Market Analyst. Sharing alpha and charts on a daily basis. Follower of Christ ✝️🦈
Joined December 2020
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“The S&P 500 has returned +17.2% on average in the year following Midterms since 1950.”
Short-term pain, long-term opportunity.
He could be right.
Imagine the prices of some assets now if markets drop 30-40%.
Expect the highest end of the risk curve down 70-90% in such case.
Volatility incoming 📈📉
Key Events This Week:
1. October ISM Manufacturing PMI data - Monday
2. Apple, $AAPL, and Palantir, $PLTR, Report Earnings - Monday
3. US Midterm Elections - Tuesday
4. September JOLTS Job Openings data - Tuesday
5. AMD, $AMD, and SMCI, $SMCI, Report Earnings - Tuesday
6. October ADP Nonfarm Employment Change - Wednesday
7. October ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI data - Wednesday
8. October Jobs Report - Friday
9. November MI Inflation Expectations and Consumer Sentiment data - Friday
10. ~20% of S&P 500 Companies Report Earnings This Week
11. Total of 5 Fed Speaker Events This Week
Buckle up for a huge week ahead.
$BTC
Lose 77k and we have a trip to 75k pending. If that fails to hold, it's a big drop to 69-67 range.
Need to see a bid come back into TradFi markets to see any recovery here in the short term.
Reclaim 77.5 and we can see a bounce toward 79.
GM
Another flat rejection for $BTC. Needs to reclaim 82k, or can still come lower into 78-79 range.
It would be beautiful
BLACK MONDAY 😱📉
It would be a complete dishonour for a market technician not to share this technical setup.
Monday marks the 39th anniversary of Black Monday October 19, 1987 when markets crashed an astonishing 22% in a single day.
While modern circuit breakers protect us from a total free-fall, the structural overlay between 1987 and today’s 2026 setup is eerie.
It would be something if Monday marks the beginning of something so beautiful, yet so consequential.
For one's private perusal.
Enjoy .
Good bounce in equities this morning and a strong candle back above 82k for $BTC.
See if we can maintain this momentum into the end of the week & avoid the bearish cross 🤝
$BTC bearish EMA cross threatening. A close below $82k this week will more than solidify it.
Some will say it’s FUD; others will admit it’s all in the price action.
$BTC bearish EMA cross threatening. A close below $82k this week will more than solidify it.
Some will say it’s FUD; others will admit it’s all in the price action.
Absolute carnage 📉📉
Interesting where the dust settles here.
AI is starting to really tip the scales in a way that’s becoming uncomfortable 👀
$BTC Update
I was right to be skeptical. Here's the retest. Bulls praying it holds or we're back on track for 82k.
$BTC ✍️
I'm conflicted about this setup, as we're holding support near $85k, but have the untapped grey box below which could see a revisit of low-84s. Then there's the matter of the 'unfinished' bull flag as we never got our 82k tap. Really just a range trade until the triple top is broken on volume.
Problem with all these exchanges is that they want something from you without delivering anything in return. All DMs are the same. "Generate x millions of volume per month and we give you a cut".
There's no innovation happening. Everyone's trying to be the next Hyperliquid but no one wants to put in the work to attract real users and keep them. 99% of exchanges will fail in the long term because of this.
$BATON looking strong here. One of the most organic PF tokens. 18M next up if 13M area is flipped here. Then on to 25-30M. God willing.
5 days away from 10/10 anniversary 🗓️
Between October 10 and November 21, 2025, $BTC fell by 34%, with 16% of that happening on day one.
🔺 $19B liquidated within 24 hours
🔺 1.6M traders liquidated that day
🔺 Binance hit with big FUD around the USDe depeg
