@VariabilityBlog

Scientist. Works on the accuracy of climate trends & open post-publication peer review @Grassr_Journals. My blog: Variable Variability #TeamScience he/hij/er

 Bonn, Germany
variable-variability.blogspot.com
Joined December 2013
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Replying to @martincollignon
Then you are making the case that vitamin D production, rather than vitamin D levels are what counts for infections. The seasonal cycle is modest; we store a lot in our fat deposits. That we need an explanation could also be jumping to conclusions. tylervigen.com/spurious-corr…
Replying to @BBC6Music @flimsin
Deus. Hard to chose a song, but If I have to: Suds & Soda. youtube.com/watch?v=h3r7Oo0F…
On Riley June Williams attacking democracy & allegedly selling Pelosi's laptop to Russia: Fascists are not patriots, they do not care about their countrymen, they care about destruction. This is how Germany looked when they were finished with it. commons.wikimedia.org/w/inde…
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Replying to @nlewis1111 @RARohde
@nlewis1111 @RARohde
Virology Lectures 2021 #1: What is a Virus? youtube.com/watch?v=jX3MhWWi… Lecture series by grumpy virologist Vincent Racaniello. The 2018 edition had 75k views,the 2020 edition 600k. What happened? Fun fact: There are more viruses in a liter of coastal seawater than people on Earth.

Virology Lectures 2021 #1: What is a Virus?

For the first lecture of my 2021 Columbia University virology cours...

youtube.com
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Replying to @frakaspar @DWD_klima @NOAANCEIclimate
Within science the linear trend estimates are great for comparability. But when communicating to the public they are not the best estimate of the total temperature change. The IPCC underestimates global warming variable-variability.blogspo…
Comparison of a linear and a nonlinear total trend estimate from the linked blog post. The linear trend estimates systematically give too small warming estimates.

ALT Comparison of a linear and a nonlinear total trend estimate from the linked blog post. The linear trend estimates systematically give too small warming estimates.

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"[James] Murdoch stopped short of naming Fox News but the comments will be seen as a thinly veiled rebuke." Could be trying to insert a wedge between Fox News & the even more cookie Trump-identity channels. Like Alex Jones being mad at Q outcrazying him. youtube.com/watch?v=bUrM4rku…

Alex Jones TURNS On Q In Humiliating Meltdown

Alex Jones might be forgetting his roots a little bit. Sam Seder an...

youtube.com
The Guardian
@guardian16 Jan 2021
James Murdoch says US media 'lies' unleashed 'insidious forces' theguardian.com/media/2021/j…

James Murdoch says US media 'lies' unleashed 'insidious forces'

Son of Fox News owner Rupert Murdoch issues excoriating rebuke following storming of the Capitol

theguardian.com
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Politics should be about the issues & solution, not about the horse race, but I really like quantification. Trump's approval is now below 40%. I wonder how much disapproval is from the terrorists that invaded Congress & are now told by Trump they are not true Trump supporters.
Polling average of Trump's approval by 538. Trump's approval is now 39.5%. Most recent polls are even lower; so the average may go down further. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/voters/

ALT Polling average of Trump's approval by 538. Trump's approval is now 39.5%. Most recent polls are even lower; so the average may go down further. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/voters/

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I was so cynical about American politics that I had not expected this. projects.fivethirtyeight.com… The power of Big Lie Trump media is not absolute. Recent polls are even lower, so the mean may still have some catching up to do. Interestingly, the Rasmussen polls shows no change.
Trump's approval from 538 over the last years. Over the last month and especially the last days Trump's approval declined 3 percent points.

ALT Trump's approval from 538 over the last years. Over the last month and especially the last days Trump's approval declined 3 percent points.

Replying to @JosephNSanberg
1) Viruses grow exponentially, like money. Even if you double hospital capacity, it would only help you one doubling time more. At the current California rate it would help 3 weeks longer. The 10 months should have been spend on stronger mitigation. There is no way around it.
Statistics from the COVID Tracking project for California over the period of the pandemic for number of tests, daily cases, currently hospitalized and daily deaths. https://covidtracking.com/data/charts/all-metrics-per-state

ALT Statistics from the COVID Tracking project for California over the period of the pandemic for number of tests, daily cases, currently hospitalized and daily deaths. https://covidtracking.com/data/charts/all-metrics-per-state

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Replying to @rv_enigma
Ich hoffe, dann wird es langsam besser. Wenn ich auf die Toten schaue, was eine glatte Kurve sein sollte, frage ich mich ob alle Rückstau bereits abgebaut ist. Wenn dann ist dies besser geworden. worldometers.info/coronaviru… (Schade, dass @rki_de keine Graphik zu den Toten macht.)
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Why Police Aggression Is Far More Pronounced Against Left-Leaning Protesters l FiveThirtyEight youtube.com/watch?v=OiUWsX-D… I never realized the right-wing feels they deserve a better treatment (because they are good 🤡) enforced by getting it. We need a complete renewal of policing.
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🇩🇪 Chemtrail-Pilot hat durch Corona alles verloren -Danke- 🇬🇧 Chemtrail pilot lost everything due to Corona -Thanks- Don't you feel free without your daily dose of #Chemtrail chemicals?
A pilot sitting on the street begging for money with two people in suits walking by. The text on his sign is the first line of the above tweet.

ALT A pilot sitting on the street begging for money with two people in suits walking by. The text on his sign is the first line of the above tweet.

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#ButlerianJihadNow youtube.com/watch?v=fn3KWM1k…
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