Vince Bryan (@VBryan_wx) header
Vince Bryan (@VBryan_wx) profile picture

Chief Operating Officer I @bamwxcom I Helping people make weather related decisions. Ohio State grad ⭕🌰 CLE sports 🏀⚾️ Demo our platform 👇

Joined July 2019
Photo by Vince Bryan (@VBryan_wx)Photo by Vince Bryan (@VBryan_wx)Photo by Vince Bryan (@VBryan_wx)Photo by Vince Bryan (@VBryan_wx)Photo by Vince Bryan (@VBryan_wx)Photo by Vince Bryan (@VBryan_wx)Photo by Vince Bryan (@VBryan_wx)Photo by Vince Bryan (@VBryan_wx)Photo by Vince Bryan (@VBryan_wx)Photo by Vince Bryan (@VBryan_wx)
‼️36 spots left‼️ Join us for our FREE webinar in 2 hours ⏰ where we break down our forecast for the spring months and #plant23 ➡️➡️ bamwx.com/webinar Cant make it live? No worries! Register and get the recording sent #oatt #agwx #corn #wheat #soybeans #agtwitter
3
755
The forecast is changing for SA. Where? Esp #Argentina where we've faced consistent #drought pressure all season. Why? Finally losing the strong #LaNina influence, in a nutshell. Takeaway: damage has been done, but relief next 2-4 weeks is likely. #AGwx #OATT #corn #soybeans
7
1
13
12,052
Interesting little setup here for E OH / W IN tomorrow Trough going -ve tilt that's sitting in left exit of 250 & 500 mb jets Not a bad sounding at all by mid-Jan standards with instability to work with and some rather steep lapse rates #INwx #OHwx
2
5
784
Current thinking is for the upcoming winter storm to produce a general ~0.5 - 1.0" worth of liquid where the heaviest swath of snow is expected I'm sure most in these areas will take any liquid they can get after how last summer played out #agwx #NEwx #IAwx #KSwx #MNwx #SDwx
1
2
1,052
European data locked in to a widespread swath of 6+" of #snow across Nebraska and extending Northeast into N IA / S MN❄️ %'s for 12+" target Central part of NE for highest risk Peak of the snow for these areas comes Wed AM - Thu AM before moving Northeast #NEwx #IAwx #MNwx
3
11
4,100
Here's a American/European/Canadian blend for the rest of JAN in 5 day chunks: ➡️Warmth pushes E with time ➡️Coldest air of the month comes right at the end ➡️E Coast likely modeled too cold for last 5 day chunk ➡️Active pattern + colder risks = 📈 snow risks #oott #natgas #oil
2
6
1
23
5,762
👀 Watching mid-late week for a strong winter storm across the Midwest Still too early for exact totals, but risk of a widespread swath of accumulating ❄️ is increasing📈 Areas in dark blue hold best threat *for now* of seeing highest storm totals #KSwx #NEwx #IAwx #WIwx #MIwx
1
5
1
9
20,487
The thinking from early Jan is rolling forward nicely. Data this AM still on board with the widespread much above average warmth slowly pulling E with time and offering up more "seasonable" air for late Jan/ early Feb as a whole for the heart of the US #oott #natgas #energy
Here was our Jan 20 - Feb 2 forecast sent out Fri vs data this morning for the very start of that period. Thinking is that we continue our "cool west warm east" pattern and keep heating demand below avg. Eyeing 2nd or 3rd lowest HDD Jan on record (past 71 yrs) #natgas #oott
1
8
2,375
Always good to go back and verify from thinking 5-10 days out👇 While the system & majority of the precip with it verified a bit quicker & further north, the wintry risks checked out as we're still seeing snow for some of the areas mentioned #TNwx #NCwx #KYwx #WVwx
Worth keeping eyes on the Lower OH Valley/ TN Valley/ Mid Atl. next weekend (~13-14th) for a system that *could* bring some wintry precip Data in good agreement of this risk with good blocking North, opening the door for more of a "southern" track #KYwx #TNwx #winter
3
744
Canadian/American/European data all in great agreement over the next 7 days for 📈 rain threats for the TN Valley Maps are likely too widespread/"smoothed" with totals, but higher than average confidence there will be multiple shots of 💧 over the next several days #TNwx #KYwx
1
2
320
Next week is going to be active across the Midwest/ Central US. Storm systems... 1.) Mon-Tue 2.) Wed-Thu 3.) Sat-Sun will bring chances for.... ✅heavy rain ✅accumulating snow ✅increasing winds ✅a few stronger storms Details to be ironed out as we get closer! #winter
1
197
Jan 16th - 26th pattern is looking active across the Midwest with ~4 targeted storms (something @BretWaltsWx has been discussing in Long Range Videos) Exact timing/ amounts/ precip type....etc. all remain ?'s this far out, but precip chances 📈for mid-late JAN #winter #snow
2
3
566
Modeled low pressure centers over the next 10 days show a rather active pattern ahead The OH Valley/ Great Lakes should watch: Thu 12th Mon-Tue 16-17th Thu-Fru 19-20th While most locations see rain💧, the northern edge of these systems do hold a wintry risk❄️ #OHwx #ILwx #INwx
1
6
1,245
Next 7 day #snow across the US❄️ A late week/weekend system will provide some light snow to parts of the NE US, while the big story will continue to remain the heavy mountain snow for the W 1/3 of the country #SierraNevada range cashing in on several more feet of snow! #winter
1
3
437
Digging into some Season To Date Snow ranks here across the Midwest and E US Certainly nothing record breaking/ super noteworthy for these areas, but a good depiction of just how below average some of these bigger cities have been in the ❄️ department #snow #winter
Season-to-date snowfall anomalies across the US. Eastern US: 🔥Abnormally less snowy (lake effect exception). North/West US: ❄️Abnormally snowy.
3
12
10,244
GEFS HDD data trying to pick up on this potential for a slight relax of the widespread warmth near the end of Jan Note we are still below avg, however there is at least better opportunity to work near normal More in our weeks 3/4 forecast later today! #oott #natgas #energy
Here was our Jan 20 - Feb 2 forecast sent out Fri vs data this morning for the very start of that period. Thinking is that we continue our "cool west warm east" pattern and keep heating demand below avg. Eyeing 2nd or 3rd lowest HDD Jan on record (past 71 yrs) #natgas #oott
1
9
1,957
Rainfall over 0.5" during the past 30 days + latest drought monitor showing the Western portions of Texas/ Oklahoma/ Kansas continuing to face a moisture deficit Combination of 100+ models showing ~Trace to 0.25" over the next 2 weeks will not bring much help #OKwx #TXwx #KSwx
1
1
512
The temperature gradient also sets up an active precip pattern ahead💧❄️ Data likely too widespread here with the above avg "green's", but Upper Midwest/OH Valley/TN Valley looking at several moisture shots over the next 2-3 weeks #agwx #oatt
Here was our Jan 20 - Feb 2 forecast sent out Fri vs data this morning for the very start of that period. Thinking is that we continue our "cool west warm east" pattern and keep heating demand below avg. Eyeing 2nd or 3rd lowest HDD Jan on record (past 71 yrs) #natgas #oott
1
2
425
Here was our Jan 20 - Feb 2 forecast sent out Fri vs data this morning for the very start of that period. Thinking is that we continue our "cool west warm east" pattern and keep heating demand below avg. Eyeing 2nd or 3rd lowest HDD Jan on record (past 71 yrs) #natgas #oott
4
3
1
8
8,085
🧵Something to keep in mind about the pattern ahead.... Yes, we are 100% looking at overall widespread above avg temps over the course of the next 2 weeks (rather good agreement within data/ high confidence of that as shown in maps below) #natgas #oott #oil #energy But...
2
6
27
14,699
Just because we're *overall* warmer does NOT mean there can't be cooler days embedded Take a look at the 14/15th. A storm system will bring below avg temps for the E US Almost guaranteed someone will be "surprised" by this b/c they thought we're in a warm pattern (which is true)
1
2
9
1,655
Outside of a ~2 day stretch of these colder temps for the E US shown in prior tweet, things return right back to above avg quickly (here's the following Tue/Wed for example). Always important to understand the difference between a pattern vs a warm/cold shot lasting a few days
2
1
9
1,564