانِ تروریستِ آن، میهن عزیز ما را به جنگ کشانده و موجودیت ایران را به خطر انداختهاند. سلطه سپاه بر ارکان کشور و چپاول منابع ملی، عامل اصلی وخامت روزافزون وضعیت اقتصادی و امنیتی ایران است.
این تبهکاران، نه نانی برای مردم باقی گذاشتهاند، نه امنیتی و نه امیدی به آینده. آنها برای حفظ قدرت خود، حاضرند ایران و ایرانی را قربانی کنند.
اما میهن زخمخورده و رنجور ما، دیگر تابِ تحملِ خسارتهای بیشتر را ندارد. ما باید دست در دست هم بگذاریم و از هر فرصتی برای نجات ایران بهره ببریم.
ما هم برای سرنگونی جمهوری اسلامی و هم برای اداره ایران پس از آن برنامه داریم؛ برنامهای روشن با هدف حفظ امنیت و ثبات کشور در دوران گذار، تضمین آزادیهای اساسی مردم و تامین نیازهای ضروری شهروندان.
خطاب به نیروهای نظامی، انتظامی و امنیتی: به ملت بپیوندید و در روز آزادی ایران در کنار مردم بایستید تا اماننامه دریافت کنید. اما اگر همچنان در کنار سرکوبگران بمانید و در جنایت علیه مردم مشارکت کنید، در برابر قانون و عدالت پاسخگو خواهید شد.
من این بار، نه فقط از نیروهای نظامی و دولتی، بلکه از همه ایرانیان، از اقشار گوناگون، که از این رژیم به ستوه آمدهاند و خواهان آیندهای آزاد و آباد برای ایران هستند، دعوت میکنم از طریق نشانی t.me/BarkhizIranBot در تلگرام، مستقیماً با تیم من ارتباط برقرار کنند و همین امروز به کارزار همکاری ملی برای نجات ایران بپیوندند.
ما آمادهایم تا بر جمهوری اسلامی پیروز شویم و آیندهای تازه برای ایران، منطقه و جهان رقم بزنیم.
پاینده ایران،
رضا پهلوی