Unstable Index

What is the Unstable Index? One number, 0 to 100, for how fragile the crypto market is right now. Fear & Greed tells you how the crowd feels but the Unstable Index tells you how much room the market actually has before something breaks. How it works: 1. Collect. Chain state, pool balances, funding, reserves and 17 macro tickers. Public sources only. 2. Score. Every signal maps to one of eight weighted sub-indices: peg dispersion, leverage, liquidation proximity, volatility, security, flows, narrative and TradFi stress. 3. Amplify. When sub-indices move together, the score rises faster. Stress that clusters is worse than stress that doesn’t. 4. Publish. One run per day at 08:00 UTC, hashed, no manual adjustments. Reading it: 0 is calm, 100 is fragile. Under 25 means plenty of slack. Above 65 means conditions look like past pre-crisis periods. The same methodology would have flagged Terra 6 days early, FTX 4 days early and the USDC depeg 18 hours early, using its original weights. Daily reading posted here every morning. Full details: unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 30.3 / 100 🟡 MODERATE. Some slack left, but a few drivers are worth watching. Segment to watch: Security, 100 HIGH, up 72 in 7d. Down 1.3 since yesterday. Higher than 94% of the last 90 days. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 31.6 / 100 🟡 MODERATE. Some slack left, but a few drivers are worth watching. Segment to watch: Security, 100 HIGH, up 73 in 7d. Down 6.8 since yesterday. Higher than 95% of the last 90 days. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 38.4 / 100 🟠 ELEVATED. Slack is thinning. Conditions rhyme with past pre-event periods. Segment to watch: Security, 100 HIGH, up 73 in 7d. Down 5.4 since yesterday. Higher than 96% of the last 90 days. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 43.8 / 100 🟠 ELEVATED. Slack is thinning. Conditions rhyme with past pre-event periods. Segment to watch: Security, 100 HIGH, up 72 in 7d. Up 2.5 since yesterday. Higher than 99% of the last 90 days. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 41.3 / 100 🟠 ELEVATED. Slack is thinning. Conditions rhyme with past pre-event periods. Segment to watch: Security, 100 HIGH, up 73 in 7d. Down 1.0 since yesterday. Higher than 98% of the last 90 days. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 42.3 / 100 🟠 ELEVATED. Slack is thinning. Conditions rhyme with past pre-event periods. Segment to watch: Security, 100 HIGH, up 73 in 7d. Down 10.1 since yesterday. Higher than 99% of the last 90 days. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 52.4 / 100 🔴 HIGH. Little slack left. The system is running thin. Segment to watch: Security, 100 HIGH, up 41 in 7d. Up 26.7 since yesterday. Higher than 100% of the last 90 days. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 25.6 / 100 🟡 MODERATE. Some slack left, but a few drivers are worth watching. Biggest source of stress today: Liquidation proximity. Up 3.0 since yesterday. Higher than 96% of the last 90 days. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 22.7 / 100 🟢 LOW. Plenty of slack in the system right now. Biggest source of stress today: Volatility. Down 4.7 since yesterday. Sits around the 89th percentile of the last 90 days. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 27.4 / 100 🟡 MODERATE. Some slack left, but a few drivers are worth watching. Biggest source of stress today: Liquidation proximity. Up 2.8 since yesterday. Higher than 98% of the last 90 days. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 24.6 / 100 🟢 LOW. Plenty of slack in the system right now. Biggest source of stress today: Liquidation proximity. Up 4.6 since yesterday. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 20.0 / 100 🟢 LOW. Plenty of slack in the system right now. Biggest source of stress today: Liquidation proximity. Little changed since yesterday. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 20.4 / 100 🟢 LOW. Plenty of slack in the system right now. Biggest source of stress today: Liquidation proximity. Down 9.5 since yesterday. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 29.9 / 100 🟡 MODERATE. Some slack left, but a few drivers are worth watching. Biggest source of stress today: Security. Up 11.2 since yesterday. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 18.7 / 100 🟢 LOW. Plenty of slack in the system right now. Biggest source of stress today: Security. Up 0.7 since yesterday. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 18.1 / 100 🟢 LOW. Plenty of slack in the system right now. Biggest source of stress today: Security. Down 4.7 since yesterday. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 22.8 / 100 🟢 LOW. Plenty of slack in the system right now. Biggest source of stress today: Security. Up 2.4 since yesterday. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 20.4 / 100 🟢 LOW. Plenty of slack in the system right now. Biggest source of stress today: Security. Down 3.0 since yesterday. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 23.4 / 100 🟢 LOW. Plenty of slack in the system right now. Biggest source of stress today: Security. Up 1.3 since yesterday. unstableindex.com

Unstable Index: 22.1 / 100 🟢 LOW. Plenty of slack in the system right now. Biggest source of stress today: Security. Little changed since yesterday. unstableindex.com