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โข๏ธ NBA THURSDAY FULL 5-0 SWEEP 11/12 ๐งนโ
๐ค
WE WENT 5-0 ON OUR PLAYER PROPS AND 2-0 ON ML NUKES LFGGG ๐ฅ๐ฅ
ALL PLAYS AND SLIPS WERE SENT EARLY IN THE DISCORD FOR SECURED VALUE ๐ค๐ค
Tyrese Maxey over 23.5 Points โ
Cade Cunningham over 39.5 PRA โ
Jaden McDaniels over 4.5 Rebounds โ
VJ Edgecombe over 5.5 Rebounds โ
Grayson Allen over 2.5 Threes Made โ
Philly Sixers ML โ
Washington Commanders ML โ
โข๏ธ PLUS WE CASHED TWO ML NUKES ON THE SIXERS AND COMMANDERS โ
๐ HUGE 7-0 NBA DAY COMBINED DONT MISS OUT AND JOIN THE DISCORD ๐ discord.com/invite/turtlebetโฆ
If you want to research plays like this, use code โTURTLEBETSโ with @PropsEdge for 20% off and SWEEP LIKE THIS ๐งน๐งน
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๐ NBA FRIDAY POTD 11/13 ๐ฅ
Donovan Mitchell Over 24.5 Points ๐
EVAN MOBLEY IS OUT, and dating back to last season, Mitchell is averaging a MASSIVE 33.4 PPG on 23.0 FIELD GOAL ATTEMPTS across his L5 without Mobley, while clearing this line in his last 5/5 and 8/10 games and averaging 27.8 PPG across his L10. Now he faces a Miami defense ranking 26TH in points allowed (120.0 PPG), surrendering the 2ND-MOST points to point guards and 4TH-MOST to shooting guards. Mobley's absence removes 16.9 PPG and 11.4 FGA from Cleveland's lineup, creating an opportunity for Mitchell to take on more offensive responsibility โผ๏ธ๐
Mitchell's last 10 games without Mobley, over in 8/10 (80%):
38 PTS | 27 FGA โ
32 PTS | 22 FGA โ
30 PTS | 19 FGA โ
32 PTS | 23 FGA โ
35 PTS | 24 FGA โ
29 PTS | 19 FGA โ
14 PTS | 15 FGA โ
16 PTS | 12 FGA โ
25 PTS | 21 FGA โ
27 PTS | 16 FGA โ
MIAMI HAS BEEN GETTING TORCHED BY OPPOSING GUARDS. Through 11 games, the Heat are allowing:
Point Guards: 29.3 PPG | 18.8 FGA
Shooting Guards: 33.6 PPG | 26.1 FGA
That's 62.9 COMBINED POINTS on 44.9 FGA PER GAME from opposing players classified as PGs and SGs. Miami has also allowed opponents to shoot 40.4% from beyond the arc in its early-season defensive sample, creating a favorable perimeter matchup for a high-volume scorer like Mitchell ๐
MIAMI'S DEFENSIVE TENDENCIES ALSO FAVOR MITCHELL'S DOWNHILL SCORING. The Heat prioritize protecting the paint and cutting off driving lanes, but they've allowed the 3RD-HIGHEST BLOW-BY RATE in the NBA at 34.7%. When opposing guards beat their initial defender, Miami has struggled to contain the resulting penetration and defensive rotations. Mitchell's ability to attack ball screens, create his own pull-up jumpers, and get downhill provides multiple ways to exploit those breakdowns ๐
THE GAME SCRIPT SUPPORTS A HEAVY OFFENSIVE WORKLOAD. Miami enters as just a 2.5-POINT FAVORITE, with the game carrying a 235.5-point total. The Heat are also playing at one of the NBA's fastest paces, creating additional possessions for Cleveland. With Mobley and Sam Merrill both ruled out, Mitchell's established scoring role becomes even more important in a potentially competitive, high-scoring matchup ๐
I'M SMASHING DONOVAN MITCHELL OVER 24.5 POINTS โข๏ธ๐
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TurtleBets ๐ข retweeted
๐ NBA FRIDAY POTD 11/13 ๐ฃ
Dejounte Murray Under 23.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists ๐
Collab w/ @vanishpicks ๐ป๐ค
Everything around Dejounte right now points in one direction. After the 30+ point loss to Brooklyn he wrote that "THE SABATOGE IS REAL" in a post he later deleted, and he told a critic to "ask the whole team individually how they feel". The Pelicans are 1-8 with him on the floor and 3-0 without him, reports have him unhappy with his role and clashing with Mosley, and with a player option next season he looks like an obvious trade candidate.
The on court side tells the same story. Over his last four he has 13, 12, 16 and 11 PRA while taking just 8.3 shots a night, the fewest in the starting five. Even with Trey Murphy out, the usage hasn't been coming his way โผ๏ธ
Memphis is a tough place to look for a bounce back across all three categories. The Grizzlies rank 9th in defensive rating, 8th in rebounds allowed, 5th in defensive rebounding and 11th in assists allowed, so Dejounte has very little to feast on in points, rebounds or assists. Nearly half of his shots this season come at the rim, where Memphis ranks 12th, and the perimeter looks are no better with the Grizzlies 4th defending threes above the break and 8th against catch and shoot. Transition makes up 37% of his scoring this season, and Memphis ranks 13th there, so even his easiest source of points is capped.
Plenty of guards have come up short against this Memphis defense as well. Shai finished with 35 on a 44.5 line, Lillard finished with 13 on a 29.5 line and Ja'Kobe Walter finished with 18 on a 20.5 line. Dejounte is dealing with a shrinking role, a locker room that's falling apart in public and a defense that takes away everything he does. If the drama bleeds into the rotation, his minutes are the first thing to go.
I'm SMASHING Dejounte Murray UNDER 23.5 PRA โข๏ธ๐
If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off ๐๐ฌ
#TurtleBets ๐ข #Pelicans #NBAPicks #GamblingX
๐ NBA FRIDAY POTD 11/13 ๐ฃ
Dejounte Murray Under 23.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists ๐
Collab w/ @vanishpicks ๐ป๐ค
Everything around Dejounte right now points in one direction. After the 30+ point loss to Brooklyn he wrote that "THE SABATOGE IS REAL" in a post he later deleted, and he told a critic to "ask the whole team individually how they feel". The Pelicans are 1-8 with him on the floor and 3-0 without him, reports have him unhappy with his role and clashing with Mosley, and with a player option next season he looks like an obvious trade candidate.
The on court side tells the same story. Over his last four he has 13, 12, 16 and 11 PRA while taking just 8.3 shots a night, the fewest in the starting five. Even with Trey Murphy out, the usage hasn't been coming his way โผ๏ธ
Memphis is a tough place to look for a bounce back across all three categories. The Grizzlies rank 9th in defensive rating, 8th in rebounds allowed, 5th in defensive rebounding and 11th in assists allowed, so Dejounte has very little to feast on in points, rebounds or assists. Nearly half of his shots this season come at the rim, where Memphis ranks 12th, and the perimeter looks are no better with the Grizzlies 4th defending threes above the break and 8th against catch and shoot. Transition makes up 37% of his scoring this season, and Memphis ranks 13th there, so even his easiest source of points is capped.
Plenty of guards have come up short against this Memphis defense as well. Shai finished with 35 on a 44.5 line, Lillard finished with 13 on a 29.5 line and Ja'Kobe Walter finished with 18 on a 20.5 line. Dejounte is dealing with a shrinking role, a locker room that's falling apart in public and a defense that takes away everything he does. If the drama bleeds into the rotation, his minutes are the first thing to go.
I'm SMASHING Dejounte Murray UNDER 23.5 PRA โข๏ธ๐
If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off ๐๐ฌ
#TurtleBets ๐ข #Pelicans #NBAPicks #GamblingX
TurtleBets ๐ข retweeted
NBA FRIDAY PROP OF THE DAY ๐
Dejounte Murray "U" 24.5 PRAโจ(-125 @FanDuel | 1.25 Units)
#Pelicans #GrindCity
COLLAB W/ @TurtleBetsDFS ๐ข (1-1)
Everything around Dejounte right now points in one direction. After the 145-111 loss to Brooklyn he wrote that "the sabotage is real" in a post he later deleted, and he told a critic to "ask the whole team individually how they feel." The Pelicans are 1-8 with him on the floor and 3-0 without him, reports have him unhappy with his role and clashing with Mosley, and with a player option next season he looks like an obvious trade candidate. The on court side tells the same story. Over his last four he has 13, 12, 16 and 11 PRA while taking just 8.3 shots a night, the fewest in the starting five. Even with Trey Murphy out, the usage hasn't been coming his way.
Memphis is a tough place to look for a bounce back across all three categories. The Grizzlies rank 9th in defensive rating, 8th in rebounds allowed, 5th in defensive rebounding and 11th in assists allowed, so Dejounte has very little to feast on in points, rebounds or assists. Nearly half of his shots this season come at the rim, where Memphis ranks 12th, and the perimeter looks are no better with the Grizzlies 4th defending threes above the break and 8th against catch and shoot. Transition makes up 37% of his scoring this season, and Memphis ranks 13th there, so even his easiest source of points is capped. Nothing about this matchup fixes what has been going wrong.
Plenty of guards have come up short against this Memphis defense as well. Shai finished with 35 on a 44.5 line, Lillard finished with 13 on a 29.5 line and Ja'Kobe Walter finished with 18 on a 20.5 line. Dejounte is dealing with a shrinking role, a locker room that's falling apart in public and a defense that takes away everything he does. If the drama bleeds into the rotation, his minutes are the first thing to go. Between the production and the matchup, 24.5 is a number he has no business getting near, so I'm taking the under.
DROP A "โค๏ธ" IF YOUR TAILING
DATA BY ๐ @propsmadnessโจUSE CODE "VANISH" FOR 25% OFF
NBA FRIDAY PROP OF THE DAY ๐
Meleek Thomas "O" 11.5 PTSโจ(+105 @Fanatics | 0.95 Units)
#LetEmKnow #HeatNation
Letโs get this straightโฆ Cleveland's second leading scorer this season is a rookie, and the books are still hanging a number under 12 on him? Meleek has cleared 11.5 in six of nine this season and he's coming off 18 against Charlotte and 14 against New York. Whenever he's logged between 21 and 27 minutes he's gone over this line every single time, putting up 13, 17, 12, 18 and 14, and that's the kind of run he's been getting lately. Sam Merrill is also day to day with an elbow, which would open up even more minutes on the wing if he sits. Plus money on a role this established is hard to pass up.
Miami has no real answer for a shooter like Meleek. The Heat rank 30th in defense against his position and 24th in defensive rating, and 53% of his shots this season are catch and shoot looks where Miami ranks 27th. They're dead last at 30th defending threes above the break, which is where 37% of his shots come from, and another 26% come from the corners where they rank 24th. Miami is also 26th against pull ups, which make up 18% of his diet. Add in the third fastest pace in the league and Meleek, already hitting 2.7 threes a game this season, should have plenty of possessions to launch from.
Guards have gotten to their numbers against this Heat defense as well. Darryn Peterson finished with 25 on a 19.5 line, Darius Acuff Jr. finished with 32 on a 25.5 line. Even Will Richard finished with 10 on a 5.5. Nine out of fifteen similar players have gone over their line as well. Meleek is getting a number set for a rookie while he's facing the softest defense in the league against his position, and he's cleared it every time he's seen real minutes. Considering the playtime heโs projected all while being at plus money? Give me the over.
DROP A "โค๏ธ" IF YOUR TAILING
DATA BY ๐ @propsmadnessโจUSE CODE "VANISH" FOR 25% OFF
TurtleBets ๐ข retweeted
๐ NBA FRIDAY PLAY 11/13 ๐
Alperen Sengun More Than 7 Assists ๐
SENGUNโS PLAYMAKING HAS BEEN ELITE TO START THE SEASON. He is averaging 7.9 assists per game, and he has cleared 7 assists in 4 of his last 5 games (80%) while averaging 8.4 assists during that stretch โผ๏ธ๐
ลengรผnโs last 5 games:
9 assists โ
8 assists โ
5 assists โ
10 assists โ
10 assists โ
He has recorded 8+ assists in four of his last five games and is coming off back-to-back games with 8 and 9 assists. Houston continues using him as the central hub of the offense, allowing him to create from the post, elbow and short roll ๐
The MINUTES and ROLE are extremely reliable. Sengun is averaging 34.9 minutes per game, and he has played at least 32 minutes in every game this season. His last 10-game assist average is 7.9 per game, right in line with the number needed to clear this line ๐
Utah is also missing major frontcourt pieces, with Lauri Markkanen, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jusuf Nurkiฤ all OUT. That leaves the Jazz thinner inside against Sengunโs post touches and playmaking pressure, creating more opportunities for double teams, cutters and kick-out assists โผ๏ธ
The GAME PACE supports the over as well. Utah ranks 5th in the NBA with 104.2 possessions per game, and the Jazz are 1-11 entering Houston. With the Rockets favored at home and Utah playing without multiple key starters, Sengun should remain heavily involved as Houstonโs primary facilitator throughout the game.
IโM PLAYING ALPEREN SENGUN MORE THAN 7 ASSISTS๐
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๐ NBA FRIDAY PLAY 11/13 ๐
Alperen Sengun More Than 7 Assists ๐
SENGUNโS PLAYMAKING HAS BEEN ELITE TO START THE SEASON. He is averaging 7.9 assists per game, and he has cleared 7 assists in 4 of his last 5 games (80%) while averaging 8.4 assists during that stretch โผ๏ธ๐
ลengรผnโs last 5 games:
9 assists โ
8 assists โ
5 assists โ
10 assists โ
10 assists โ
He has recorded 8+ assists in four of his last five games and is coming off back-to-back games with 8 and 9 assists. Houston continues using him as the central hub of the offense, allowing him to create from the post, elbow and short roll ๐
The MINUTES and ROLE are extremely reliable. Sengun is averaging 34.9 minutes per game, and he has played at least 32 minutes in every game this season. His last 10-game assist average is 7.9 per game, right in line with the number needed to clear this line ๐
Utah is also missing major frontcourt pieces, with Lauri Markkanen, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jusuf Nurkiฤ all OUT. That leaves the Jazz thinner inside against Sengunโs post touches and playmaking pressure, creating more opportunities for double teams, cutters and kick-out assists โผ๏ธ
The GAME PACE supports the over as well. Utah ranks 5th in the NBA with 104.2 possessions per game, and the Jazz are 1-11 entering Houston. With the Rockets favored at home and Utah playing without multiple key starters, Sengun should remain heavily involved as Houstonโs primary facilitator throughout the game.
IโM PLAYING ALPEREN SENGUN MORE THAN 7 ASSISTS๐
If you want to research plays like this, use code โTURTLEBETSโ with @PropsEdge for 20% off ๐๐ฌ
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TurtleBets ๐ข retweeted
Our Top 2 TD Provided by our site
Profitcollege.net
Cashes today โ
โ
in #TNF
#Gambling๐ #NFLPicks
TurtleBets ๐ข retweeted
โข๏ธ NBA THURSDAY FULL 5-0 SWEEP 11/12 ๐งนโ
๐ค
WE WENT 5-0 ON OUR PLAYER PROPS AND 2-0 ON ML NUKES LFGGG ๐ฅ๐ฅ
ALL PLAYS AND SLIPS WERE SENT EARLY IN THE DISCORD FOR SECURED VALUE ๐ค๐ค
Tyrese Maxey over 23.5 Points โ
Cade Cunningham over 39.5 PRA โ
Jaden McDaniels over 4.5 Rebounds โ
VJ Edgecombe over 5.5 Rebounds โ
Grayson Allen over 2.5 Threes Made โ
Philly Sixers ML โ
Washington Commanders ML โ
โข๏ธ PLUS WE CASHED TWO ML NUKES ON THE SIXERS AND COMMANDERS โ
๐ HUGE 7-0 NBA DAY COMBINED DONT MISS OUT AND JOIN THE DISCORD ๐ discord.com/invite/turtlebetโฆ
If you want to research plays like this, use code โTURTLEBETSโ with @PropsEdge for 20% off and SWEEP LIKE THIS ๐งน๐งน
#TurtleBets #NBAPicks #NBAProps #Gambling๐ #PrizePicks #SportsBetting
TurtleBets ๐ข retweeted
๐ฅ CASH THIS IN THE FIRST HALF THATS A 5-0 NBA SWEEPPPP ๐
Grayson Allen over 2.5 Threes Made โ
โ
NUCLEAR MF DAY WE ARE 6-0 ON THE DAY WITH A 5-0 NBA SWEEP CMONN ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
#NBAPicks #Gambling๐ #Hornets #PrizePicks
๐ NBA THURSDAY POTD 11/12
Grayson Allen Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made ๐
KON KNUEPPEL, BRANDON MILLER, AND DENNIS SCHRรDER ARE ALL OUT, AND PHOENIX IS ALLOWING THE 3RD-MOST THREES TO GUARDS IN THE NBA! Allen has cleared this line in 4/5 recent games (80%), averaging 4.2 MADE THREES on 8.0 attempts during that stretch. He JUST EXPLODED for 6 THREES on a SEASON-HIGH 12 attempts against Cleveland while playing 34 MINUTES. Now he faces a Suns defense surrendering 8.8 MADE THREES PER GAME to opposing guards, 25% ABOVE the league average โผ๏ธ๐
Allen's last 5 games, over in 4/5 (80%):
6/12 3PT โ
0/4 3PT โ
5/7 3PT โ
3/7 3PT โ
7/10 3PT โ
THE PERIMETER VOLUME HAS BEEN ELITE. Allen is averaging 3.5 MADE THREES on 7.4 attempts per game this season, shooting an impressive 46.9% from beyond the arc. He ranks 13TH in the NBA in made threes and 12TH in three-point percentage. Over his last 5 games, he's knocked down 21 THREES on 40 attempts (52.5%), with three performances of 5+ MADE THREES. His perimeter shooting accounts for nearly 80% of his total field goal attempts, making three-point volume the foundation of his offensive production ๐
PHOENIX HAS ALREADY BEEN TORCHED BY HIGH-VOLUME PERIMETER SHOOTERS. The Suns are allowing opponents to attempt 38.3 THREES PER GAME, while surrendering 8.8 made threes to guards alone. Denver recently knocked down 20 THREES against Phoenix, with TWO guards combining for 14:
Jamal Murray: 7/9 3PT | 39 PTS โ
Christian Braun: 7/9 3PT | 31 PTS โ
THE INJURIES HAVE PUSHED ALLEN INTO AN EXPANDED OFFENSIVE ROLE. With Knueppel and Miller sidelined, Allen has moved into Charlotte's starting lineup for its last two games. He responded with 27 POINTS against Cleveland, attempting 12 THREES while logging 34 minutes. Knueppel, Miller, and Schrรถder remain OUT tonight, leaving Charlotte without three important offensive options. Allen's ability to move without the ball, space the floor, and generate catch-and-shoot opportunities makes his perimeter role especially valuable with the Hornets' depleted rotation ๐
I'M SMASHING GRAYSON ALLEN OVER 2.5 THREE-POINTERS MADE โข๏ธ๐
If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off ๐๐ฌ
#TurtleBets ๐ข #Hornets #NBAPicks #GamblingX #PrizePicks
๐ฅ CASH THIS IN THE FIRST HALF THATS A 5-0 NBA SWEEPPPP ๐
Grayson Allen over 2.5 Threes Made โ
โ
NUCLEAR MF DAY WE ARE 6-0 ON THE DAY WITH A 5-0 NBA SWEEP CMONN ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
#NBAPicks #Gambling๐ #Hornets #PrizePicks
๐ NBA THURSDAY POTD 11/12
Grayson Allen Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made ๐
KON KNUEPPEL, BRANDON MILLER, AND DENNIS SCHRรDER ARE ALL OUT, AND PHOENIX IS ALLOWING THE 3RD-MOST THREES TO GUARDS IN THE NBA! Allen has cleared this line in 4/5 recent games (80%), averaging 4.2 MADE THREES on 8.0 attempts during that stretch. He JUST EXPLODED for 6 THREES on a SEASON-HIGH 12 attempts against Cleveland while playing 34 MINUTES. Now he faces a Suns defense surrendering 8.8 MADE THREES PER GAME to opposing guards, 25% ABOVE the league average โผ๏ธ๐
Allen's last 5 games, over in 4/5 (80%):
6/12 3PT โ
0/4 3PT โ
5/7 3PT โ
3/7 3PT โ
7/10 3PT โ
THE PERIMETER VOLUME HAS BEEN ELITE. Allen is averaging 3.5 MADE THREES on 7.4 attempts per game this season, shooting an impressive 46.9% from beyond the arc. He ranks 13TH in the NBA in made threes and 12TH in three-point percentage. Over his last 5 games, he's knocked down 21 THREES on 40 attempts (52.5%), with three performances of 5+ MADE THREES. His perimeter shooting accounts for nearly 80% of his total field goal attempts, making three-point volume the foundation of his offensive production ๐
PHOENIX HAS ALREADY BEEN TORCHED BY HIGH-VOLUME PERIMETER SHOOTERS. The Suns are allowing opponents to attempt 38.3 THREES PER GAME, while surrendering 8.8 made threes to guards alone. Denver recently knocked down 20 THREES against Phoenix, with TWO guards combining for 14:
Jamal Murray: 7/9 3PT | 39 PTS โ
Christian Braun: 7/9 3PT | 31 PTS โ
THE INJURIES HAVE PUSHED ALLEN INTO AN EXPANDED OFFENSIVE ROLE. With Knueppel and Miller sidelined, Allen has moved into Charlotte's starting lineup for its last two games. He responded with 27 POINTS against Cleveland, attempting 12 THREES while logging 34 minutes. Knueppel, Miller, and Schrรถder remain OUT tonight, leaving Charlotte without three important offensive options. Allen's ability to move without the ball, space the floor, and generate catch-and-shoot opportunities makes his perimeter role especially valuable with the Hornets' depleted rotation ๐
I'M SMASHING GRAYSON ALLEN OVER 2.5 THREE-POINTERS MADE โข๏ธ๐
If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off ๐๐ฌ
#TurtleBets ๐ข #Hornets #NBAPicks #GamblingX #PrizePicks
TurtleBets ๐ข retweeted
๐ฅ BANGG I POSTED THESE PLAYS EARLY IN THE DISCORD WE ARE NOW 6-0 ON THE DAY OMG โผ๏ธโผ๏ธ
Isaiah Likely over 47.5 Receiving Yards โ
โ
LOCK IN WITH DISCORD DONT MISS OUT: discord.com/invite/turtlebetโฆ
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๐ NFL THURSDAY NIGHT POTD 11/12 ๐ฏ
Isaiah Likely Over 47.5 Receiving Yards ๐
WASHINGTON'S COVER-2 AND BLITZ-HEAVY DEFENSE IS A PERFECT MATCHUP FOR ISAIAH LIKELY! The Commanders blitz at the 3RD-HIGHEST RATE in the NFL (40.4%) while frequently deploying Cover-2 behind their pressure. Likely has been targeted on 31% OF HIS ROUTES against Cover-2, the 2ND-HIGHEST RATE among tight ends, while drawing targets on nearly 24% of his routes against the blitz. He's cleared this line in 4/5 recent games (80%) and already TORCHED Washington for 94 YARDS on 13 TARGETS earlier this season! The Commanders are also allowing the 4TH-MOST receiving yards to TEs at 68.8 PER GAME โผ๏ธ๐
Likely's last 5 games, over in 4/5 (80%):
53 YDS | 6 TGT โ
12 YDS | 4 TGT โ
99 YDS | 11 TGT โ
94 YDS | 13 TGT โ
66 YDS | 12 TGT โ
THE COVERAGE MATCHUP IS THE BIGGEST SELLING POINT. Washington frequently utilizes Cover-2 and Cover-2 man while sending additional pressure, creating opportunities for tight ends working underneath and between coverage defenders. Likely ranks 2ND among TEs in target rate against Cover-2 (31%) and 4TH in total targets against the blitz. His ability to work the middle of the field gives New York an established receiving option against Washington's aggressive defensive approach ๐
LIKELY ALREADY EXPLOITED THIS EXACT DEFENSE EARLIER THIS SEASON. In their first meeting, he erupted for 11 RECEPTIONS on 13 TARGETS, finishing with 94 RECEIVING YARDS and 2 TOUCHDOWNS! He commanded 25% of New York's targets that afternoon, consistently finding openings against Washington's coverage. His 94 yards were the MOST by any individual tight end against the Commanders this season โผ๏ธ
WASHINGTON HAS BEEN GETTING EXPOSED BY OPPOSING TIGHT ENDS. Through eight games, the Commanders are allowing:
68.8 RECEIVING YPG | 4TH-MOST
8.1 TARGETS PER GAME
6.1 RECEPTIONS PER GAME
8.5 YARDS PER TARGET
Opposing TEs who have cleared Likely's line:
Isaiah Likely: 94 YDS | 13 TGT โ
Dallas Goedert: 77 YDS | 5 TGT โ
AJ Barner: 69 YDS | 9 TGT โ
George Kittle: 69 YDS | 8 TGT โ
Eli Stowers: 53 YDS | 3 TGT โ
THE GAME SCRIPT ALSO SUPPORTS A COMPETITIVE MATCHUP. New York enters as a narrow 2.5-point home favorite, while Washington ranks 30TH against the pass, allowing 240.0 passing yards per game. Likely played 75% of the offensive snaps against Philadelphia last week, catching 5/6 targets for 53 yards and a touchdown. He's now facing a Washington defense allowing the MOST fantasy points per target to opposing tight ends at 2.34, providing another favorable opportunity for his established receiving role ๐
I'M SMASHING ISAIAH LIKELY OVER 47.5 RECEIVING YARDS โข๏ธ๐
If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off ๐๐ฌ
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๐ฅ BANGG I POSTED THESE PLAYS EARLY IN THE DISCORD WE ARE NOW 6-0 ON THE DAY OMG โผ๏ธโผ๏ธ
Isaiah Likely over 47.5 Receiving Yards โ
โ
LOCK IN WITH DISCORD DONT MISS OUT: discord.com/invite/turtlebetโฆ
#NFLPicks #Gambling๐ #Giants #PrizePicks #Chalkboard
๐ NFL THURSDAY NIGHT POTD 11/12 ๐ฏ
Isaiah Likely Over 47.5 Receiving Yards ๐
WASHINGTON'S COVER-2 AND BLITZ-HEAVY DEFENSE IS A PERFECT MATCHUP FOR ISAIAH LIKELY! The Commanders blitz at the 3RD-HIGHEST RATE in the NFL (40.4%) while frequently deploying Cover-2 behind their pressure. Likely has been targeted on 31% OF HIS ROUTES against Cover-2, the 2ND-HIGHEST RATE among tight ends, while drawing targets on nearly 24% of his routes against the blitz. He's cleared this line in 4/5 recent games (80%) and already TORCHED Washington for 94 YARDS on 13 TARGETS earlier this season! The Commanders are also allowing the 4TH-MOST receiving yards to TEs at 68.8 PER GAME โผ๏ธ๐
Likely's last 5 games, over in 4/5 (80%):
53 YDS | 6 TGT โ
12 YDS | 4 TGT โ
99 YDS | 11 TGT โ
94 YDS | 13 TGT โ
66 YDS | 12 TGT โ
THE COVERAGE MATCHUP IS THE BIGGEST SELLING POINT. Washington frequently utilizes Cover-2 and Cover-2 man while sending additional pressure, creating opportunities for tight ends working underneath and between coverage defenders. Likely ranks 2ND among TEs in target rate against Cover-2 (31%) and 4TH in total targets against the blitz. His ability to work the middle of the field gives New York an established receiving option against Washington's aggressive defensive approach ๐
LIKELY ALREADY EXPLOITED THIS EXACT DEFENSE EARLIER THIS SEASON. In their first meeting, he erupted for 11 RECEPTIONS on 13 TARGETS, finishing with 94 RECEIVING YARDS and 2 TOUCHDOWNS! He commanded 25% of New York's targets that afternoon, consistently finding openings against Washington's coverage. His 94 yards were the MOST by any individual tight end against the Commanders this season โผ๏ธ
WASHINGTON HAS BEEN GETTING EXPOSED BY OPPOSING TIGHT ENDS. Through eight games, the Commanders are allowing:
68.8 RECEIVING YPG | 4TH-MOST
8.1 TARGETS PER GAME
6.1 RECEPTIONS PER GAME
8.5 YARDS PER TARGET
Opposing TEs who have cleared Likely's line:
Isaiah Likely: 94 YDS | 13 TGT โ
Dallas Goedert: 77 YDS | 5 TGT โ
AJ Barner: 69 YDS | 9 TGT โ
George Kittle: 69 YDS | 8 TGT โ
Eli Stowers: 53 YDS | 3 TGT โ
THE GAME SCRIPT ALSO SUPPORTS A COMPETITIVE MATCHUP. New York enters as a narrow 2.5-point home favorite, while Washington ranks 30TH against the pass, allowing 240.0 passing yards per game. Likely played 75% of the offensive snaps against Philadelphia last week, catching 5/6 targets for 53 yards and a touchdown. He's now facing a Washington defense allowing the MOST fantasy points per target to opposing tight ends at 2.34, providing another favorable opportunity for his established receiving role ๐
I'M SMASHING ISAIAH LIKELY OVER 47.5 RECEIVING YARDS โข๏ธ๐
If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off ๐๐ฌ
#TurtleBets ๐ข #Giants #NFLPicks #GamblingX #PrizePicks
TurtleBets ๐ข retweeted
TNF CARD๐๐
Jayden Daniels 200+ Pass Yards
Isaiah Likely TD
Cam Skattebo 39.5 Rush Yards
Rachaad White 53.5 Rush + Rec Yards
#Gambling๐ #TNF #NFLPicks
TurtleBets ๐ข retweeted
NATIONS LEAGUE THURSDAY BETSโฝ๏ธ๐
France ML (-105)
Spain -1.5 (-160)
England ML (-400)
Jude Bellingham to score or assist
(-230)
#Gambling๐ #SoccerPicks #SoccerBets
TurtleBets ๐ข retweeted
โข๏ธ CASH ANOTHER NUKEE THE DISCORD SAW THESE PLAYS FIRST โผ๏ธ
VJ Edgecombe over 5.5 Rebounds โ
โ
THATS 4-0 ON NBA SO FAR DONT MISS OUT ON THESE DISCORD PLAYS ๐๐๐ค
#NBAPicks #Gambling๐ #Sixers #PrizePicks
โข๏ธ NBA THURSDAY NUKEEEE 11/12 โข๏ธ
VJ Edgecombe Over 5.5 Rebounds ๐
LEBRON JAMES HAS OFFICIALLY BEEN RULED OUT, and Edgecomb has cleared this line twice with 13 and 8 without him. He is also over in the last 7/10 games (70%)! He's averaging 6.5 REBOUNDS over his last 10 games and 6.3 RPG on the season, compared to just 5.6 last year. Philadelphia will also be WITHOUT ADEM BONA, DOMINICK BARLOW, AND ARIEL HUKPORTI, while Joel Embiid remains QUESTIONABLE. Now Edgecombe faces a Toronto defense allowing opposing shooting guards to combine for 9.5 REBOUNDS PER GAME โผ๏ธ๐
Edgecombe's last 10 games, over in 7/10 (70%):โจ4 REB | 32 MIN โโจ6 REB | 35 MIN โ
โจ3 REB | 32 MIN โโจ6 REB | 35 MIN โ
โจ3 REB | 33 MIN โโจ8 REB | 37 MIN โ
โจ8 REB | 36 MIN โ
โจ7 REB | 29 MIN โ
โจ13 REB | 30 MIN โ
โจ7 REB | 33 MIN โ
THE REBOUNDING ROLE HAS IMPROVED THIS SEASON. Edgecombe is averaging 6.3 RPG in 33.4 MINUTES, up from 5.6 rebounds last season. He's collected 69 TOTAL REBOUNDS through 11 games, including 55 DEFENSIVE BOARDS, averaging 5.0 defensive rebounds per game. He's also increased his defensive rebounding percentage from 12.7% last season to 16.1% this year, showing greater involvement on the defensive glass ๐
PHILADELPHIA'S FRONTCOURT IS EXTREMELY THIN. LeBron is officially OUT with back/sciatica management, while Bona, Barlow, and Hukporti are also sidelined. Philadelphia has already been utilizing smaller lineups without its available centers, creating an opportunity for its wings to take on more rebounding responsibility. Edgecombe has demonstrated his ability to contribute on the glass, including a SEASON-HIGH 13 REBOUNDS against Milwaukee in just 30 MINUTES โผ๏ธ
TORONTO'S BACKCOURT MATCHUP PROVIDES ADDITIONAL OPPORTUNITIES. The Raptors are allowing opposing shooting guards to collect 9.5 REBOUNDS PER GAME collectively, including 7.2 defensive rebounds. Edgecombe has already recorded 7+ REBOUNDS in five games this season, including consecutive 8-rebound performances against New York and Charlotte. His athleticism and activity on the glass are especially valuable when Philadelphia operates with smaller lineups ๐
THE MINUTES HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT. Edgecombe has played 30+ MINUTES in 10/11 games this season, averaging 33.4 minutes per appearance. He's also averaging 7.0 RPG at home, compared to 5.7 on the road. With LeBron unavailable and several frontcourt players sidelined, Edgecombe's established playing time and increased defensive rebounding involvement provide an opportunity to reach 6+ boards against Toronto ๐
I'M NUKING VJ EDGECOMBE OVER 5.5 REBOUNDS โข๏ธ๐
If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off ๐๐ฌ
#TurtleBets ๐ข #Sixers #NBAPicks #GamblingX #PrizePicks
โข๏ธ CASH ANOTHER NUKEE THE DISCORD SAW THESE PLAYS FIRST โผ๏ธ
VJ Edgecombe over 5.5 Rebounds โ
โ
THATS 4-0 ON NBA SO FAR DONT MISS OUT ON THESE DISCORD PLAYS ๐๐๐ค
#NBAPicks #Gambling๐ #Sixers #PrizePicks
โข๏ธ NBA THURSDAY NUKEEEE 11/12 โข๏ธ
VJ Edgecombe Over 5.5 Rebounds ๐
LEBRON JAMES HAS OFFICIALLY BEEN RULED OUT, and Edgecomb has cleared this line twice with 13 and 8 without him. He is also over in the last 7/10 games (70%)! He's averaging 6.5 REBOUNDS over his last 10 games and 6.3 RPG on the season, compared to just 5.6 last year. Philadelphia will also be WITHOUT ADEM BONA, DOMINICK BARLOW, AND ARIEL HUKPORTI, while Joel Embiid remains QUESTIONABLE. Now Edgecombe faces a Toronto defense allowing opposing shooting guards to combine for 9.5 REBOUNDS PER GAME โผ๏ธ๐
Edgecombe's last 10 games, over in 7/10 (70%):โจ4 REB | 32 MIN โโจ6 REB | 35 MIN โ
โจ3 REB | 32 MIN โโจ6 REB | 35 MIN โ
โจ3 REB | 33 MIN โโจ8 REB | 37 MIN โ
โจ8 REB | 36 MIN โ
โจ7 REB | 29 MIN โ
โจ13 REB | 30 MIN โ
โจ7 REB | 33 MIN โ
THE REBOUNDING ROLE HAS IMPROVED THIS SEASON. Edgecombe is averaging 6.3 RPG in 33.4 MINUTES, up from 5.6 rebounds last season. He's collected 69 TOTAL REBOUNDS through 11 games, including 55 DEFENSIVE BOARDS, averaging 5.0 defensive rebounds per game. He's also increased his defensive rebounding percentage from 12.7% last season to 16.1% this year, showing greater involvement on the defensive glass ๐
PHILADELPHIA'S FRONTCOURT IS EXTREMELY THIN. LeBron is officially OUT with back/sciatica management, while Bona, Barlow, and Hukporti are also sidelined. Philadelphia has already been utilizing smaller lineups without its available centers, creating an opportunity for its wings to take on more rebounding responsibility. Edgecombe has demonstrated his ability to contribute on the glass, including a SEASON-HIGH 13 REBOUNDS against Milwaukee in just 30 MINUTES โผ๏ธ
TORONTO'S BACKCOURT MATCHUP PROVIDES ADDITIONAL OPPORTUNITIES. The Raptors are allowing opposing shooting guards to collect 9.5 REBOUNDS PER GAME collectively, including 7.2 defensive rebounds. Edgecombe has already recorded 7+ REBOUNDS in five games this season, including consecutive 8-rebound performances against New York and Charlotte. His athleticism and activity on the glass are especially valuable when Philadelphia operates with smaller lineups ๐
THE MINUTES HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT. Edgecombe has played 30+ MINUTES in 10/11 games this season, averaging 33.4 minutes per appearance. He's also averaging 7.0 RPG at home, compared to 5.7 on the road. With LeBron unavailable and several frontcourt players sidelined, Edgecombe's established playing time and increased defensive rebounding involvement provide an opportunity to reach 6+ boards against Toronto ๐
I'M NUKING VJ EDGECOMBE OVER 5.5 REBOUNDS โข๏ธ๐
If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off ๐๐ฌ
#TurtleBets ๐ข #Sixers #NBAPicks #GamblingX #PrizePicks
TurtleBets ๐ข retweeted
โข๏ธ CASH THIS NUKE SWEAT FREE WHO TAILED??? ๐๐๐
Jaden McDaniels over 4.5 Rebounds โ
โ
THE DISCORD SAW ALL THESE PLAYS FIRST THAT IS 3-0 ON NBA PLAYS SO FAR BANG BANG โผ๏ธ
#NBAPicks #Gambling๐ #Wolves #PrizePicks
โข๏ธ NBA THURSDAY NUKEEEE 11/12 โข๏ธ
Jaden McDaniels Over 4.5 Rebounds ๐
JADEN MCDANIELS HAS CLEARED THIS LINE IN 10/11 GAMES THIS SEASON (91%), INCLUDING 4 STRAIGHT! He's averaging 6.2 REBOUNDS per game, recording 6+ boards in EVERY game he's cleared this line. He's also generating 11.5 REBOUND CHANCES PER GAME, nearly DOUBLE the 4.5 line! Now he faces a Dallas frontcourt WITHOUT DERECK LIVELY II, while Minnesota remains without ANTHONY EDWARDS AND DONTE DIVINCENZO. McDaniels has also cleared this line in 3/4 recent matchups against Dallas (75%) โผ๏ธ๐
McDaniels' last 5 games, over in 4/5 (80%):
6 REB | 33 MIN โ
6 REB | 40 MIN โ
8 REB | 37 MIN โ
6 REB | 29 MIN โ
3 REB | 39 MIN โ
THE UNDERLYING REBOUND OPPORTUNITIES ARE EXTREMELY ENCOURAGING. McDaniels has generated 127 REBOUND CHANCES through 11 games, averaging 11.5 per game. Those opportunities have translated into 68 ACTUAL REBOUNDS, including 47 UNCONTESTED and 21 CONTESTED boards. He's averaging 6.2 RPG compared to just 4.2 last season, while his playing time has increased from 31.7 to 33.9 minutes per game. He's also averaging 35.5 MINUTES over his last 5 games, giving him consistent opportunities to attack the glass ๐
DALLAS HAS RECENTLY ALLOWED MULTIPLE FORWARDS TO DOMINATE THE GLASS. In their last two games, the Mavericks surrendered:
Pascal Siakam: 9 REB | 35 MIN โ
Michael Porter Jr.: 9 REB | 29 MIN โ
Both forwards comfortably cleared McDaniels' 4.5 line, with Porter grabbing 3 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS against Dallas despite Brooklyn losing by 37 points. The Mavericks will also be WITHOUT Dereck Lively II, removing another big man from their interior rotation and potentially creating additional rebounding opportunities โผ๏ธ
THE H2H HISTORY ALSO SUPPORTS THIS LINE. McDaniels has cleared 4.5 rebounds in 3/4 recent matchups against Dallas (75%), averaging 5.8 boards:
McDaniels' last 4 vs Dallas:
8 REB | 34 MIN โ
2 REB | 30 MIN โ
5 REB | 23 MIN โ
8 REB | 40 MIN โ
I'M NUKING JADEN MCDANIELS OVER 4.5 REBOUNDS โข๏ธ๐
If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off ๐๐ฌ
#TurtleBets ๐ข #Timberwolves #NBAPicks #GamblingX #PrizePicks
โข๏ธ CASH THIS NUKE SWEAT FREE WHO TAILED??? ๐๐๐
Jaden McDaniels over 4.5 Rebounds โ
โ
THE DISCORD SAW ALL THESE PLAYS FIRST THAT IS 3-0 ON NBA PLAYS SO FAR BANG BANG โผ๏ธ
#NBAPicks #Gambling๐ #Wolves #PrizePicks
โข๏ธ NBA THURSDAY NUKEEEE 11/12 โข๏ธ
Jaden McDaniels Over 4.5 Rebounds ๐
JADEN MCDANIELS HAS CLEARED THIS LINE IN 10/11 GAMES THIS SEASON (91%), INCLUDING 4 STRAIGHT! He's averaging 6.2 REBOUNDS per game, recording 6+ boards in EVERY game he's cleared this line. He's also generating 11.5 REBOUND CHANCES PER GAME, nearly DOUBLE the 4.5 line! Now he faces a Dallas frontcourt WITHOUT DERECK LIVELY II, while Minnesota remains without ANTHONY EDWARDS AND DONTE DIVINCENZO. McDaniels has also cleared this line in 3/4 recent matchups against Dallas (75%) โผ๏ธ๐
McDaniels' last 5 games, over in 4/5 (80%):
6 REB | 33 MIN โ
6 REB | 40 MIN โ
8 REB | 37 MIN โ
6 REB | 29 MIN โ
3 REB | 39 MIN โ
THE UNDERLYING REBOUND OPPORTUNITIES ARE EXTREMELY ENCOURAGING. McDaniels has generated 127 REBOUND CHANCES through 11 games, averaging 11.5 per game. Those opportunities have translated into 68 ACTUAL REBOUNDS, including 47 UNCONTESTED and 21 CONTESTED boards. He's averaging 6.2 RPG compared to just 4.2 last season, while his playing time has increased from 31.7 to 33.9 minutes per game. He's also averaging 35.5 MINUTES over his last 5 games, giving him consistent opportunities to attack the glass ๐
DALLAS HAS RECENTLY ALLOWED MULTIPLE FORWARDS TO DOMINATE THE GLASS. In their last two games, the Mavericks surrendered:
Pascal Siakam: 9 REB | 35 MIN โ
Michael Porter Jr.: 9 REB | 29 MIN โ
Both forwards comfortably cleared McDaniels' 4.5 line, with Porter grabbing 3 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS against Dallas despite Brooklyn losing by 37 points. The Mavericks will also be WITHOUT Dereck Lively II, removing another big man from their interior rotation and potentially creating additional rebounding opportunities โผ๏ธ
THE H2H HISTORY ALSO SUPPORTS THIS LINE. McDaniels has cleared 4.5 rebounds in 3/4 recent matchups against Dallas (75%), averaging 5.8 boards:
McDaniels' last 4 vs Dallas:
8 REB | 34 MIN โ
2 REB | 30 MIN โ
5 REB | 23 MIN โ
8 REB | 40 MIN โ
I'M NUKING JADEN MCDANIELS OVER 4.5 REBOUNDS โข๏ธ๐
If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off ๐๐ฌ
#TurtleBets ๐ข #Timberwolves #NBAPicks #GamblingX #PrizePicks
TurtleBets ๐ข retweeted
๐ฅCASHHH NBA PLAY๐ฅ
Cade Cunningham Over 39.5 PRA โ
Cade was on fire today cashing us sweat free too๐ค We 2-0 in plays rn LFGGG๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
#NBA #Gambling๐ #Detroit #PrizePicks
๐ฅNBA THURSDAY PLAY 11/12 ๐ฅ
Cade Cunningham Over 39.5 PRA ๐
THE WASHINGTON MATCHUP IS THE KEY TO THIS PLAY. In Cadeโs last 4 FULL games against the Wizards, heโs posted 48, 69, 46 and 27 PRA, clearing this line in 3 of 4 (75%) while averaging 47.5 PRA. Washington has also struggled against guards this season, allowing 61.8 points per game to the position โผ๏ธ๐
Cadeโs last 4 full games vs Washington:
17 PTS | 3 REB | 7 AST = 27 PRA โ
30 PTS | 8 REB | 8 AST = 46 PRA โ
46 PTS | 12 REB | 11 AST = 69 PRA โ
38 PTS | 3 REB | 10 AST = 51 PRA โ
THE ALL-AROUND CEILING IS THERE. Cade is averaging 22.3 points, 5.2 rebounds and 7.6 assists this season, and heโs already produced 44+ PRA in 3 games. His combination of scoring and playmaking gives him multiple paths to this number even without a 30-point night ๐
Washington is also on the SECOND NIGHT OF A BACK-TO-BACK and playing its third game in four nights. The Wizards own a 114.2 defensive rating and rank near the bottom of the league at forcing turnovers, a strong setup for Cade to control possessions and create for Detroit ๐
Detroit is without Jalen Duren tonight, removing a major interior presence from the lineup. That could leave more rebounding opportunities available for Cade, who has already recorded games of 7, 8 and 9 rebounds this season โผ๏ธ
The most recent Washington meeting ended with Cade at only 27 PRA, but he played just 27 minutes in Detroitโs 122-111 win. His previous three full-workload meetings against this matchup ALL cleared tonightโs 39.5 line.
IโM TAKING CADE CUNNINGHAM OVER 39.5 PRA ๐
If you want to research plays like this, use code โTURTLEBETSโ with @PropsEdge for 20% off ๐๐ฌ
#TurtleBets ๐ข #Pistons #NBAPicks #GamblingX #PrizePicks




























