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Detailed deep dives on compelling businesses, overlooked opportunities, and companies trading below intrinsic value. Not financial advice.

Joined March 2019
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Propel Holdings (TSX: $PRL.TO ) - Q2 Earnings Review "When we published the Q4 review in early March and pounded the table with the stock below C$18, the market saw a lender in trouble. Today the stock closed at C$28.72, up more than 60% in five months. The business did not change in those five months. The market's understanding of it did." Read 👇(no paywall) thevaluationdesk1.substack.c…
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$SN +78%
Part 2 of our SharkNinja $SN Deep Dive is finally out. Read it here 👇 open.substack.com/pub/theval…
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$DECK Moving. Make sure to checkout our free deep dive.
HOKA + UGG. No debt. 11x earnings. We think $DECK can compound EPS ~15% a year from here. Full deep dive link in the comments. (no paywall)
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The Valuation Desk retweeted
The Value Line page that got us to look into $DECK in the first place.
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The Value Line page that got us to look into $DECK in the first place.
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HOKA + UGG. No debt. 11x earnings. We think $DECK can compound EPS ~15% a year from here. Full deep dive link in the comments. (no paywall)
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Our review of Monument Mining’s Q4 and FY2026 is live. $MMY.V $MMY.NE Link: thevaluationdesk1.substack.c…
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Washington now spends more on interest than on defense. Net interest hit $970B last fiscal year — 18.5% of every revenue dollar, a new postwar record. CBO's path has it at 26% by 2036.
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Roughly three-quarters of the coming deficit widening isn't even spending related. It's interest compounding on past borrowing. The rate on the debt now sits above nominal growth, so the ratio climbs on its own.
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The arithmetic is pretty clear. What does it mean for the world?
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Gold near $4,250 with the 10-year at 5.2% — its highest since 2007. That shouldn't happen: gold pays nothing, so every ounce costs 5% a year in foregone yield. Someone's buying gold out of fear while bonds price hot growth. One of them is mispriced — which one?
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Two weeks since Meta ($META) launched Muse. $SCHW and $LPLA down 6%+ in a day, $EXPE and $BKNG sliding — on the *possibility* of disruption, not the evidence of it.
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The job is knowing which is which: where AI really attacks the revenue, and where it's just a cheaper price on the same good business.
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The job is knowing which is which: where AI genuinely attacks the revenue, and where it's just a cheaper price on the same good business.
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Our review of Mainstreet Equity Corp's $MEQ.TO Q3 results is out. It includes an update to our estimate of where intrinsic value stands. Read 👇 thevaluationdesk1.substack.c…
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