Tim retweeted
The right wing, media and press and especially the Telegraph continue to distort this story - BP are not leaving because Britain has some awful regime within which they can't make money - they are leaving because Britain’s North Sea has been all but emptied - official estimates are 10% or 10 years left - production began to decline 30 years go, this is not new. There’s no drama here - real story - capitalist company goes where it can make the most money - surprise, surprise. And that’s in new oil fields - not 60 year old ones verging on empty. They will find a buyer for their North Sea projects though, note they are not closing down. BP have had their way with our North Sea, now they seek the same in Venezuela.
telegraph.co.uk/business/202…
Tim retweeted
I crossed the Sahara Desert with migrants about a decade ago. Those in the video who crossed into Ceuta from Morocco neither looked like migrants (no luggage) nor did they behave like migrants (went back home with no protest). They looked like a rent-a-mob from Morocco's al-karyan, engineered to cross over and create a diplomatic crisis for Spain? Why? Well, ask the Israeli government, whose Moroccan partner is ever ready to create an embarrassment for the @sanchezcastejon government as a consequence of its position on the genocide of the Palestinians. Remember when the Moroccan King did the same thing in 2021 when the Spanish government arranged for medical care of Brahim Ghali (leader of @Polisario_).
Tim retweeted
Remember this adorable video from yesterday showing dear leader Farage arriving at what was reported to be Reform's Clacton branch office to be met by a cheering crowd of pre-armed supporters?
Well, sorry to tell you, all might not be as it was presented. 🧵
Tim retweeted
This should be time for reflection for England, so for what is worth let me share with you a take from someone who is not English but knows English football culture perfectly having played many years in the Premier League
You might agree or disagree, but it links to what Tuchel said about the team being passive. And if there is a hint of truth in it, maybe responsability should be taken beyond the coach, and even beyond the changing room (maybe the excess of confidence entering the game, the difficulty to see problems when victories come, the abusive search for culprits, all those things that we have seen in the past are also partly to blame)
Here it goes:
"Guillem, I can't help repeating something I've told you before: England can never truly function as a team because they don't understand the word "solidarity" or the concept of collective football.
They always freeze when the decisive moment comes. They go out of every major tournament (World Cup or Euros) in the same way: not just losing, but making a mess of it. They always freeze when the decisive moment comes.
There's a historical pattern. At some point in the game they abandon each other. Every player starts looking after himself, trying to save his own skin.
Today they left the goalkeeper completely exposed. They all disappeared from the game, almost as if they were trying to avoid being singled out.
Can you say who was at fault for the goals? Exactly. The best thing for them is that no individual gets blamed. Collectively, they were responsible.
Everyone goes home relieved that it won't all fall on John or James. That it will all fall on Tuchel.
Meanwhile, Messi can hardly run, yet he spent the entire second half happily playing on the edge of the box. Enzo, too, kept finding space to shoot from the edge of the area — his trademark — until one finally went in.
An absolute disaster."
Should we discuss?
Tim retweeted
Norway 1 - 2 Jude Bellingham.
@JonasGahrStore, your boys took one hell of beating 🏴
Tim retweeted
If Keir Starmer does resign, history will look back on his reign and scratch its head as to why the hell he was so hated.
On paper, he's probably delivered more to working British people in such a short time than any PM for decades.
After inheriting an absolute mess: NHS waiting lists fallen. Worker's rights improved. Rail operators nationalised. Improved relations with EU and improved UK's global reputation. Removed non-dom tax status. Halved childcare costs. Boosted state pensions. Lowest homicide rate in 50 years. Lifted 550k children out of poverty. Immigration vastly reduced.
We are in the age of billionaire funded misinformation, whose sole purpose is to topple democratically elected leaders, and insert leadership that favours the wealthy elites over the working people. Looks like the game plan is working...
Tim retweeted
1.Prince William owns a prison.
2.He rented it to the UK govt in a condition was so bad that prisoners got sick and it had to be shut down
3.The taxpayers now have to pay £100M to fix it
William who's on VACATION, just got paid £2.5M for rent on a prison that can't be used.
Tim retweeted
Today I broke a story [with help from @linfitlass] about Reform UK potentially fixing their competition to provide energy bills to a whole street.
It's a big deal and should, by rights, be picked up by mainstream media.
Luckily, there's one proper, reliable news outlet that have and are publishing my full article on Monday. Obvs its Byline Times.
But … why have the BBC, Sky News etc. missed this?
I'm not blowing my own trumpet at all, but so far, the story has had over 1.5 million views on my 𝕏 feed today.
A genuine public interest story about a potential fraudulent attempt by a political party, but it's being ignored, as always ... because it's Farage.
This is serious. Aside from Byline Times, The Nerve and the New World, the rest have capitulated to the far-right and Bannon's play.
If any outlets want to discuss this story, you know where I am.
teapaw.org/donmcgowan/status/2042…
⛓️Chain of events in the Reform UK competition scandal⛓️
<-> Ray and June Dibble are photographed at a Brexit Party rally in 2019 with Nigel Farage, Anne Widdecombe and David Bull.
<-> Ray and June nominate local councillor, Lee Moffitt as branch chair for Reform UK, Wigan.
<-> Ray and June win Nigel Farage's energy bills competition.
<-> Additional info — Farage and Jenrick turn up at Ray and June's house with a cheque for a VERY SPECIFIC amount of £1,758.
It's almost as though the entire thing was orchestrated from the beginning.
Huge H/T to @linfitlass and @reformexposed for two crucial pieces of the puzzle.
Tim retweeted
So it turns out the lucky and completely by chance winners of Reform's energy bills prize draw are....
Farage's friends. Photos are always the receipts.
Tim retweeted
🗼WELL I NEVER🗼
Would you believe that Ray and June, who won the Reform UK energy bills prize, go back all the way to the Brexit Party with Farage?
Here they are with Farage, Widdecombe and Bull [a truly awful supernatural detective thriller].
What a coincidence [increasingly unlikely]
h/t, and thanks to @linfitlass for pointing this out to me.
These images are from a Brexit Party rally in Fylde on the 4th May 2019. [credit Getty Images I believe, but Google for me].
Tim retweeted
Tiny Tommy Ten Names Robinson held a racist "Unite the Kingdom" rally last year and there was wall to wall coverage on BBC News and across the media.
Yet today's anti far-right Together Alliance rally had over 3x as many people in London was not even mentioned on BBC News
Tim retweeted
If you want to ascend the GRADE rankings and brainmog post-92 NPCs, then come and edumaxx at BCU, home of the #2 ranked Golf Course Management degree in SE England 💪
Tim retweeted
£12m from a guy nobody knows and who made a fortune nobody knows how, plus some hundreds of thousands £ from offshore millionaires say otherwise, Nigel.
@FT piece from @AnnaSophieGross.
Reform UK receives another big donation from crypto investor ft.trib.al/WUHMjH4
Tim retweeted
Neguse: Where is this company headquartered?
Noem: I don’t know.
Neguse: I don’t know either. We can’t find it. We did find an address that’s registered to a political operative. This company that received 143 million dollars was incorporated 8 days before this contract went out.
You want the American people to believe that this is all above board, that $143 million of taxpayer money just happened to go to this one company that doesn't have a headquarters, doesn't have a website, has never done work for the federal government before and is registered apparently or attached to a residence from a political operative, and of course one of the subcontractors of that contract, as you know, is a political firm that's tied to, to you back when you were governor of South Dakota?
Tim retweeted
Twenty million barrels of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz yesterday.
Today the number may be zero.
Not because Iran mined the water. Not because a tanker was hit. Because Lloyd’s of London picked up the phone.
War risk underwriters began canceling policies for strait transits hours after Operation Epic Fury launched. The Financial Times confirmed premiums surging 50 percent. Baseline war risk sits at 0.25 percent of hull value. For a hundred million dollar tanker that is 250,000 dollars per voyage. At peak escalation rates, one million per transit. Vessels linked to American or Israeli interests are becoming uninsurable entirely. No price. No policy. No passage.
The KHK Empress was loaded with Omani crude heading for Basra when it executed a U-turn mid-strait and redirected to India. The Eagle Veracruz halted at the western approach carrying two million barrels of Saudi crude bound for China. The Front Shanghai stopped off Sharjah with Iraqi crude destined for Rotterdam. Nippon Yusen ordered its entire fleet to avoid Hormuz. Greece told its merchant armada to reassess passage. Hapag-Lloyd suspended all transits.
None of them were fired upon. Every one of them got the same call.
More than fifty million years ago the Arabian plate collided with the Eurasian plate and compressed the Persian Gulf into a basin that drains through a single geological bottleneck twenty one miles wide. Twenty one percent of global petroleum. Twenty percent of all seaborne LNG. One fifth of industrial civilization’s energy supply forced through a tectonic accident narrower than the English Channel, bordered on one side by the country whose supreme leader was killed yesterday morning.
The USS Abraham Lincoln carries enough Tomahawks to sink every IRGC patrol boat in 48 hours. Operation Praying Mantis crippled Iran’s operational naval forces in eight hours in 1988. The Fifth Fleet has rehearsed this scenario for decades.
None of that matters. Aircraft carriers cannot force an underwriter to rewrite a policy. Tomahawks cannot lower a premium. The most powerful navy in human history cannot make a Lloyd’s syndicate decide that a VLCC transiting Iranian coastal waters represents an acceptable risk on a Saturday afternoon when missiles are landing in Dubai.
Goldman Sachs estimates Brent could peak at 110 dollars per barrel. JP Morgan projects 120 to 130. At those levels every airline bleeds cash. Every central bank watches three years of inflation fighting reignite overnight. Bypass pipelines from Saudi Arabia and the UAE handle roughly three million barrels. Hormuz handles twenty million. The math does not close.
Iran figured out something the Pentagon still has not.
You do not need to close a strait. You just need to make it uninsurable.
open.substack.com/pub/shanak…
